Dataset Information

Relationships between COVID-19 healthcare outcomes and county characteristics in the U.S. for Delta (B.1.617.2) and Omicron (B.1.1.529 and BA.1.1) variants.

ABSTRACT:

Background

COVID-19 is constantly evolving, and highly populated communities consist of many different characteristics that may contribute to COVID-19 health outcomes. Therefore, we aimed to (1) quantify the relationships between county characteristics and severe and non-severe county-level health outcomes related to COVID-19. We also aimed to (2) compare these relationships across time periods where the Delta (B.1.617.2) and Omicron (B.1.1.529 and BA.1.1) variants were dominant in the U.S.

Methods

We used multiple regression to measure the strength of relationships between healthcare outcomes and county characteristics in the 50 most populous U.S. counties.

Results

We found many different significant predictors including the proportion of a population vaccinated, median household income, population density, and the proportion of residents aged 65+, but mainly found that socioeconomic factors and the proportion of a population vaccinated play a large role in the dynamics of the spread and severity of COVID-19 in communities with high populations.

Discussion

The present study shines light on the associations between public health outcomes and county characteristics and how these relationships change throughout Delta and Omicron's dominance. It is important to understand factors underlying COVID-19 health outcomes to prepare for future health crises.

SUBMITTER: Bruckhaus AA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10693294 | biostudies-literature | 2023

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Relationships between COVID-19 healthcare outcomes and county characteristics in the U.S. for Delta (B.1.617.2) and Omicron (B.1.1.529 and BA.1.1) variants.

Bruckhaus Alexander A AA Zhang Yujia Y Salehi Sana S Abedi Aidin A Duncan Dominique D

Frontiers in public health 20231117

<h4>Background</h4>COVID-19 is constantly evolving, and highly populated communities consist of many different characteristics that may contribute to COVID-19 health outcomes. Therefore, we aimed to (1) quantify the relationships between county characteristics and severe and non-severe county-level health outcomes related to COVID-19. We also aimed to (2) compare these relationships across time periods where the Delta (B.1.617.2) and Omicron (B.1.1.529 and BA.1.1) variants were dominant in the U ...[more]

PMID: 38045980

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Project description:ObjectiveTo assess the risk of covid-19 death after infection with omicron BA.1 compared with delta (B.1.617.2).DesignRetrospective cohort study.SettingEngland, United Kingdom, from 1 December 2021 to 30 December 2021.Participants1 035 149 people aged 18-100 years who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 under the national surveillance programme and had an infection identified as omicron BA.1 or delta compatible.Main outcome measuresThe main outcome measure was covid-19 death as identified from death certification records. The exposure of interest was the SARS-CoV-2 variant identified from NHS Test and Trace PCR positive tests taken in the community (pillar 2) and analysed by Lighthouse laboratories. Cause specific Cox proportional hazard regression models (censoring non-covid-19 deaths) were adjusted for sex, age, vaccination status, previous infection, calendar time, ethnicity, index of multiple deprivation rank, household deprivation, university degree, keyworker status, country of birth, main language, region, disability, and comorbidities. Interactions between variant and sex, age, vaccination status, and comorbidities were also investigated.ResultsThe risk of covid-19 death was 66% lower (95% confidence interval 54% to 75%) for omicron BA.1 compared with delta after adjusting for a wide range of potential confounders. The reduction in the risk of covid-19 death for omicron compared with delta was more pronounced in people aged 18-59 years (number of deaths: delta=46, omicron=11; hazard ratio 0.14, 95% confidence interval 0.07 to 0.27) than in those aged ≥70 years (number of deaths: delta=113, omicron=135; hazard ratio 0.44, 95% confidence interval 0.32 to 0.61, P<0.0001). No evidence of a difference in risk was found between variant and number of comorbidities.ConclusionsThe results support earlier studies showing a reduction in severity of infection with omicron BA.1 compared with delta in terms of hospital admission. This study extends the research to also show a reduction in the risk of covid-19 death for the omicron variant compared with the delta variant.

