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Rate of over-diagnosis of breast cancer 15 years after end of Malmo mammographic screening trial: follow-up study.


ABSTRACT:

Objective

To evaluate the rate of over-diagnosis of breast cancer 15 years after the end of the Malmö mammographic screening trial.

Design

Follow-up study.

Setting

Malmö, Sweden.

Subjects

42 283 women aged 45-69 years at randomisation.

Interventions

Screening for breast cancer with mammography or not (controls). Screening was offered at the end of the randomisation design to both groups aged 45-54 at randomisation but not to groups aged 55-69 at randomisation.

Main outcome measures

Rate of over-diagnosis of breast cancer (in situ and invasive), calculated as incidence in the invited and control groups, during period of randomised design (period 1), during period after randomised design ended (period 2), and at end of follow-up.

Results

In women aged 55-69 years at randomisation the relative rates of over-diagnosis of breast cancer (95% confidence intervals) were 1.32 (1.14 to 1.53) for period 1, 0.92 (0.79 to 1.06) for period 2, and 1.10 (0.99 to 1.22) at the end of follow-up.

Conclusion

Conclusions on over-diagnosis of breast cancer in the Malmö mammographic screening trial can be drawn mainly for women aged 55-69 years at randomisation whose control groups were never screened. Fifteen years after the trial ended the rate of over-diagnosis of breast cancer was 10% in this age group.

SUBMITTER: Zackrisson S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC1410836 | biostudies-literature | 2006 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Rate of over-diagnosis of breast cancer 15 years after end of Malmö mammographic screening trial: follow-up study.

Zackrisson Sophia S   Andersson Ingvar I   Janzon Lars L   Manjer Jonas J   Garne Jens Peter JP  

BMJ (Clinical research ed.) 20060303 7543


<h4>Objective</h4>To evaluate the rate of over-diagnosis of breast cancer 15 years after the end of the Malmö mammographic screening trial.<h4>Design</h4>Follow-up study.<h4>Setting</h4>Malmö, Sweden.<h4>Subjects</h4>42 283 women aged 45-69 years at randomisation.<h4>Interventions</h4>Screening for breast cancer with mammography or not (controls). Screening was offered at the end of the randomisation design to both groups aged 45-54 at randomisation but not to groups aged 55-69 at randomisation.  ...[more]

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