A novel non-invasive model to predict high-risk varices in cirrhotic patients.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Ng KKC
PROVIDER: S-EPMC11190524 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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A novel non-invasive model to predict high-risk varices in cirrhotic patients.
Hepatobiliary surgery and nutrition 20240522 3
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Project description:Background and aimsRisk stratification to identify patients with high risk of variceal rebleeding is particularly important in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. In clinical practice, eliminating gastroesphageal varices thoroughly after sequential endoscopic treatment reduces the rebleeding rate, however, no simple method has been build to predict high risk of variceal rebleeding. We conducted this study to explore the value of the number of endoscopic sessions required to eradicate gastroesphageal varices in identifying high risk of rebleeding.Patients and methodsConsecutive cirrhotic patients received sequential endoscopic therapy between January 2015 and March 2020 were enrolled. Endoscopic treatment was performed every 1-4 weeks until the eradication of varices. The primary endpoint was variceal rebleeding.ResultsA total of 146 patients were included of which 60 patients received standard therapy and 86 patients underwent sequential endoscopic treatment alone. The cut-off value of the number of sequential endoscopic sessions is 3.5 times. Variceal rebleeding was significant higher in patients with endoscopic sessions > 3 times versus ≤ 3 times (61.5% vs. 17.5%, p < 0.001). Variceal rebleeding of patients with endoscopic sessions ≤ 3 times was significant lower than patients with > 3 times in group of standard therapy (19.6% vs. 88.9%, p < 0.001) and endoscopic therapy (15.9% vs. 47.1%, p = 0.028) respectively.ConclusionThe number of sequential endoscopic sessions required to eradicate the varices is related to the risk of variceal rebleeding in patients with cirrhosis. If three times of endoscopic treatment can not eradicate the varices, a more aggressive treatment such as TIPS should be seriously considered.
| S-EPMC9063156 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background: Bleeding from esophageal varices is a life-threatening complication in cirrhosis. Screening endoscopy is recommended in cirrhotic patients to identify patients at risk of variceal hemorrhage, but this is an invasive procedure and has limitations. Therefore, thrombocytopenia has been proposed to predict the existence and grade of esophageal varices. The aim of the current study was to determine a correlation between platelet count and grades of esophageal varices in patients with liver cirrhosis. Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted at the POF Hospital, Wah Cantt from 1 st October, 2017 to 30 th May, 2018. Newly diagnosed cases of cirrhosis having varices of any grade on endoscopy were included. Endoscopic findings of patients were standardized using Paquet grading system. On the basis of platelet count, patients were divided into four subgroups. Platelet count groups were correlated with grading of esophageal varices using Spearman rank correlations. Chi Square test was used to see association between the platelet count and grade of esophageal varices. Results: 110 patients were included in the study, 55.5% (n=61) were male. Mean age of the patients was 59.89±9.01 years. Platelet count was <50,000/uL in 35.5% patients, 50,000-99,000/uL in 26.4%, 100,000-150000 in 12.7%, and >150,000/uL in 25.5% patients. Grade I esophageal varices were found in 23.6% of patients, whereas grade II, III and IV were found in 24.5%, 33.6% and 18.2% of patients, respectively. Mean platelet count was 213884.62/mm 3 in patients with grade I varices, whereas it was 119518.52/mm 3, 58386.49/mm 3 and 21600.00/mm 3 in patients with grade II, III and IV varices, respectively (p=<0.0001). A significant negative correlation between platelet count and grades of esophageal varices was found (p<0.001). Conclusion: Platelet count can predict the grade of esophageal varices in cirrhotic patients. There is significant negative correlation between platelet count and grades of esophageal varices.
| S-EPMC8729194 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The safety and efficacy of endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) and radiofrequency ablation for early esophageal cancer (EEC) in cirrhotic patients has not been thoroughly investigated to date. The present study aimed to establish a standard treatment strategy for EEC in cirrhotic patients with esophageal varices. Six cirrhotic patients with early flat-type EECs (high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia) on or adjacent to esophageal varices were enrolled. Esophageal varix ligation (EVL) or transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) were used for the initial management of esophageal varices. Follow-up endoscopy was performed two months following the initial procedure. The mean longitudinal length of the lesions was 4.3 cm (range, 2-6 cm). The average procedure time was 72.8 min (range, 34-135 min) and the average longitudinal length of the resected specimens was 45.6 mm (range, 30-90 mm). One case had a tumor-positive lateral margin with lymphovascular infiltration. Both complete and curative resection rates were 80% (4/5 lesions). Large intraoperative bleeding was detected in patients undergoing EVL compared with TIPS prior to the ESD procedure. No severe complications or mortality-associated events, including massive postoperative bleeding, perforation or hepatic failure, were observed. No recurrence and metastasis were observed during the follow-up period. The current study suggested a novel treatment strategy for EECs complicated by esophageal varices in cirrhosis with good treatment results, no neoplastic progression and an acceptable adverse event profile.
