Dataset Information

Artificial intelligence-enabled prediction of chemotherapy-induced cardiotoxicity from baseline electrocardiograms.

ABSTRACT: Anthracyclines can cause cancer therapy-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD) that adversely affects prognosis. Despite guideline recommendations, only half of the patients undergo surveillance echocardiograms. An AI model detecting reduced left ventricular ejection fraction from 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECG) (AI-EF model) suggests ECG features reflect left ventricular pathophysiology. We hypothesized that AI could predict CTRCD from baseline ECG, leveraging the AI-EF model's insights, and developed the AI-CTRCD model using transfer learning on the AI-EF model. In 1011 anthracycline-treated patients, 8.7% experienced CTRCD. High AI-CTRCD scores indicated elevated CTRCD risk (hazard ratio (HR), 2.66; 95% CI 1.73-4.10; log-rank p < 0.001). This remained consistent after adjusting for risk factors (adjusted HR, 2.57; 95% CI 1.62-4.10; p < 0.001). AI-CTRCD score enhanced prediction beyond known factors (time-dependent AUC for 2 years: 0.78 with AI-CTRCD score vs. 0.74 without; p = 0.005). In conclusion, the AI model robustly stratified CTRCD risk from baseline ECG.

SUBMITTER: Yagi R

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10957877 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Artificial intelligence-enabled prediction of chemotherapy-induced cardiotoxicity from baseline electrocardiograms.

Yagi Ryuichiro R Goto Shinichi S Himeno Yukihiro Y Katsumata Yoshinori Y Hashimoto Masahiro M MacRae Calum A CA Deo Rahul C RC

Nature communications 20240321 1

Anthracyclines can cause cancer therapy-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD) that adversely affects prognosis. Despite guideline recommendations, only half of the patients undergo surveillance echocardiograms. An AI model detecting reduced left ventricular ejection fraction from 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECG) (AI-EF model) suggests ECG features reflect left ventricular pathophysiology. We hypothesized that AI could predict CTRCD from baseline ECG, leveraging the AI-EF model's insights, and deve ...[more]

PMID: 38514629

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Project description:BackgroundLeft ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) characterized by a reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is associated with adverse patient outcomes. We aimed to build a deep neural network (DNN)-based model using standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) to screen for LVSD and stratify patient prognosis.MethodsThis retrospective chart review study was conducted using data from consecutive adults who underwent ECG examinations at Chang Gung Memorial Hospital in Taiwan between October 2007 and December 2019. DNN models were developed to recognize LVSD, defined as LVEF <40%, using original ECG signals or transformed images from 190,359 patients with paired ECG and echocardiogram within 14 days. The 190,359 patients were divided into a training set of 133,225 and a validation set of 57,134. The accuracy of recognizing LVSD and subsequent mortality predictions were tested using ECGs from 190,316 patients with paired data. Of these 190,316 patients, we further selected 49,564 patients with multiple echocardiographic data to predict LVSD incidence. We additionally used data from 1,194,982 patients who underwent ECG only to assess mortality prognostication. External validation was performed using data of 91,425 patients from Tri-Service General Hospital, Taiwan.ResultsThe mean age of patients in the testing dataset was 63.7 ± 16.3 years (46.3% women), and 8,216 patients (4.3%) had LVSD. The median follow-up period was 3.9 years (interquartile range 1.5-7.9 years). The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, and specificity of the signal-based DNN (DNN-signal) to identify LVSD were 0.95, 0.91, and 0.86, respectively. DNN signal-predicted LVSD was associated with age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 2.57 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.53-2.62) for all-cause mortality and 6.09 (5.83-6.37) for cardiovascular mortality. In patients with multiple echocardiograms, a positive DNN prediction in patients with preserved LVEF was associated with an adjusted HR (95% CI) of 8.33 (7.71 to 9.00) for incident LVSD. Signal- and image-based DNNs performed equally well in the primary and additional datasets.ConclusionUsing DNNs, ECG becomes a low-cost, clinically feasible tool to screen LVSD and facilitate accurate prognostication.

Dataset Information

Artificial intelligence-enabled prediction of chemotherapy-induced cardiotoxicity from baseline electrocardiograms.

Publications

Artificial intelligence-enabled prediction of chemotherapy-induced cardiotoxicity from baseline electrocardiograms.

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