Dataset Information

Early postoperative fever as a predictor of pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: a single-center retrospective observational study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The connection between early postoperative fever and clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) after pancreaticoduodenectomy remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate this association and assess the predictive value of early postoperative fever for CR-POPF.

Methods

This retrospective observational study included adult patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy at a tertiary teaching hospital between 2007 and 2019. Patients were categorized into those with early postoperative fever (≥ 38 °C in the first 48 h after surgery) and those without early postoperative fever groups. Weighted logistic regression analysis using stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (sIPTW) and multivariable logistic analysis were performed. The c-statistics of the receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated to evaluate the impact on the predictive power of adding early postoperative fever to previously identified predictors of CR-POPF.

Results

Of the 1997 patients analyzed, 909 (45.1%) developed early postoperative fever. The overall incidence of CR-POPF among all the patients was 14.3%, with an incidence of 19.5% in the early postoperative fever group and 9.9% in the group without early postoperative fever. Early postoperative fever was significantly associated with a higher risk of CR-POPF after sIPTW (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.73; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.34-2.22; P < 0.001) and multivariable logistic regression analysis (adjusted OR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.42-2.49; P < 0.001). The c-statistics for the models with and without early postoperative fever were 0.76 (95% CI, 0.73-0.79) and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.72-0.78), respectively, showing a significant difference between the two (difference, 0.02; 95% CI, 0.00-0.03; DeLong's test, P = 0.005).

Conclusions

Early postoperative fever is a significant but not highly discriminative predictor of CR-POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy. However, its widespread occurrence limits its applicability as a predictive marker.

SUBMITTER: Ju JW

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11318233 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Early postoperative fever as a predictor of pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: a single-center retrospective observational study.

Ju Jae-Woo JW Jang Hwan Suk HS Lee Mirang M Lee Ho-Jin HJ Kwon Wooil W Jang Jin-Young JY

BMC surgery 20240812 1

<h4>Background</h4>The connection between early postoperative fever and clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) after pancreaticoduodenectomy remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate this association and assess the predictive value of early postoperative fever for CR-POPF.<h4>Methods</h4>This retrospective observational study included adult patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy at a tertiary teaching hospital between 2007 and 2019. Patients were categorize ...[more]

PMID: 39134979

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Project description:BackgroundClinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) is a common and troublesome complication after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify the risk factors of CR-POPF after PD.MethodsWe searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases for studies related to risk factors of CR-POPF after PD. Odds ratios (ORs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were extracted from the included studies, then a meta-analysis was conducted. If necessary, sensitivity analysis would be performed by changing the effect model or excluding 1 study at a time. Publication bias was assessed by funnel plot and Begg test and Egger test.ResultsA total of 27 studies with 24,740 patients were included, and CR-POPF occurred in 3843 patients (incidence = 17%, 95% CI: 16%-19%). Male (OR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.42-1.70), body mass index >25 kg/m2 (OR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.23-3.18), pancreatic duct diameter <3 mm (OR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.66-2.12), soft pancreatic texture (OR = 3.49, 95% CI: 2.61-4.67), and blood transfusion (OR = 3.10, 95% CI: 2.01-4.77) can significantly increase the risk of CR-POPF. Pancreatic adenocarcinoma (OR = 0.54, 95% CI: 0.47-0.61), vascular resection (OR = 0.57, 95% CI: 0.39-0.83), and preoperative chemoradiotherapy (OR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.57-0.81) can significantly decrease the factor of CR-POPF. Diabetes mellitus was not statistically associated with CR-POPF (OR = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.40-1.08). However, the analysis of body mass index, pancreatic texture, and diabetes mellitus had a high heterogeneity, then sensitivity analysis was performed, and the result after sensitivity analysis showed diabetes mellitus can significantly decrease the risk of CR-POPF. There was no significant publication bias in this meta-analysis.ConclusionsThe current review assessed the effects of different factors on CR-POPF. This can provide a basis for the prevention and management of CR-POPF. Effective interventions targeting the above risk factors should be investigated in future studies for decreasing the occurrence of CR-POPF.

Dataset Information

Early postoperative fever as a predictor of pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: a single-center retrospective observational study.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Early postoperative fever as a predictor of pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: a single-center retrospective observational study.

Similar Datasets

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