Future lung cancer prediction using low-dose chest computed tomography.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Ashraf I
PROVIDER: S-EPMC10413016 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jul
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Future lung cancer prediction using low-dose chest computed tomography.
Ashraf Imran I Hur Soojung S Park Yongwan Y
Translational lung cancer research 20230523 7
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Project description:A validated open-source deep-learning algorithm called Sybil can accurately predict long-term lung cancer risk from a single low-dose chest computed tomography (LDCT). However, Sybil was trained on a majority-male cohort. Use of artificial intelligence algorithms trained on imbalanced cohorts may lead to inequitable outcomes in real-world settings. We aimed to study whether Sybil predicts lung cancer risk equally regardless of sex. We analyzed 10,573 LDCTs from 6127 consecutive lung cancer screening participants across a health system between 2015 and 2021. Sybil achieved AUCs of 0.89 (95% CI: 0.85-0.93) for females and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.85-0.94) for males at 1 year, p = 0.92. At 6 years, the AUC was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83-0.93) for females and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.72-0.86) for males, p = 0.01. In conclusion, Sybil can accurately predict future lung cancer risk in females and males in a real-world setting and performs better in females than in males for predicting 6-year lung cancer risk.
| S-EPMC10616081 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) and NELSON trial showed that low-dose chest computed tomography (LDCT) screening significantly reduced the mortality form lung cancer. Although cancer survivors are known to have high risk for second malignant neoplasm (SMN), the usefulness of LDCT screening for lung cancer in cancer survivors is not clear.MethodsBetween August 2016 and August 2017, 633 long-term colorectal cancer (CRC) survivors visited the survivorship clinic in Cancer Prevention Center, Yonsei Cancer Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea. We surveyed the smoking status and recommended LDCT screening to ever-smoking CRC survivors aged 55-80 years. The participants were classified into three risk groups: risk group 1 (RG1) who met the NLST criteria (Age 55-74 years, ≥ 30 pack-years of smoking, smoking cessation < 15 years); risk group 2 (RG2) who would not meet the NLST criteria but were at increased 6-year risk of lung cancer (PLCOM2012 ≥ 0.0151); risk group 3 (RG3) who did not meet any of the criteria above.ResultsAmong 176 ever-smoking CRC survivors, 173 (98.3%) were male, 32 (18.2%) were current-smoker, and median age was 66 years (range, 55-79 years). We found 38 positive findings (non-calcified nodule ≥ 4 mm), 8 clinically significant findings, 66 minor abnormalities, and 64 negative findings on LDCT. Positive findings were identified in 15 of 79 (19.0%) of RG1, in 9 of 36 (25%) of RG2, and in 14 of 61 (23.0%) of RG3. Second primary lung cancers were found in 2 patients of RG2, and in 1 patient of RG3. SMN was most frequently found in RG2 (11 of 36 patients, 30.6%), compared with RG1 (12.7%) or RG3 (9.8%) (P = 0.016).ConclusionsLDCT screening for lung cancer in Korean CRC survivors is feasible. Well-designed clinical trial for defining high risk patients for lung cancer among CRC survivors is needed.
| S-EPMC6453590 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Various methods were suggested to measure skeletal muscle areas (SMAs) using chest low-dose computed tomography (chest LDCT) as a substitute for SMA at 3rd lumbar vertebra level (L3-SMA). In this study, four SMAs (L1-SMA, T12-erector spinae muscle areas, chest wall muscle area at carina level, pectoralis muscle area at aortic arch level) were segmented semi-automatically in 780 individuals taking concurrent chest and abdomen LDCT for healthcare screening. Four SMAs were compared to L3-SMA and annual changes were calculated from individuals with multiple examinations (n = 101). Skeletal muscle index (SMI; SMA/height2) cut-off for sarcopenia was determined by lower 5th percentile of young individuals (age ≤ 40 years). L1-SMA showed the greatest correlation to L3-SMA (men, R2 = 0.7920; women, R2 = 0.7396), and the smallest annual changes (0.3300 ± 4.7365%) among four SMAs. L1-SMI cut-offs for determining sarcopenia were 39.2cm2/m2 in men, and 27.5cm2/m2 in women. Forty-six men (9.5%) and ten women (3.4%) were found to have sarcopenia using L1-SMI cut-offs. In conclusion, L1-SMA could be a reasonable substitute for L3-SMA in chest LDCT. Suggested L1-SMI cut-offs for sarcopenia were 39.2cm2/m2 for men and 27.5cm2/m2 for women in Asian.