Project description:BackgroundThe SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.529 (Omicron) was first described in November 2021 and became the dominant variant worldwide. Existing data suggests a reduced disease severity with Omicron infections in comparison to B.1.617.2 (Delta). Differences in characteristics and in-hospital outcomes of COVID-19 patients in Germany during the Omicron period compared to Delta are not thoroughly studied. ICD-10-code-based severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) surveillance represents an integral part of infectious disease control in Germany.MethodsAdministrative data from 89 German Helios hospitals was retrospectively analysed. Laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections were identified by ICD-10-code U07.1 and SARI cases by ICD-10-codes J09-J22. COVID-19 cases were stratified by concomitant SARI. A nine-week observational period between December 6, 2021 and February 6, 2022 was defined and divided into three phases with respect to the dominating virus variant (Delta, Delta to Omicron transition, Omicron). Regression analyses adjusted for age, gender and Elixhauser comorbidities were applied to assess in-hospital patient outcomes.ResultsA total cohort of 4,494 inpatients was analysed. Patients in the Omicron dominance period were younger (mean age 47.8 vs. 61.6; p < 0.01), more likely to be female (54.7% vs. 47.5%; p < 0.01) and characterized by a lower comorbidity burden (mean Elixhauser comorbidity index 5.4 vs. 8.2; p < 0.01). Comparing Delta and Omicron periods, patients were at significantly lower risk for intensive care treatment (adjusted odds ratio 0.72 [0.57-0.91]; p = 0.005), mechanical ventilation (adjusted odds ratio 0.42 [0.31-0.57]; p < 0.001), and in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio 0.42 [0.32-0.56]; p < 0.001). This also applied mostly to the separate COVID-SARI group. During the Delta to Omicron transition, case numbers of COVID-19 without SARI exceeded COVID-SARI for the first time in the pandemic's course.ConclusionPatient characteristics and outcomes differ during the Omicron dominance period as compared to Delta suggesting a reduced disease severity with Omicron infections. SARI surveillance might play a crucial role in assessing disease severity of future SARS-CoV-2 variants.

Project description:ObjectivesWe provided COVID-19 outbreak trends in South Africa during the Omicron (B.1.1.529), Delta (B.1.617.2), and Beta (B.1.351) variants outbreak periods from November 2020 to March 2022.MethodsWe used the time series summary data of the COVID-19 outbreak for South Africa available in the COVID-19 data repository created by the Center for System and Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University and the Our World in Data database by the University of Oxford from January 2020 to March 2022. We used the joinpoint regression model with a data-driven Bayesian information criterion method for analyzing the outbreak trends. In addition, we used density ellipses and partition modeling on the outbreak data.ResultsDuring the Omicron outbreak period, COVID-19 cases in South Africa significantly jumped by 4.7 times from December 01 to December 08, 2021. The average daily growth rate of incidence peaked at 23,000 cases/day until December 16, 2021, which was 18.6 % higher than the peak growth during the Delta outbreak period. South Africa experienced peak growth in COVID-19 cases with 18,611 cases/day (January 04 to January 14, 2021) during the Beta outbreak period and with 19,395 cases/day (July 01 to July 11, 2021) during the Delta outbreak period. Density ellipsoid showed a significant correlation between daily cases and daily death count during the Beta and Delta outbreak period which was not prominent in the Omicron outbreak period. Comparatively higher daily death tolls were reported in days with a recovery rate of less than 89.1 % and 91.9 % in the Beta and Delta outbreak period respectively. The backlog counts may be one of the reasons for the significant increase in daily death tolls during the Omicron period.ConclusionsDuring the Omicron period, COVID-19 cases peaked growth was 18.6 % higher than the peak growth during the Delta outbreak period. Despite that fact, growth in death trends in the Omicron outbreak period was found low which might be due to the low mortality rate and case fatality proportion. The emergence of the Omicron variant once again reminds us that- "no one is safe until everyone is safe".

Dataset Information

Relationships between COVID-19 healthcare outcomes and county characteristics in the U.S. for Delta (B.1.617.2) and Omicron (B.1.1.529 and BA.1.1) variants.

Background

Methods

Results

Discussion

Publications

Relationships between COVID-19 healthcare outcomes and county characteristics in the U.S. for Delta (B.1.617.2) and Omicron (B.1.1.529 and BA.1.1) variants.

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