Dataset Information

Incidence and factors associated with newly implemented do-not-attempt-resuscitation orders among deteriorating patients after rapid response system activation: A retrospective observational study using a Japanese multicenter database.

ABSTRACT:

Aim

The rapid response system (RRS) was initially aimed to improve patient outcomes. Recently, some studies have implicated that RRS might facilitate do-not-attempt-resuscitation (DNAR) orders among patients, their families, and healthcare providers. This study aimed to examine the incidence and factors independently associated with DNAR orders newly implemented after RRS activation among deteriorating patients.

Methods

This observational study assessed patients who required RRS activation between 2012 and 2021 in Japan. We investigated patients' characteristics and the incidence of new DNAR orders after RRS activation. Furthermore, we used multivariable hierarchical logistic regression models to explore independent predictors of new DNAR orders.

Results

We identified 7904 patients (median age, 72 years; 59% male) who required RRS activation at 29 facilities. Of the 7066 patients without pre-existing DNAR orders before RRS activation, 394 (5.6%) had new DNAR orders. Multivariable hierarchical logistic regression analyses revealed that new DNAR orders were associated with age category (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.56; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-2.17 [65-74 years old reference to 20-64 years old], aOR, 2.56; 1.92-3.42 [75-89 years old], and aOR, 6.58; 4.17-10.4 [90 years old]), malignancy (aOR, 1.82; 1.42-2.32), postoperative status (aOR, 0.45; 0.30-0.71), and National Early Warning Score 2 (aOR, 1.07; 1.02-1.12 [per 1 score]).

Conclusion

The incidence of new DNAR orders was one in 18 patients after RRS activation. The factors associated with new DNAR orders were age, malignancy, postoperative status, and National Early Warning Score 2.

SUBMITTER: Tsuji T

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10321077 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jan-Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Incidence and factors associated with newly implemented do-not-attempt-resuscitation orders among deteriorating patients after rapid response system activation: A retrospective observational study using a Japanese multicenter database.

Tsuji Tatsuya T Sento Yoshiki Y Nakanishi Toshiyuki T Tamura Tetsuya T Kako Eisuke E Sato Izumi I Kawakami Koji K Kawasaki Tatsuya T Naito Takaki T Fujitani Shigeki S Sobue Kazuya K

Acute medicine & surgery 20230101 1

<h4>Aim</h4>The rapid response system (RRS) was initially aimed to improve patient outcomes. Recently, some studies have implicated that RRS might facilitate do-not-attempt-resuscitation (DNAR) orders among patients, their families, and healthcare providers. This study aimed to examine the incidence and factors independently associated with DNAR orders newly implemented after RRS activation among deteriorating patients.<h4>Methods</h4>This observational study assessed patients who required RRS a ...[more]

PMID: 37416895

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Project description:ObjectivesStatistical models predicting outcome after intraparenchymal hemorrhage include patients irrespective of do-not-attempt-resuscitation orders. We built a model to explore how the inclusion of patients with do-not-attempt-resuscitation orders affects intraparenchymal hemorrhage prognostic models.DesignRetrospective, observational cohort study from May 2001 until September 2003.SettingUniversity-affiliated tertiary referral hospital in Seattle, WA.PatientsFour hundred twenty-four consecutive patients with spontaneous intraparenchymal hemorrhage.Measurements and main resultsWe retrospectively abstracted information from medical records of intraparenchymal hemorrhage patients admitted to a single hospital. Using multivariate logistic regression of presenting clinical characteristics, but not do-not-attempt-resuscitation status, we generated a prognostic score for favorable outcome (defined as moderate disability or better at discharge). We compared observed probability of favorable outcome with that predicted, stratified by do-not-attempt-resuscitation status. We then generated a modified prognostic score using only non-do-not-attempt-resuscitation patients. Records of 424 patients were reviewed: 44% had favorable outcome, 43% had a do-not-attempt-resuscitation order, and 38% died in hospital. The observed and predicted probability of favorable outcome agreed well with all patients taken together. The observed probability of favorable outcome was significantly higher than predicted in non-do-not-attempt-resuscitation patients and significantly lower in do-not-attempt-resuscitation patients. Results were similar when applying a previously published and validated prognostic score. Our modified prognostic score was no longer pessimistic in non-do-not-attempt-resuscitation patients but remained overly optimistic in do-not-attempt-resuscitation patients.ConclusionsAlthough our prognostic model was well-calibrated when assessing all intraparenchymal hemorrhage patients, predictions were significantly pessimistic in patients without and optimistic in those with do-not-attempt-resuscitation orders. Such pessimism may drive decisions not to attempt resuscitation in patients in whom a favorable outcome may have been possible, thereby creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. To be most useful in clinical decision making, intraparenchymal hemorrhage prognostic models should be calibrated to large intraparenchymal hemorrhage cohorts in whom do-not-attempt-resuscitation orders were not used.

Project description:BackgroundUse of real-world evidence (RWE) has been limited for evaluating effectiveness because of the lack of confidence in its reliability. Examining whether a rigorously designed observational study using real-world data (RWD) can reproduce the results of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) will provide insights into the implementation of high-quality RWE studies that can produce valid conclusions.ObjectiveWe aimed to replicate published RCTs using a Japanese claims and health checkup database and examine whether the emulated RWE studies' results agree with those of the original RCTs.MethodsWe selected three RCTs on diabetes medications for replication in patients with type 2 diabetes. The study outcome was either the change or percentage change in HbA1c levels from baseline. We designed three observational studies using the RWD to mimic the critical study elements of the respective RCTs as closely as possible. We performed 1:1 propensity score nearest-neighbor matching to balance the groups for potential confounders. The differences in outcomes between the groups and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated in each RWE study, and the results were compared with those of the RCT.ResultsPatient characteristics, such as age, sex, and duration of diabetes, differed between the RWE studies and RCTs. In Trial 1 emulation, the percentage changes in HbA1c levels were larger in the treatment group than in the comparator group (difference -6.21, 95% confidence interval (CI) -11.01 to -1.40). In Trial 2, the change in HbA1c level was larger in the treatment group (difference -0.01; 95% CI -0.25 to 0.23), and in Trial 3, it was smaller in the treatment group (difference 0.46; 95% CI -0.01 to 0.94). These results did not show regulatory or estimate agreement with the RCTs.ConclusionsNone of the three emulated RWE studies using this claims and health checkup database reproduced the same conclusions as the RCTs. These discrepancies could largely be attributed to design differences between RWE studies and RCTs, primarily due to the lack of necessary data in the database. This particular RWD source may not be the best fit for evaluating treatment effects using laboratory data as the study outcome.

Dataset Information

Incidence and factors associated with newly implemented do-not-attempt-resuscitation orders among deteriorating patients after rapid response system activation: A retrospective observational study using a Japanese multicenter database.

Aim

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Incidence and factors associated with newly implemented do-not-attempt-resuscitation orders among deteriorating patients after rapid response system activation: A retrospective observational study using a Japanese multicenter database.

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