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Integrated global assessment of the natural forest carbon potential.


ABSTRACT: Forests are a substantial terrestrial carbon sink, but anthropogenic changes in land use and climate have considerably reduced the scale of this system1. Remote-sensing estimates to quantify carbon losses from global forests2-5 are characterized by considerable uncertainty and we lack a comprehensive ground-sourced evaluation to benchmark these estimates. Here we combine several ground-sourced6 and satellite-derived approaches2,7,8 to evaluate the scale of the global forest carbon potential outside agricultural and urban lands. Despite regional variation, the predictions demonstrated remarkable consistency at a global scale, with only a 12% difference between the ground-sourced and satellite-derived estimates. At present, global forest carbon storage is markedly under the natural potential, with a total deficit of 226 Gt (model range = 151-363 Gt) in areas with low human footprint. Most (61%, 139 Gt C) of this potential is in areas with existing forests, in which ecosystem protection can allow forests to recover to maturity. The remaining 39% (87 Gt C) of potential lies in regions in which forests have been removed or fragmented. Although forests cannot be a substitute for emissions reductions, our results support the idea2,3,9 that the conservation, restoration and sustainable management of diverse forests offer valuable contributions to meeting global climate and biodiversity targets.

SUBMITTER: Mo L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10700142 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Integrated global assessment of the natural forest carbon potential.

