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Combining clinical and imaging data for predicting functional outcomes after acute ischemic stroke: an automated machine learning approach.

ABSTRACT: This study aimed to develop and validate an automated machine learning (ML) system that predicts 3-month functional outcomes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients by combining clinical and neuroimaging features. Functional outcomes were categorized as unfavorable (modified Rankin Scale ≥ 3) or not. A clinical model employing optimal clinical features (Model_A), a convolutional neural network model incorporating imaging data (Model_B), and an integrated model combining both imaging and clinical features (Model_C) were developed and tested to predict unfavorable outcomes. The developed models were compared with each other and with traditional risk-scoring models. The dataset comprised 4147 patients from a multicenter stroke registry, with 1268 (30.6%) experiencing unfavorable outcomes. Age, initial NIHSS, and early neurologic deterioration were identified as the most important clinical features. The ML model prediction achieved an area under the curves of 0.757 (95% CI 0.726-0.789) for Model_A, 0.725 (95% CI 0.693-0.755) for Model_B, and 0.786 (95% CI 0.757-0.814) for Model_C in the test set. The integrated models outperformed traditional risk-scoring models by 0.21 (95% CI 0.16-0.25) for HIAT and 0.15 (95% CI 0.11-0.19) for THRIVE. In conclusion, the integrated ML system enhanced stroke outcome prediction by combining imaging data and clinical features, outperforming traditional risk-scoring models.

SUBMITTER: Jo H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10560215 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Combining clinical and imaging data for predicting functional outcomes after acute ischemic stroke: an automated machine learning approach.

Jo Hongju H Kim Changi C Gwon Dowan D Lee Jaeho J Lee Joonwon J Park Kang Min KM Park Seongho S

Scientific reports 20231007 1

This study aimed to develop and validate an automated machine learning (ML) system that predicts 3-month functional outcomes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients by combining clinical and neuroimaging features. Functional outcomes were categorized as unfavorable (modified Rankin Scale ≥ 3) or not. A clinical model employing optimal clinical features (Model_A), a convolutional neural network model incorporating imaging data (Model_B), and an integrated model combining both imaging and clinical ...[more]

PMID: 37805568

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Project description:Amide proton transfer (APT) imaging, a technique sensitive to tissue pH, holds promise in the diagnosis of ischemic stroke. Achieving accurate and rapid APT imaging is crucial for this application. However, conventional APT quantification methods either lack accuracy or are time-consuming. Machine learning (ML) has recently been recognized as a potential solution to improve APT quantification. In this paper, we applied an ML model trained on a new type of partially synthetic data, along with an optimization approach utilizing recursive feature elimination, to predict APT imaging in an animal stroke model. This partially synthetic datum is not a simple blend of measured and simulated chemical exchange saturation transfer (CEST) signals. Rather, it integrates the underlying components including all CEST, direct water saturation, and magnetization transfer effects partly derived from measurements and simulations to reconstruct the CEST signals using an inverse summation relationship. Training with partially synthetic data requires less in vivo data compared to training entirely with fully synthetic or in vivo data, making it a more practical approach. Since this type of data closely resembles real tissue, it leads to more accurate predictions than ML models trained on fully synthetic data. Results indicate that an ML model trained on this partially synthetic data can successfully predict the APT effect with enhanced accuracy, providing significant contrast between stroke lesions and normal tissues, thus clearly delineating lesions. In contrast, conventional quantification methods such as the asymmetric analysis method, three-point method, and multiple-pool model Lorentzian fit showed inadequate accuracy in quantifying the APT effect. Moreover, ML methods trained using in vivo data and fully synthetic data exhibited poor predictive performance due to insufficient training data and inaccurate simulation pool settings or parameter ranges, respectively. Following optimization, only 13 frequency offsets were selected from the initial 69, resulting in significantly reduced scan time.

Project description:AimsMost cigarette smokers want to quit smoking and more than half make an attempt every year, but less than 10% remain abstinent for at least 6 months. Evidence-based tobacco use treatment improves the likelihood of quitting, but more than two-thirds of individuals relapse when provided even the most robust treatments. Identifying for whom treatment is effective will improve the success of our treatments and perhaps identify strategies for improving current approaches.MethodsTwo cohorts (training: N = 90, validation: N = 71) of cigarette smokers enrolled in group cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT). Generalized estimating equations were used to identify baseline predictors of outcome, as defined by breath carbon monoxide and urine cotinine. Significant measures were entered as candidate variables to predict quit status. The resulting decision trees were used to predict cessation outcomes in a validation cohort.ResultsIn the training cohort, the decision trees significantly improved on chance classification of smoking status following treatment and at 6-month follow-up. The first split of all decision trees, which was delay discounting, significantly improved on chance classification rates in both the training and validation cohort. Delay discounting emerged as the single best predictor of group CBT treatment response with an average baseline discount rate of ln(k) = -7.1, correctly predicting smoking status of 80% of participants at posttreatment and 81% of participants at follow-up.ConclusionsThis study provides a first step toward personalized care for smoking cessation though future work is needed to identify individuals that are likely to be successful in treatments beyond group CBT.ImplicationsThis study provides a first step toward personalized care for smoking cessation. Using a novel machine-learning approach, baseline measures of clinical and executive functioning are used to predict smoking cessation outcomes following group CBT. A decision point is recommended for the single best predictor of treatment outcomes, delay discounting, to inform future research or clinical practice in an effort to better allocate patients to treatments that are likely to work.

Dataset Information

Combining clinical and imaging data for predicting functional outcomes after acute ischemic stroke: an automated machine learning approach.

Publications

Combining clinical and imaging data for predicting functional outcomes after acute ischemic stroke: an automated machine learning approach.

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