| S-EPMC6676681 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Protein induced by Vitamin K absence or antagonists-II (PIVKA-II) is a diagnostic marker of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to investigate the predictive role of PIVKA-II and ASAP score for development of HCC in 1 year among untreated patients of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We conducted this case-control study to include untreated CHB patients followed at the National Taiwan University Hospital and grouped into HCC and matched non-HCC groups. Their archived serum samples were assayed for PIVKA-II levels 1 year before HCC, at HCC or their last serum sample. A total of 69 HCC cases and 102 non-HCC controls were recruited. Baseline PIVKA-II level was significantly higher in the HCC group than in the control group and it could predict HCC development in 1 year with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.76. Multivariable analysis adjusting age, sex, liver function and alpha-fetoprotein level showed that baseline PIVKA-II ≥31 mAU/mL (vs. <31 mAU/mL) increased 12.5-fold risk (95% CI: 4.9-31.7) of HCC in 1 year, and even in patients with normal alpha-fetoprotein levels. The ASAP score, a combination of age, sex, alpha-fetoprotein and PIVKA-II, increases the predictability for HCC in 1 year. We concluded that both high PIVKA-II level and ASAP score may predict HCC development in 1 year in untreated CHB patients, especially in patients with normal alpha-fetoprotein level.
| S-EPMC10326570 | biostudies-literature
Project description:AimTo determine the laboratory and radiologic parameters, including the platelet count (PC)-to-spleen diameter (SD) ratio as a non-invasive marker that may predict the presence of esophageal varices (EV) in children with cirrhosis.MethodsEighty-nine patients with cirrhosis, but without a history of variceal bleeding were prospectively included. The children were grouped into 6-12 and 12-18 years of age groups. These groups were also divided into 2 sub-groups (presence and absence of EV). All of the patients underwent a complete biochemical and radiologic evaluation. The PC (n/mm3)-to-SD (mm) ratio was calculated for each patient.ResultsSixty-nine of 98 (70.4%) patients had EV. The presence of ascites in all age groups was significantly associated with the presence of EV. There were no differences in serum albumin levels, PC, SD and the PC-to-SD ratio between the presence and absence of EV groups in both age groups (P > 0.05).ConclusionLaboratory and radiologic parameters, including the PC-to-SD ratio as a non-invasive marker (except for the presence of ascites), was inappropriate for detecting EV in children with cirrhosis.
| S-EPMC5124718 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background & aimsFew noninvasive methods can accurately identify esophageal varices (EVs) in patients with compensated cirrhosis. We developed and validated a novel, acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) elastography-based prediction model for high-risk EVs (HEVs) in patients with compensated cirrhosis.MethodsA total of 143 patients with compensated cirrhosis between February, 2010 and February, 2013 (training set) and 148 between June, 2010 and May, 2013 (validation set) who underwent ARFI elastography and endoscopy were prospectively recruited. Independent predictors of HEVs were used to construct a prediction model.ResultsBased on multivariate analysis, we developed two new statistical models, a varices risk score and ARFI-spleen diameter-to-platelet ratio score (ASPS), the latter of which was calculated as ARFI velocity × spleen diameter/platelet count. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the varices risk score and ASPS to predict HEVs were 0.935 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.882-0.970) and 0.946 (95% CI 0.895-0.977), respectively. When ASPS, a simpler model with a higher AUROC, was applied in the validation set, acceptable diagnostic accuracy for HEVs was observed (AUROC = 0.814 [95% CI 0.743-0.885]). To detect HEVs, a negative predictive value of 98.3% was achieved at ASPS <2.83, whereas a positive predictive value of 100% was achieved at ASPS >5.28.ConclusionsASPS, a novel noninvasive ARFI-based prediction model, can accurately identify HEVs in patients with compensated cirrhosis. ASPS <2.83 may safely rule out the presence of HEVs, whereas patients with ASPS >5.28 should be considered for endoscopic examinations or appropriate prophylactic treatment.
