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Anti-inflammatory response-based risk assessment in acute type A aortic dissection: A national multicenter cohort study.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Early identification of patients at high risk of operative mortality is important for acute type A aortic dissection (TAAD). We aimed to investigate whether patients with distinct risk stratifications respond differently to anti-inflammatory pharmacotherapy.

Methods

From 13 cardiovascular hospitals, 3110 surgically repaired TAAD patients were randomly divided into a training set (70%) and a test set (30%) to develop and validate a risk model to predict operative mortality using extreme gradient boosting. Performance was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Subgroup analyses were performed by risk stratifications (low versus middle-high risk) and anti-inflammatory pharmacotherapy (absence versus presence of ulinastatin use).

Results

A simplified risk model was developed for predicting operative mortality, consisting of the top ten features of importance: platelet-leukocyte ratio, D-dimer, activated partial thromboplastin time, urea nitrogen, glucose, lactate, base excess, hemoglobin, albumin, and creatine kinase-MB, which displayed a superior discrimination ability (AUC: 0.943, 95 % CI 0.928-0.958 and 0.884, 95 % CI 0.836-0.932) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Ulinastatin use was not associated with decreased risk of operative mortality among each risk stratification, however, ulinastatin use was associated with a shorter mechanical ventilation duration among patients with middle-high risk (defined as risk probability >5.0 %) (β -1.6 h, 95 % CI [-3.1, -0.1] hours; P = 0.048).

Conclusion

This risk model reflecting inflammatory, coagulation, and metabolic pathways achieved acceptable predictive performances of operative mortality following TAAD surgery, which will contribute to individualized anti-inflammatory pharmacotherapy.

SUBMITTER: Liu H 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10835346 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Anti-inflammatory response-based risk assessment in acute type A aortic dissection: A national multicenter cohort study.

Liu Hong H   Sun Bing-Qi BQ   Tang Zhi-Wei ZW   Qian Si-Chong SC   Zheng Si-Qiang SQ   Wang Qing-Yuan QY   Shao Yong-Feng YF   Chen Jun-Quan JQ   Yang Ji-Nong JN   Ding Yi Y   Zhang Hong-Jia HJ  

International journal of cardiology. Heart & vasculature 20240123


<h4>Background</h4>Early identification of patients at high risk of operative mortality is important for acute type A aortic dissection (TAAD). We aimed to investigate whether patients with distinct risk stratifications respond differently to anti-inflammatory pharmacotherapy.<h4>Methods</h4>From 13 cardiovascular hospitals, 3110 surgically repaired TAAD patients were randomly divided into a training set (70%) and a test set (30%) to develop and validate a risk model to predict operative mortali  ...[more]

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