| S-EPMC8748601 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportanceScreening for lung cancer has the potential to reduce mortality, but in addition to detecting aggressive tumors, screening will also detect indolent tumors that otherwise may not cause clinical symptoms. These overdiagnosis cases represent an important potential harm of screening because they incur additional cost, anxiety, and morbidity associated with cancer treatment.ObjectiveTo estimate overdiagnosis in the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST).Design, setting, and participantsWe used data from the NLST, a randomized trial comparing screening using low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) vs chest radiography (CXR) among 53 452 persons at high risk for lung cancer observed for 6.4 years, to estimate the excess number of lung cancers in the LDCT arm of the NLST compared with the CXR arm.Main outcomes and measuresWe calculated 2 measures of overdiagnosis: the probability that a lung cancer detected by screening with LDCT is an overdiagnosis (PS), defined as the excess lung cancers detected by LDCT divided by all lung cancers detected by screening in the LDCT arm; and the number of cases that were considered overdiagnosis relative to the number of persons needed to screen to prevent 1 death from lung cancer.ResultsDuring follow-up, 1089 lung cancers were reported in the LDCT arm and 969 in the CXR arm of the NLST. The probability is 18.5% (95% CI, 5.4%-30.6%) that any lung cancer detected by screening with LDCT was an overdiagnosis, 22.5% (95% CI, 9.7%-34.3%) that a non-small cell lung cancer detected by LDCT was an overdiagnosis, and 78.9% (95% CI, 62.2%-93.5%) that a bronchioalveolar lung cancer detected by LDCT was an overdiagnosis. The number of cases of overdiagnosis found among the 320 participants who would need to be screened in the NLST to prevent 1 death from lung cancer was 1.38.Conclusions and relevanceMore than 18% of all lung cancers detected by LDCT in the NLST seem to be indolent, and overdiagnosis should be considered when describing the risks of LDCT screening for lung cancer.
| S-EPMC4040004 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe older population is at high risk of lung cancer (LC). However, the importance of lung cancer screening (LCS) in this population is rarely investigated. Herein, we evaluated the effect of LCS with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) in the older population.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study was conducted in a single center and included patients aged 70-80 years who had undergone LCS with LDCT. They were categorized into the early 70s (70-74 years) and late 70s (75-80 years) groups based on their age. Using propensity score matching, the control group included patients with non-screening-detected LC from an LC cohort. LC detection, characteristics, and treatment were compared between the early and late 70s groups and between screening-detected LC and non-screening-detected LC.ResultsThe study included 1,281 participants who underwent LDCT for LCS, of whom 1,020 were in their early 70s and 261 in their late 70s. Among the screening groups, 87.7% of the patients were ever-smokers. The overall LC detection rate was 2.8%. Interestingly, the LC detection rate in the late 70s group was similar to that in the early 70s group (3.4% vs. 2.7%, P=0.485). Furthermore, the incidence of LC was 6.1 cases and 8.3 cases per 1,000 person-years in the early 70s and late 70s groups, respectively (P=0.428). When comparing LC characteristics, patients with screening-detected LC showed a higher proportion of stage I LC (52.8% vs. 30.6%, P=0.010) and a lower proportion of stage IV LC (19.4% vs. 42.2%, P=0.010) than those with non-screening-detected LC. Moreover, 80.6% of patients with screening-detected LC received appropriate tumor reduction treatment based on the cancer stage.ConclusionsIn the older population, LCS using LDCT showed remarkable detection of LC, with a higher proportion of cases detected at an early stage.
