Destabilization of epidemic models with the inclusion of realistic distributions of infectious periods.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Lloyd AL
PROVIDER: S-EPMC1088698 | biostudies-literature | 2001 May
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Destabilization of epidemic models with the inclusion of realistic distributions of infectious periods.
Proceedings. Biological sciences 20010501 1470
Most mathematical models used to understand the dynamical patterns seen in the incidence of childhood viral diseases, such as measles, employ a simple, but epidemiologically unrealistic, description of the infection and recovery process. The inclusion of more realistic descriptions of the recovery process is shown to cause a significant destabilization of the model. When there is seasonal variation in discase transmission this destabilization leads to the appearance of complex dynamical patterns ...[more]
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