Mo Lidong L   Zohner Constantin M CM   Reich Peter B PB   Liang Jingjing J   de Miguel Sergio S   Nabuurs Gert-Jan GJ   Renner Susanne S SS   van den Hoogen Johan J   Araza Arnan A   Herold Martin M   Mirzagholi Leila L   Ma Haozhi H   Averill Colin C   Phillips Oliver L OL   Gamarra Javier G P JGP   Hordijk Iris I   Routh Devin D   Abegg Meinrad M   Adou Yao Yves C YC   Alberti Giorgio G   Almeyda Zambrano Angelica M AM   Alvarado Braulio Vilchez BV   Alvarez-Dávila Esteban E   Alvarez-Loayza Patricia P   Alves Luciana F LF   Amaral Iêda I   Ammer Christian C   Antón-Fernández Clara C   Araujo-Murakami Alejandro A   Arroyo Luzmila L   Avitabile Valerio V   Aymard Gerardo A GA   Baker Timothy R TR   Bałazy Radomir R   Banki Olaf O   Barroso Jorcely G JG   Bastian Meredith L ML   Bastin Jean-Francois JF   Birigazzi Luca L   Birnbaum Philippe P   Bitariho Robert R   Boeckx Pascal P   Bongers Frans F   Bouriaud Olivier O   Brancalion Pedro H S PHS   Brandl Susanne S   Brearley Francis Q FQ   Brienen Roel R   Broadbent Eben N EN   Bruelheide Helge H   Bussotti Filippo F   Cazzolla Gatti Roberto R   César Ricardo G RG   Cesljar Goran G   Chazdon Robin L RL   Chen Han Y H HYH   Chisholm Chelsea C   Cho Hyunkook H   Cienciala Emil E   Clark Connie C   Clark David D   Colletta Gabriel D GD   Coomes David A DA   Cornejo Valverde Fernando F   Corral-Rivas José J JJ   Crim Philip M PM   Cumming Jonathan R JR   Dayanandan Selvadurai S   de Gasper André L AL   Decuyper Mathieu M   Derroire Géraldine G   DeVries Ben B   Djordjevic Ilija I   Dolezal Jiri J   Dourdain Aurélie A   Engone Obiang Nestor Laurier NL   Enquist Brian J BJ   Eyre Teresa J TJ   Fandohan Adandé Belarmain AB   Fayle Tom M TM   Feldpausch Ted R TR   Ferreira Leandro V LV   Finér Leena L   Fischer Markus M   Fletcher Christine C   Frizzera Lorenzo L   Gianelle Damiano D   Glick Henry B HB   Harris David J DJ   Hector Andrew A   Hemp Andreas A   Hengeveld Geerten G   Hérault Bruno B   Herbohn John L JL   Hillers Annika A   Honorio Coronado Eurídice N EN   Hui Cang C   Ibanez Thomas T   Imai Nobuo N   Jagodziński Andrzej M AM   Jaroszewicz Bogdan B   Johannsen Vivian Kvist VK   Joly Carlos A CA   Jucker Tommaso T   Jung Ilbin I   Karminov Viktor V   Kartawinata Kuswata K   Kearsley Elizabeth E   Kenfack David D   Kennard Deborah K DK   Kepfer-Rojas Sebastian S   Keppel Gunnar G   Khan Mohammed Latif ML   Killeen Timothy J TJ   Kim Hyun Seok HS   Kitayama Kanehiro K   Köhl Michael M   Korjus Henn H   Kraxner Florian F   Kucher Dmitry D   Laarmann Diana D   Lang Mait M   Lu Huicui H   Lukina Natalia V NV   Maitner Brian S BS   Malhi Yadvinder Y   Marcon Eric E   Marimon Beatriz Schwantes BS   Marimon-Junior Ben Hur BH   Marshall Andrew R AR   Martin Emanuel H EH   Meave Jorge A JA   Melo-Cruz Omar O   Mendoza Casimiro C   Mendoza-Polo Irina I   Miscicki Stanislaw S   Merow Cory C   Monteagudo Mendoza Abel A   Moreno Vanessa S VS   Mukul Sharif A SA   Mundhenk Philip P   Nava-Miranda María Guadalupe MG   Neill David D   Neldner Victor J VJ   Nevenic Radovan V RV   Ngugi Michael R MR   Niklaus Pascal A PA   Oleksyn Jacek J   Ontikov Petr P   Ortiz-Malavasi Edgar E   Pan Yude Y   Paquette Alain A   Parada-Gutierrez Alexander A   Parfenova Elena I EI   Park Minjee M   Parren Marc M   Parthasarathy Narayanaswamy N   Peri Pablo L PL   Pfautsch Sebastian S   Picard Nicolas N   Piedade Maria Teresa F MTF   Piotto Daniel D   Pitman Nigel C A NCA   Poulsen Axel Dalberg AD   Poulsen John R JR   Pretzsch Hans H   Ramirez Arevalo Freddy F   Restrepo-Correa Zorayda Z   Rodeghiero Mirco M   Rolim Samir G SG   Roopsind Anand A   Rovero Francesco F   Rutishauser Ervan E   Saikia Purabi P   Salas-Eljatib Christian C   Saner Philippe P   Schall Peter P   Schelhaas Mart-Jan MJ   Schepaschenko Dmitry D   Scherer-Lorenzen Michael M   Schmid Bernhard B   Schöngart Jochen J   Searle Eric B EB   Seben Vladimír V   Serra-Diaz Josep M JM   Sheil Douglas D   Shvidenko Anatoly Z AZ   Silva-Espejo Javier E JE   Silveira Marcos M   Singh James J   Sist Plinio P   Slik Ferry F   Sonké Bonaventure B   Souza Alexandre F AF   Stereńczak Krzysztof J KJ   Svenning Jens-Christian JC   Svoboda Miroslav M   Swanepoel Ben B   Targhetta Natalia N   Tchebakova Nadja N   Ter Steege Hans H   Thomas Raquel R   Tikhonova Elena E   Umunay Peter M PM   Usoltsev Vladimir A VA   Valencia Renato R   Valladares Fernando F   van der Plas Fons F   Van Do Tran T   van Nuland Michael E ME   Vasquez Rodolfo M RM   Verbeeck Hans H   Viana Helder H   Vibrans Alexander C AC   Vieira Simone S   von Gadow Klaus K   Wang Hua-Feng HF   Watson James V JV   Werner Gijsbert D A GDA   Wiser Susan K SK   Wittmann Florian F   Woell Hannsjoerg H   Wortel Verginia V   Zagt Roderik R   Zawiła-Niedźwiecki Tomasz T   Zhang Chunyu C   Zhao Xiuhai X   Zhou Mo M   Zhu Zhi-Xin ZX   Zo-Bi Irie C IC   Gann George D GD   Crowther Thomas W TW  

Nature 20231113 7990


Forests are a substantial terrestrial carbon sink, but anthropogenic changes in land use and climate have considerably reduced the scale of this system<sup>1</sup>. Remote-sensing estimates to quantify carbon losses from global forests<sup>2-5</sup> are characterized by considerable uncertainty and we lack a comprehensive ground-sourced evaluation to benchmark these estimates. Here we combine several ground-sourced<sup>6</sup> and satellite-derived approaches<sup>2,7,8</sup> to evaluate the scal  ...[more]

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