Project description:ObjectiveTo assess the effect of the number of positive lymph nodes (LNs) on the overall survival (OS) of patients with submandibular gland cancer (SmGC).MethodsPatients who had undergone neck dissection for SmGC were retrospectively enrolled in this study. The effect of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) N stage, the number of positive LNs, LN size, LN ratio, and extranodal extension (ENE) on OS and recurrence-free survival (RFS) was evaluated using Cox analysis. Prognostic models were proposed based on the identified significant variable, and their performance was compared using hazard consistency and discrimination.ResultsIn total, 129 patients were included in this study. The number of positive LNs rather than LN ratio, LN size, and ENE was associated with OS. A prognostic model based on the number of positive LNs (0 vs. 1-2 vs. 3+) demonstrated a higher likelihood ratio and Harrell's C index than those according to the 7th/8th edition of the AJCC N stage in predicting OS and RFS.ConclusionsThe effect of LN metastasis on OS and RFS was mainly determined by the number of positive LNs. A validation of this finding is warranted in adenoid cystic carcinomas that were not included in this study.
Project description:BackgroundThe nodal classification of lung cancer is determined by the anatomical location of metastatic lymph nodes (mLNs). However, prognosis can be heterogeneous at the same nodal stage, and the current classification system requires improvement. Therefore, we investigated the correlation between the number of mLNs and prognosis in patients with non-small cell lung cancer.MethodsUsing a multicenter database in Japan, we retrospectively reviewed the records of patients who underwent complete resection for lung cancer between 2010 and 2016. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to determine recurrence-free and overall survival. Multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazards model.ResultsWe included 1,567 patients in this study. We could show a statistically significant difference in recurrence-free survival between pN2 patients with 1 mLN and pN2 patients with ≥2 mLNs (P=0.016). Patients with a combination of pN1 (≥4 mLNs) plus pN2 (1 mLN) had a poorer prognosis than pN1 patients (1-3 mLNs) (P=0.061) and a better prognosis than pN2 patients (≥2 mLNs) patients (P=0.007). Multivariate analysis showed that the number of mLNs was independently associated with cancer recurrence in patients with pN1 and pN2 disease (P=0.034 and 0.018, respectively).ConclusionsNodal classification that combines anatomical location and the number of mLNs may predict prognosis more accurately than the current classification system. Our study provides the concept that supports the subdivision of nodal classification in the upcoming revision of the tumor, node, and metastasis staging system.
Project description:BackgroundTo identify the cut-off values for the number of metastatic lymph nodes (nMLN) and lymph node ratio (LNR) that can predict outcomes in patients with FIGO 2018 IIICp cervical cancer (CC).MethodsPatients with CC who underwent radical hysterectomy with pelvic lymphadenectomy were identified for a propensity score-matched (PSM) cohort study. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to determine the critical nMLN and LNR values. Five-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates were compared using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard regression analyses.ResultsThis study included 3,135 CC patients with stage FIGO 2018 IIICp from 47 Chinese hospitals between 2004 and 2018. Based on ROC curve analysis, the cut-off values for nMLN and LNR were 3.5 and 0.11, respectively. The final cohort consisted of nMLN ≤ 3 (n = 2,378) and nMLN > 3 (n = 757) groups and LNR ≤ 0.11 (n = 1,748) and LNR > 0.11 (n = 1,387) groups. Significant differences were found in survival between the nMLN ≤ 3 vs the nMLN > 3 (post-PSM, OS: 76.8% vs 67.9%, P = 0.003; hazard ratio [HR]: 1.411, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.108-1.798, P = 0.005; DFS: 65.5% vs 55.3%, P < 0.001; HR: 1.428, 95% CI: 1.175-1.735, P < 0.001), and the LNR ≤ 0.11 and LNR > 0.11 (post-PSM, OS: 82.5% vs 76.9%, P = 0.010; HR: 1.407, 95% CI: 1.103-1.794, P = 0.006; DFS: 72.8% vs 65.1%, P = 0.002; HR: 1.347, 95% CI: 1.110-1.633, P = 0.002) groups.ConclusionsThis study found that nMLN > 3 and LNR > 0.11 were associated with poor prognosis in CC patients.