| S-EPMC10654442 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundChest low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) is a promising technology for population-based screening because it is non-invasive, relatively inexpensive, associated with low radiation and highly sensitive to lung cancer. To improve the cost-effectiveness of lung cancer screening, simultaneous screening for other diseases could be considered. This systematic review was conducted to analyse studies that published evidence on the cost-effectiveness of chest LDCT screening programs for different diseases.MethodsScopus and PubMed were searched for English publications (1 January 2011-22 July 2022) using search terms related to screening, computed tomography and cost-effectiveness. An additional search specifically searched for the cost-effectiveness of screening for lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or cardiovascular disease. Included publications should present a full health economic evaluation of population screening with chest LDCT. The extracted data included the disease screened for, model type, country context of screening, inclusion of comorbidities or incidental findings, incremental costs, incremental effects and the resulting cost-effectiveness ratio amongst others. Reporting quality was assessed using the 2022 Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) checklist.ResultsThe search yielded 1799 unique papers, of which 43 were included. Most papers focused on lung cancer screening (n = 40), and three were on coronary calcium scoring. Microsimulation was the most commonly applied modelling type (n = 16), followed by life table analysis (n = 10) and Markov cohort models (n = 10). Studies reflected the healthcare context of the US (n = 15), Canada (n = 4), the UK (n = 3) and 13 other countries. The reported incremental cost-effectiveness ratio ranged from US$10,000 to US$90,000/quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for lung cancer screening compared to no screening and was US$15,900/QALY-US$45,300/QALY for coronary calcium scoring compared to no screening.DiscussionAlmost all health economic evaluations of LDCT screening focused on lung cancer. Literature regarding the health economic benefits of simultaneous LDCT screening for multiple diseases is absent. Most studies suggest LDCT screening is cost-effective for current and former smokers aged 55-74 with a minimum of 30 pack-years of smoking history. Consequently, more evidence on LDCT is needed to support further cost-effectiveness analyses. Preferably evidence on simultaneous screening for multiple diseases is needed, but alternatively, on single-disease screening.Registration of systematic reviewProspective Register of Ongoing Systematic Reviews registration CRD42021290228 can be accessed https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=290228 .
| S-EPMC10020316 | biostudies-literature
Project description:AimsPhoton-counting detector computed tomography (PCD-CT), which allows the exclusion of electronic noise, shows promise for significant dose reduction in coronary CT angiography (CCTA). This study aimed to assess the radiation dose and image quality of CCTA using PCD-CT, combined with high-pitch helical scanning and an ultra-low tube potential of 70 kVp, and investigate the effect of a sharp kernel on image quality and stenosis assessment in such an ultra-low-dose CCTA setting.Methods and resultsForty patients (65% male) with stable heart rates and no prior coronary interventions were included. Data on CT dose index volume (CTDIvol) and dose-length product (DLP) were collected, with effective radiation dose estimated using a conversion factor of 0.014. Images were reconstructed using kernels of Bv64 and Bv40 for image quality and stenosis assessment. The mean CTDIvol, DLP, and effective dose of CCTA were 1.72 ± 0.38 mGy, 29.1 ± 6.8 mGy·cm, and 0.41 ± 0.09 mSv, respectively. Image quality was similar (P = 0.75) between the two kernels, with over 95% of segments achieving a rating of good image quality for both kernels. The per-segment stenosis score distribution between Bv40 and Bv64 reconstruction images showed significant differences for both non-calcified and calcified plaques (P < 0.001 for both).ConclusionPCD-CT technology with high-pitch helical scanning and the tube potential of 70 kVp can provide CCTA with ultra-low radiation exposure (DLP, 29 mGy·cm). The noise reduction capability of PCD-CT allows the use of a sharp kernel even in this low-dose CCTA setting without compromising image quality, potentially improving the evaluation of coronary artery stenosis.
