Dataset Information

Skin biopsy rates and incidence of melanoma: population based ecological study.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

To describe changes in skin biopsy rates and to determine their relation with changes in the incidence of melanoma.

Design

Population based ecological study.

Setting

Nine geographical areas of the United States.

Participants

Participants of the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) programme aged 65 and older.

Main outcome measures

For the period 1986 to 2001, annual skin biopsy rates for each surveillance area from Medicare claims and incidence rates for melanoma for the same population.

Results

Between 1986 and 2001 the average biopsy rate across the nine participating areas increased 2.5-fold among people aged 65 and older (2847 to 7222 per 100,000 population). Over the same period the average incidence of melanoma increased 2.4-fold (45 to 108 per 100,000 population). Assuming that the occurrence of true disease was constant, the extra number of melanoma cases that were diagnosed after carrying out 1000 additional biopsies was 12.6 (95% confidence interval 11.2 to 14.0). After controlling for a potential increase in the true occurrence of disease, 1000 additional biopsies were still associated with 6.9 (3.1 to 10.8) extra melanoma cases diagnosed. Stage specific analyses suggested that 1000 biopsies were associated with 4.4 (2.1 to 6.8) extra cases of in situ melanoma diagnosed and 2.3 (0.0 to 4.6) extra cases of local melanoma, but not with the incidence of advanced melanoma. Mortality from melanoma changed little during the period.

Conclusion

The incidence of melanoma is associated with biopsy rates. That the extra cases diagnosed were confined to early stage cancer while mortality remained stable suggests overdiagnosis-the increased incidence being largely the result of increased diagnostic scrutiny and not an increase in the incidence of disease.

SUBMITTER: Welch HG

PROVIDER: S-EPMC1199022 | biostudies-literature | 2005 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Skin biopsy rates and incidence of melanoma: population based ecological study.

Welch H Gilbert HG Woloshin Steven S Schwartz Lisa M LM

BMJ (Clinical research ed.) 20050804 7515

<h4>Objectives</h4>To describe changes in skin biopsy rates and to determine their relation with changes in the incidence of melanoma.<h4>Design</h4>Population based ecological study.<h4>Setting</h4>Nine geographical areas of the United States.<h4>Participants</h4>Participants of the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) programme aged 65 and older.<h4>Main outcome measures</h4>For the period 1986 to 2001, annual skin biopsy rates for each surveillance area from Medicare claims and in ...[more]

PMID: 16081427

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Project description:BackgroundCutaneous melanomas are common cancers in white-skinned populations, and early detection is promoted as a means of reducing morbidity and mortality. There is concern that increased skin screening is leading to overdiagnosis of indolent melanomas with low risk of lethality. The extent of melanoma overdiagnosis associated with screening is unknown.ObjectivesTo estimate possible overdiagnosis by comparing subsequent melanoma incidence and biopsy rates among people subjected to skin screening those who were not.MethodsWe recruited 43 762 residents of Queensland, Australia, aged 40-69 years, with no prior history of melanoma, selected at random from a population register in 2010. At baseline, participants completed a comprehensive melanoma risk factor survey and were asked if their skin had been examined by a doctor in the 3 years prior to baseline. We calculated incidence and relative risk of histologically confirmed melanoma (invasive and in situ) in years 2-7 of follow-up, obtained through linkage to the cancer registry. In secondary analyses, we measured biopsy rates in years 2-6 of follow-up. We used propensity score analysis to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).ResultsIn total, 28 155 participants underwent skin screening prior to baseline. We observed 967 first-incident melanomas (381 invasive) during 197 191 person-years of follow-up. Those screened had higher rates of melanoma (aHR 1·29, 95% CI 1·02-1·63) and subsequent skin biopses (aHR 1·85, 95% CI 1·69-2·04) than unscreened participants. The higher risk associated with skin screening was evident for in situ melanoma (aHR 1·45, 95% CI 1·09-1·92) but not invasive melanoma (aHR 1·05, 95% CI 0·72-1·54). In secondary analyses, where screening was defined as having a skin biopsy in the first year after baseline, we observed significantly increased risks of melanoma (aHR 1·53, 95% CI 1·23-1·89) and subsequent biopsies (aHR 2·64, 95% CI 2·46-2·84) relative to those who did not have a biopsy.ConclusionsPeople who undergo skin screening subsequently experience higher rates of biopsies and melanoma (especially in situ melanoma), even after adjusting for all known risk factors, consistent with overdiagnosis. What is already known about this topic? Cutaneous melanomas are common cancers in white-skinned populations for which early detection is promoted as a means of reducing morbidity and mortality. There is concern that increased surveillance is leading to the overdiagnosis of indolent melanomas that are not destined to be lethal. The extent of melanoma overdiagnosis associated with surveillance is not known. What does this study add? People subjected to skin examinations by a doctor or who undergo skin biopsies subsequently have higher numbers of biopsies and higher rates of melanoma than people not subjected to either, even after adjusting for all known risk factors. These findings suggest that heightened surveillance leads to a proportion of melanomas being diagnosed that otherwise may not have come to clinical attention.

Project description:Background and purposeCerebral vein thrombosis (CVT) incidence is estimated to be >10 per 1 000 000 per year. Few population-based studies investigating case-fatality rates (CFRs) and pyogenic/nonpyogenic CVT incidence are available. We assessed trends in CVT incidence between 2002 and 2012, as well as adjusted in-hospital CFRs and incidence of hospital admissions for pyogenic/nonpyogenic CVT in a large Northwestern Italian epidemiological study.MethodsPrimary and secondary discharge diagnoses of pyogenic/nonpyogenic CVT were identified using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes 325, 671.5, and 437.6. Age, sex, vital status at discharge, length of hospital stay, and up to 5 secondary discharge diagnoses were collected. Concomitant presence of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) was registered, and comorbidities were assessed through the Charlson comorbidity index.ResultsA total of 1718 patients were hospitalized for CVT (1147 females—66.8%; 810 pyogenic and 908 nonpyogenic CVT, 47.1% and 52.9%, respectively), with 134 patients (7.8%) experiencing a concomitant ICH. The overall incidence rate for CVT was 11.6 per 1 000 000 inhabitants with a sex-specific rate of 15.1 and 7.8 per 1 000 000 in females and males, respectively. CVT incidence significantly increased in women during time of observation (P=0.007), with the highest incidence being at 40 to 44 years (27.0 cases per 1 000 000). In-hospital CFR was 3%, with no difference between pyogenic/nonpyogenic CVT. Patients with concomitant ICH had a higher in-hospital CFR compared with patients without ICH (7.5% versus 2.7%; odds ratio, 2.96 [95% CI, 1.45–6.04]). In-hospital CFR progressively increased with increasing Charlson comorbidity index (P=0.003). Age (odds ratio, 1.03 [95% CI, 1.02–1.05]), Charlson comorbidity index ≥4 (odds ratio, 4.33 [95% CI, 1.29–14.52]), and ICH (odds ratio, 3.05 [95% CI, 1.40–6.62]) were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality.ConclusionsIn a large epidemiological study, CVT incidence was found to be comparable to the one registered in population-based studies reported after the year 2000. CVT incidence increased among women over time. In-hospital CFR was low, but not negligible, in patients with concomitant ICH. Age, ICH, and a high number of comorbidities were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. Pyogenic CVT was not a predictor of in-hospital CFR, although its high proportion was not confirmed by internal validation.

Dataset Information

Skin biopsy rates and incidence of melanoma: population based ecological study.

Objectives

Design

Setting

Participants

Main outcome measures

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Skin biopsy rates and incidence of melanoma: population based ecological study.

Similar Datasets

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