Project description:To develop a nomogram to predict the prognosis of gastric cancer patients on the basis of metastatic lymph nodes ratio (mLNR), especially in the patients with total number of examined lymph nodes (TLN) less than 15. The nomogram was constructed based on a retrospective database that included 2,205 patients underwent curative resection in Cancer Center, Sun Yat-sen University (SYSUCC). Resectable gastric cancer (RGC) patients underwent curative resection before December 31, 2008 were assigned as the training set (n=1,470) and those between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2012 were selected as the internal validation set (n=735). Additional external validations were also performed separately by an independent data set (n=602) from Jiangxi Provincial Cancer Hospital (JXCH) in Jiangxi, China and a data set (n=3,317) from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The Independent risk factors were identified by Multivariate Cox Regression. In the SYSUCC set, TNM (Tumor-node-metastasis) and TRM-based (Tumor-Positive Nodes Ratio-Metastasis) nomograms were constructed respectively. The TNM-based nomogram showed better discrimination than the AJCC-TNM staging system (C-index: 0.73 versus 0.69, p<0.01). When the mLNR was included in the nomogram, the C-index increased to 0.76. Furthermore, the C-index in the TRM-based nomogram was similar between TLN ≥16 (C-index: 0.77) and TLN ≤15 (C-index: 0.75). The discrimination was further ascertained by internal and external validations. We developed and validated a novel TRM-based nomogram that provided more accurate prediction of survival for gastric cancer patients who underwent curative resection, regardless of the number of examined lymph nodes.
Project description:Background: This study was designed to validate the prognostic significance of the ratio of positive to examined lymph nodes (LNR) in patients with colorectal cancer. Methods: 218,314 patients from the SEER database and 1,811 patients from the three independent multicenter were included in this study. The patients were divided into 5 groups on a basis of previous published LNR: LNR0, patients with no metastatic lymph nodes; LNR1, patients with the LNR between 0.1 and 0.17; LNR2, patients with the LNR between 0.18 and 0.41; LNR3, patients with the LNR between 0.42 and 0.69; LNR4, patients with the LNR >0.7. The 5-year OS and CSS rate were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method and the survival difference was tested using log-rank test. Multivariate Cox analysis was used to further assess the influence of the LNR on patients' outcome. Results: The 5-year OS rate of patients within LNR0 to LNR4 group was 71.2, 55.8, 39.3, 22.6, and 14.6%, respectively (p < 0.001) in the SEER database. While the 5-year OS rate of those with LNR0 to LNR4 was 75.2, 66.1, 48.0, 34.0, and 17.7%, respectively (p < 0.001) in the international multicenter cohort. In the multivariate analysis, LNR was demonstrated to be a strong prognostic factor in patients with < 12 and ≥12 metastatic lymph nodes. Furthermore, the LNR had a similar impact on the patients' prognosis in colon cancer and rectal cancer. Conclusion: The LNR allowed better prognostic stratification than the positive node (pN) in patients with colorectal cancer and the cut-off values were well validated.
Project description:Background: Logarithmic ratio of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), number of positive lymph nodes (NPLN), and number of lymph nodes to positive lymph nodes (pLNR) are three lymph node classifications; however, their function in prognosis is unclear. Purpose: To establish and validate an optimal nomogram according to the comparison among the 7th TNM stage of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) and the three lymph node classifications. Methods: A total of 881 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Result (SEER database) with T1-4N1-3M0 in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma from 2000 to 2018 were involved. The enrolled patients were allocated randomly into a training cohort and a validation cohort. Univariate cox regression analysis and multivariable cox regression analysis were applied to explore the predictors. The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Harrell's concordance index (C-index) were to measure the predictive value and the accuracy of the prognostic models. Moreover, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification index (NRI) were also used to assess the predictive abilities to models. According to the optimal model, nomograms were established and compared with 7th TNM stage of AJCC via the decision curve analysis. Results: NPLN, LODDS, and pLNR were three predictors for the overall and cancer-specific survival in the larynx squamous cell carcinoma. According to the AIC, C-index, IDI, and NRI, the model of NPLN combined with LODDS was assumed as the optimal prognostic model. Moreover, the decision curve analysis suggested that the nomogram demonstrated a better predictive performance, compared with the 7th AJCC TNM stage. Conclusion: The proposed nomograms we constructed for larynx squamous cell carcinoma has potential in the prediction of patients after surgery.
