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Association of Intima-Media Thickness Measured at the Common Carotid Artery With Incident Carotid Plaque: Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis of 20 Prospective Studies.


ABSTRACT: Background The association between common carotid artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) and incident carotid plaque has not been characterized fully. We therefore aimed to precisely quantify the relationship between CCA-IMT and carotid plaque development. Methods and Results We undertook an individual participant data meta-analysis of 20 prospective studies from the Proof-ATHERO (Prospective Studies of Atherosclerosis) consortium that recorded baseline CCA-IMT and incident carotid plaque involving 21 494 individuals without a history of cardiovascular disease and without preexisting carotid plaque at baseline. Mean baseline age was 56 years (SD, 9 years), 55% were women, and mean baseline CCA-IMT was 0.71 mm (SD, 0.17 mm). Over a median follow-up of 5.9 years (5th-95th percentile, 1.9-19.0 years), 8278 individuals developed first-ever carotid plaque. We combined study-specific odds ratios (ORs) for incident carotid plaque using random-effects meta-analysis. Baseline CCA-IMT was approximately log-linearly associated with the odds of developing carotid plaque. The age-, sex-, and trial arm-adjusted OR for carotid plaque per SD higher baseline CCA-IMT was 1.40 (95% CI, 1.31-1.50; I2=63.9%). The corresponding OR that was further adjusted for ethnicity, smoking, diabetes, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lipid-lowering and antihypertensive medication was 1.34 (95% CI, 1.24-1.45; I2=59.4%; 14 studies; 16 297 participants; 6381 incident plaques). We observed no significant effect modification across clinically relevant subgroups. Sensitivity analysis restricted to studies defining plaque as focal thickening yielded a comparable OR (1.38 [95% CI, 1.29-1.47]; I2=57.1%; 14 studies; 17 352 participants; 6991 incident plaques). Conclusions Our large-scale individual participant data meta-analysis demonstrated that CCA-IMT is associated with the long-term risk of developing first-ever carotid plaque, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

SUBMITTER: Tschiderer L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10356054 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Association of Intima-Media Thickness Measured at the Common Carotid Artery With Incident Carotid Plaque: Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis of 20 Prospective Studies.

Tschiderer Lena L   Seekircher Lisa L   Izzo Raffaele R   Mancusi Costantino C   Manzi Maria V MV   Baldassarre Damiano D   Amato Mauro M   Tremoli Elena E   Veglia Fabrizio F   Tuomainen Tomi-Pekka TP   Kauhanen Jussi J   Voutilainen Ari A   Iglseder Bernhard B   Lind Lars L   Rundek Tatjana T   Desvarieux Moise M   Kato Akihiko A   de Groot Eric E   Aşçi Gülay G   Ok Ercan E   Agewall Stefan S   Beulens Joline W J JWJ   Byrne Christopher D CD   Calder Philip C PC   Gerstein Hertzel C HC   Gresele Paolo P   Klingenschmid Gerhard G   Nagai Michiaki M   Olsen Michael H MH   Parraga Grace G   Safarova Maya S MS   Sattar Naveed N   Skilton Michael M   Stehouwer Coen D A CDA   Uthoff Heiko H   van Agtmael Michiel A MA   van der Heijden Amber A AA   Zozulińska-Ziółkiewicz Dorota A DA   Park Hyun-Woong HW   Lee Moo-Sik MS   Bae Jang-Ho JH   Beloqui Oscar O   Landecho Manuel F MF   Plichart Matthieu M   Ducimetiere Pierre P   Empana Jean Philippe JP   Bokemark Lena L   Bergström Göran G   Schmidt Caroline C   Castelnuovo Samuela S   Calabresi Laura L   Norata Giuseppe D GD   Grigore Liliana L   Catapano Alberico A   Zhao Dong D   Wang Miao M   Liu Jing J   Ikram M Arfan MA   Kavousi Maryam M   Bots Michiel L ML   Sweeting Michael J MJ   Lorenz Matthias W MW   Willeit Peter P  

Journal of the American Heart Association 20230610 12


Background The association between common carotid artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) and incident carotid plaque has not been characterized fully. We therefore aimed to precisely quantify the relationship between CCA-IMT and carotid plaque development. Methods and Results We undertook an individual participant data meta-analysis of 20 prospective studies from the Proof-ATHERO (Prospective Studies of Atherosclerosis) consortium that recorded baseline CCA-IMT and incident carotid plaque invol  ...[more]

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