| S-EPMC11631184 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveTo compare the cost-effectiveness of undertaking low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening for early detection of lung cancer (LC) with different frequencies within the healthcare system of China, and estimate the additional national healthcare expenditure and five-year LC mortality associated with different screening frequencies.Material and methodsA Markov model was established using national LC epidemiological data from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, demographic data from the Chinese Statistical Yearbook, and cost and effectiveness data mainly from the Cancer Screening Program in China. The model included thirty sex-specific screening strategies, which were classified by initial screening age (30, 35, 40, 45, and 50), and screening intervals (intervals at single time point, 1, 2, 5, 10, and 20 years). The main model outputs were incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), additional national healthcare expenditure and five-year LC mortality.ResultsThe ICERs for LDCT screening strategies vs. non-screening strategy ranged from $16,086 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) to $3,675,491 per QALY in the male cohort, and from $36,624 per QALY to $5,943,556 per QALY in the female cohort. The annual increment national healthcare expenditures related to LDCT screening were varied from $0.25 to $13.39 billion, with the lower cost in the cohort with older screening ages and lower screening frequencies. More frequent screening with LDCT was associated with a greater reduction in LC death: an annual LDCT screening was linked to an estimated reduction in five-year LC death by 27.27-29.07%, while a one-off screening was linked to a reduction by 5.56-5.83%.ConclusionUnder a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of three times the Chinese gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (US $37,654), annual screening with an initiating age at 50 was most cost-effective in both male and female cohorts. By taking into account both the national healthcare expenditures and the effect of LDCT screening, our study results support undertaking LDCT screening annually from 50 years old in general populations.
| S-EPMC9558698 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportanceDespite the recommendations of lung cancer screening guidelines and the evidence supporting the effectiveness of population-based lung screening, a common barrier to effective lung cancer screening is that the participation rates of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening among individuals with the highest risk are not large. There are limited data from clinical practice regarding whether opportunistic LDCT screening is associated with reduced lung-cancer mortality.ObjectiveTo evaluate whether opportunistic LDCT screening is associated with improved prognosis among adults with lung cancer in mainland China.Design, setting, and participantsThis cohort study included patients diagnosed with lung cancer at Weihai Municipal Hospital Healthcare Group, Weihai City, China, from 2016 to 2021. Data were analyzed from January 2022 to February 2023.ExposuresData collected included demographic indicators, tumor characteristics, comorbidities, blood indexes, and treatment information. Patients were classified into screened and nonscreened groups on the basis of whether or not their lung cancer diagnosis occurred through opportunistic screening.Main outcomes and measuresFollow-up outcome indicators included lung cancer-specific mortality and all-cause mortality. Propensity score matching (PSM) was adopted to account for potential imbalanced factors between groups. The associations between LDCT screening and outcomes were analyzed using Cox regression models based on the matched data. Propensity score regression adjustment and inverse probability treatment weighting were used for sensitivity analysis.ResultsA total of 5234 patients (mean [SD] baseline age, 61.8 [9.8] years; 2518 [48.1%] female) with complete opportunistic screening information were included in the analytical sample, with 2251 patients (42.91%) receiving their lung cancer diagnosis through opportunistic screening. After 1:1 PSM, 2788 patients (1394 in each group) were finally included. The baseline characteristics of the matched patients were balanced between groups. Opportunistic screening with LDCT was associated with a 49% lower risk of lung cancer death (HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.42-0.62) and 46% lower risk of all-cause death (HR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.45-0.64).Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study of patients with lung cancer, opportunistic lung cancer screening with LDCT was associated with lower lung cancer mortality and all-cause mortality. These findings suggest that opportunistic screening is an important supplement to population screening to improve prognosis of adults with lung cancer.
| S-EPMC10716726 | biostudies-literature
Project description: Not available
| S-EPMC9347663 | biostudies-literature