Project description:AimThe prognosis for gastric cancer (GC) remains grim, underscoring the importance of accurate staging and treatment. Given the potential benefits of using lymph node ratio (LNR) for improved prognostication and treatment planning, it is critical to incorporate examined lymph nodes (ELN) count in an integrated GC staging system.MethodsPatients data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2015 was utilized as training set. The Mantel-Cox survival test was used to calculate chi-square values for 40 LNR segments with a 0.025 interval, defining a novel LNR-based N (rN) classification based on the cutoff points. A revised AJCC (rAJCC) staging system was established by replacing the 8th AJCC N staging with a rN classification. The relationship between the ELN count and prognosis or positive lymph node detection was conducted by using multivariable models. The series of the odds ratios and hazard ratios were fitted with a locally weighted scatterplot smoothing (LOWESS) smoother, and the structural break points were determined by Chow test to clarify an optimal minimum ELN count. The integrated GC staging system incorporated both rAJCC system and the ideal ELN count. Discriminatory ability and prognostic homogeneity of the rAJCC and integrated staging system was compared with AJCC staging system in the SEER validation set (2016-2017), the Cancer Genome Atlas Program (TCGA) database, and the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University database.ResultsThe current study found that LNR and ELN count are both significantly associated with the prognosis of GC patients (HR = 0.98, p < 0.001 and HR = 2.51, p < 0.001). Four peaks of the chi-square value were identified as LNR cut-off points at 0.025, 0.175, 0.45 and 0.6 to define a novel rN stage. In comparison to the 8th AJCC staging system, the rAJCC staging system demonstrated significant prognostic advantages and discriminatory ability in the training set (5-Y OS AUC: 71.7 vs. 73.0; AIC: 57,290.7 vs. 57,054.9). The superiority of the rAJCC staging system was confirmed in all validation sets. Using a LOWESS smoother and Chow test, a threshold ELN count of 30 was determined to maximum improvement in the prognosis of node-negative patients without downgrading due to potential metastasis, while also maximizing the detection efficiency of at least one involved lymph node. The integrated staging system, combining the refined rAJCC classification with an optimized ELN count threshold, has demonstrated superior discriminatory performance compared to the standalone rAJCC or the traditional AJCC system.ConclusionThe development of a novel GC staging system, which integrated the LNR-based N classification and the minimum ELN count, has exhibited superior prognostic accuracy, holding promise as a valuable asset in the clinical management of GC. However, it is crucial to recognize the limitations from the retrospective database, which should be addressed in subsequent analyses.
