Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT: Purpose
In IVF treatments, extended culture to single blastocyst transfer is the recommended protocol over cleavage-stage transfer. However, evidence-based criteria for assessing the heterogeneous implications on implantation outcomes are lacking. The purpose of this work is to estimate the causal effect of blastocyst transfer on implantation outcome.Methods
We fit a causal forest model using a multicenter observational dataset that includes an exogenous source of variability in treatment assignment and has a strong claim for satisfying the assumptions needed for valid causal inference from observational data.Results
We quantified the probability difference in embryo implantation if transferred as a blastocyst versus cleavage stage. Blastocyst transfer increased the average implantation rate; however, we revealed a subpopulation of embryos whose implantation potential is predicted to increase via cleavage-stage transfer.Conclusion
Relative to the current policy, the proposed embryo transfer policy retrospectively improves implantation rate from 0.2 to 0.27. Our work demonstrates the efficacy of implementing causal inference in reproductive medicine and motivates its utilization in medical disciplines that are dominated by retrospective datasets.
SUBMITTER: Kan-Tor Y
PROVIDER: S-EPMC10957840 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Mar
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Kan-Tor Yoav Y Srebnik Naama N Gavish Matan M Shalit Uri U Buxboim Amnon A
Journal of assisted reproduction and genetics 20240207 3
<h4>Purpose</h4>In IVF treatments, extended culture to single blastocyst transfer is the recommended protocol over cleavage-stage transfer. However, evidence-based criteria for assessing the heterogeneous implications on implantation outcomes are lacking. The purpose of this work is to estimate the causal effect of blastocyst transfer on implantation outcome.<h4>Methods</h4>We fit a causal forest model using a multicenter observational dataset that includes an exogenous source of variability in ...[more]