| S-EPMC4380431 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundSubharmonic-aided pressure estimation (SHAPE) is a technique for determining changes in ambient pressure. We aimed to analyze a novel SHAPE integrated into ultrasound diagnostic equipment to predict patients with liver cirrhosis at high risk of esophagogastric varices (EV).MethodsThis prospective study included 111 patients with liver cirrhosis diagnosed between 2020 and 2023. We obtained liver stiffness measurements (LSM) and spleen stiffness measurements (SSM) using shear wave elastography and hepatic vein-portal vein (HV-PV) gradient using the SHAPE method. The EV risk was determined either as null, low, or high by esophagoscopy and Child-Pugh stage.ResultsHV-PV gradient increased concordantly with the increase in EV risk (- 7.0 dB in null-risk, - 4.4 dB in low-risk, and - 2.0 dB in high-risk) with statistically significant difference among any two groups. The most appropriate cut-off value of the HV-PV gradient was - 3.5 dB, and sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were 80.0%, 89.0%, 80.0%, and 88.0%, respectively. The areas under the curve values for predicting the high-risk EV were 0.920, 0.843, and 0.824 for the HV-PV gradient, LSM, and SSM, respectively.ConclusionsThe novel SHAPE system demonstrated high accuracy in identifying patients with liver cirrhosis at a high risk of EV.
| S-EPMC11794364 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Esophageal varix and its hemorrhage are serious complications of liver cirrhosis. Recent studies have focused on noninvasive prediction of esophageal varices. We attempted to evaluate the association of liver and spleen stiffness (LS and SS) as measured by acoustic radiation force impulse imaging, with the presence and severity of esophageal varices and variceal hemorrhage in cirrhotic patients. We measured LS and SS, along with endoscopic examination of esophageal varices for a total of 125 cirrhotic patients at a single referral hospital in this prospective observational study. The diagnostic utility of noninvasive methods for identifying varices and their bleeding risk was compared, including LS, SS, spleen length, Child-Pugh score, and various serum fibrosis indices. Esophageal varices were present in 77 patients (61.6%). SS was significantly higher in patients with varices than in those without varices (3.58 ± 0.47 vs 3.02 ± 0.49; P < 0.001). A tendency toward increasing SS levels was observed with increasing severity of varices (no varix, 3.02 ± 0.49; F1, 3.39 ± 0.51; F2, 3.60 ± 0.42; F3, 3.85 ± 0.37; P < 0.001). SS was significantly higher in patients who experienced variceal hemorrhage than in those who did not (3.80 ± 0.36 vs 3.20 ± 0.51; P = 0.002). An optimal cut-off value of SS for high-risk varices (≥ F2) or variceal hemorrhage was 3.40 m/s. SS was significantly correlated with the presence, severity, and bleeding risk of esophageal varices. Prompt endoscopic evaluation of variceal status and prophylactic measures based on the SS may be warranted for cirrhotic patients.
| S-EPMC4616530 | biostudies-other
Project description: Not available
| S-EPMC11474480 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundBaveno VI criteria, based on liver stiffness (LS) measured by transient elastography and platelet counts (PLT), have been proposed to avoid unnecessary endoscopy screening for high-risk varices (HRVs). However, the cut-off value of LS measured by 2D-SWE and PLT to predict HRVs in compensated hepatitis B-related cirrhotic patients remains unknown.AimsTo prospectively analyze the cut-off of the combination of LS measured by 2D-SWE and PLT in predicting HRVs and the influence of antiviral therapies in its efficacy.MethodsSerum parameters, LS, and endoscopy results were obtained from 160 compensated hepatitis B-related cirrhotic patients. The accuracy of the combined algorithm was assessed in the whole cohort and subgroups with or without consecutive antiviral therapies in the past 6 months.ResultsIn the whole cohort, the optimal cut-off value of LS for HRVs was 14.5 kPa. Patients with a LS value < 14.5 kPa with a PLT value > 110 × 109/L can be excluded from HRVs (NPV = 0.99, endoscopy saved rates = 0.68). Conversely, a LS value of ≥14.5 kPa and a PLT value of ≤110 × 109/L indicated HRVs, with accurate rates of 82.35%, and 10.63% of patients can avoid additional endoscopy screening. Moreover, antiviral therapy had no significant effect on the accuracy and rates saved from further endoscopy screening, when comparing patients with or without antiviral therapies (all p values > 0.05).ConclusionsThe combination of LS (14.5 kPa) measured by 2D-SWE and PLT (110 × 109/L) can predict HRVs accurately in compensated hepatitis B-related cirrhotic patients without significant interference of antiviral therapy histories.
| S-EPMC8051526 | biostudies-literature