Project description:BACKGROUND:Globally, colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third and second leading cancer in men and women respectively with 600,000 deaths per year. Traditionally, clinicians have relied solely on nodal disease involvement, and measurements such as lymph node ratio (LNR; the ratio of metastatic/positive lymph nodes to total number of lymph nodes examined), when determining patient prognosis in CRC. The log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) is a logistic transformation formula that uses pathologic lymph node data to stratify survival differences among patients within a single stage of disease. This formula allows clinicians to identify whether patients with clinically aggressive tumours fall into higher-risk groups regardless of nodal positivity and can potentially guide adjuvant treatment modalities. The aim of this study was to investigate whether LODDS in colon cancer provides better prognostication compared to LNR. METHODS:A retrospective study of patients on the prospectively maintained Cabrini Monash University Department of Surgery colorectal neoplasia database, incorporating data from hospitals in Melbourne Australia, identified patients entered between January 2010 and March 2016. Association of LODDS and LNR with clinical variables were analysed. Disease-free (DFS) and overall (OS) survival were investigated with Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses. RESULTS:There were 862 treatment episodes identified in the database (402 male, 47%). The median patient age was 73 (range 22-100?years). There were 799 colonic cancers and 63 rectosigmoid cancers. The lymph node yield (LNY) was suboptimal (<?12) in 168 patients (19.5%) (p?=?0.05). The 5-year OS for the different LNR groups were 86, 91 and 61% (p?<?0.001) for LNR0 (655 episodes), LNR1 (128 episodes) and LNR2 (78 episodes), respectively. For LODDS, they were 85, 91 and 61% (p?<?0.001) in LODDS0 (569 episodes), LODDS1 (217 episodes) and LODDS2 (75 episodes) groups (p?<?0.001). Overall survival rates were comparable between the LNR and LODDS group and for LNY?<?12 and stage III patients when each were sub-grouped by LODDS and LNR. CONCLUSION:This study has shown for that the prognostic impact of LODDS is comparable to LNR for colon cancer patients. Accordingly, LNR is recommended for prognostication given its ease of calculation.
Project description:Epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) plays a key role in tumor metastasis, but the significance of EMT phenotype to the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients remains unclear. We used immunohistochemistry to examine the expression of the EMT-related proteins E-cadherin, N-cadherin and vimentin in samples of T3N1-3M0 ESCC from 155 primary tumors (PTs) with paired metastatic lymph nodes (MLNs) and 58 PTs without paired MLNs. Based on the expression pattern of the EMT markers, PTs and MLNs were classified as EMT wild, hybrid, null or complete type. The hybrid (42.7%) and complete (39.4%) types predominated among PTs, whereas the wild (34.2%) and hybrid (52.9%) types predominated among MLNs, and EMT phenotypes differed between the paired PTs and MLNs (P < 0.001). Univariate analysis revealed that, for PTs, the EMT phenotype was associated with N-stage (P = 0.039) but not patient survival, and that patients with complete or hybrid type MLNs had better overall survival (OS, P = 0.001) and disease-free survival (DFS, P = 0.005) than patients with null and wild type MLNs, especially those with N1-stage disease (P = 0.017 for OS, and P = 0.017 for DFS, respectively). Multivariate analysis revealed that wild and null type MLNs as well as older age and N2-3 stage were independent predictors of OS and DFS (P < 0.05). Thus MLNs exhibit EMT phenotypes that are distinct from those of their PT and may serve as a novel independent prognostic indicator in ESCC.
Project description:BackgroundThe current N classification, which is determined by the anatomical location of positive lymph nodes, does not effectively stratify N1 and N2 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients into prognostically significant subgroups.MethodsWe acquired the clinical data of 3,234 N1 and N2 NSCLC patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2004-2015). We eliminated patients undergoing chemotherapy or radiation because chemotherapy and radiotherapy might lower lymph node stage, and the SEER database does not distinguish between therapy administered before and after surgery. We developed the N-new classification based on the former N stage, the number and ratio of lymph nodes. Patients were finally classified into four categories (N1a, N1b, N2a, N2b). Then, the N-new classification was validated in subgroups based on a variety of clinical characteristics, such as tumor size. The multivariable Cox regression analysis, the decision curve analysis (DCA) and the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were conducted to compare the performance of the N-new classification and the current N classification.ResultsThe cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival were significantly different among each pair of N-new classification. And the same results were shown in the majority of the subgroups determined by various clinical characteristics. Compared with the current N classification (C-index, 0.639), the N-new classification (C-index, 0.652) performed better in classifying N1 and N2 NSCLC patients into subgroups with distinctive clinical outcomes. The 5-year CSS rates were 49.7%, 41.4%, 30.4% and 20.4% for N1a, N1b, N2a and N2b, respectively.ConclusionsWhen compared to the current N classification, the N-new classification could be a more reliable and accurate prognostic determinant, which is worth considering in the revision of the 9th edition of the tumor, node, metastasis (TNM) staging system.