Dataset Information

The Impact of Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine on Disease Severity in the US: A Stochastic Model.

ABSTRACT: Influenza can exacerbate underlying medical conditions. In this study, we modelled the potential impact of an egg-based quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIVe) or adjuvanted QIV (aQIV) on hospitalizations and mortality from influenza-related cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory, and other complications in adults ≥65 years of age in the US with underlying chronic conditions. We used a stochastic decision-tree model, with 1000 simulations varying input across predicted ranges. Due to the variable nature of influenza across seasons and differences in published estimates for input parameters, data are presented as 95% confidence intervals. Compared with no vaccination, use of aQIV would prevent 135,450-564,360 hospitalizations and 1612-29,226 deaths across outcomes evaluated. Overall, aQIV prevented 1071-18,388 more hospitalizations and 85-1944 more deaths than QIVe. By routine seasonal vaccination against influenza, a substantial number of severe influenza-associated complications and deaths, caused by direct influenza symptoms or by exacerbation of chronic conditions, can be prevented in high-risk adults ≥65 years of age in the US.

SUBMITTER: Pelton SI

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10610929 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The Impact of Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine on Disease Severity in the US: A Stochastic Model.

Pelton Stephen I SI Mould-Quevedo Joaquin F JF Nguyen Van Hung VH

Vaccines 20230926 10

Influenza can exacerbate underlying medical conditions. In this study, we modelled the potential impact of an egg-based quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIVe) or adjuvanted QIV (aQIV) on hospitalizations and mortality from influenza-related cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory, and other complications in adults ≥65 years of age in the US with underlying chronic conditions. We used a stochastic decision-tree model, with 1000 simulations varying input across predicted ranges. Due to the variab ...[more]

PMID: 37896929

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Project description:ImportanceQuadrivalent adjuvanted inactivated influenza vaccine (aIIV4) and adjuvanted recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV) contain novel adjuvants. Data are limited on the comparative safety, reactogenicity, and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) effects of the simultaneous administration of these vaccines.ObjectiveTo compare the safety and reactogenicity after simultaneous doses of RZV and aIIV4 administration (opposite arms) with simultaneous doses of RZV with quadrivalent high-dose inactivated influenza vaccine [HD-IIV4]).Design, setting, and participantsThis randomized blinded clinical trial was conducted during the 2021-2022 and 2022-2023 influenza seasons at 2 centers in the US among community-dwelling adults aged 65 years or older. Analysis was performed on an intention-to-treat basis.InterventionSimultaneous intramuscular administration of RZV dose 1 and aIIV4 or HD-IIV4 in opposite arms after age stratification (65-69 and ≥70 years) and randomization.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary outcome was the proportions of participants with 1 or more severe solicited reactions during days 1 to 8, using a noninferiority test (10% noninferiority margin). Additional measures included serious adverse events and adverse events of clinical interest during days 1 to 43 of the study period.ResultsA total of 267 adults (median age, 71 years [range, 65-92 years]; 137 men [51.3%]) were randomized; 130 received simultaneous RZV and aIIV4, and 137 received simultaneous RZV and HD-IIV4. The proportion of patients reporting 1 or more severe reactions after simultaneous administration of RZV and aIIV4 (15 of 115 [11.5%]) was noninferior compared with simultaneous RZV and HD-IIV4 (17 of 119 [12.5%]) (absolute difference, -1.0% [95% CI, -8.9% to 7.1%]). There were no significant differences in the number of serious adverse events or adverse events of clinical interest between the groups.Conclusions and relevanceIn this clinical trial of simultaneous doses of RZV and aIIV4 compared with simultaneous doses of RZV and HD-IIV4, overall safety findings were similar between groups. From a safety standpoint, this study supports the simultaneous administration of RZV and aIIV4 among older adults.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05007041.

Dataset Information

The Impact of Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine on Disease Severity in the US: A Stochastic Model.

Publications

The Impact of Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine on Disease Severity in the US: A Stochastic Model.

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