Lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease among individuals with and without diabetes stratified by obesity status in the Framingham heart study.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Fox CS
PROVIDER: S-EPMC2494632 | biostudies-literature | 2008 Aug
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease among individuals with and without diabetes stratified by obesity status in the Framingham heart study.
Fox Caroline S CS Pencina Michael J MJ Wilson Peter W F PW Paynter Nina P NP Vasan Ramachandran S RS D'Agostino Ralph B RB
Diabetes care 20080505 8
<h4>Objective</h4>We assessed the lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among individuals with and without obesity and diabetes.<h4>Research design and methods</h4>Participants were drawn from the original and offspring cohorts of the Framingham Heart Study. Lifetime (30-year) risk of CVD was assessed using a modified Kaplan-Meier approach adjusting for the competing risk of death, beginning from age 50 years.<h4>Results</h4>Over 30 years, the lifetime risk of CVD among women with diabet ...[more]
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Project description:BACKGROUND:Individuals with diabetes mellitus are at 2- to 3-fold increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) relative to those without diabetes. Our objective was to examine CVD risk factor level changes among individuals with and without type 2 diabetes mellitus from 1970 to 2005 in the Framingham Heart Study. METHODS AND RESULTS:We included 4195 participants (3990 with no diabetes and 205 with diabetes) 50 years of age and 3495 participants (3178 with no diabetes and 317 with diabetes) 60 years of age. Contemporaneous CVD risk factor levels were measured; linear regression models were used to assess the interaction between diabetes status and calendar year on CVD risk factor levels. Among 50-year-olds without diabetes mellitus, there was an increase in body mass index of 0.39 kg/m(2) per 10 years, whereas for those with diabetes, there was an increase of 2.52 kg/m(2) (P value for the diabetes-by-calendar year interaction [P for interaction] <0.001). For low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, the mean decrease was -7.43 mg/dL per decade (nondiabetes) and -15.5 mg/dL for diabetes (P for interaction=0.002). For systolic blood pressure, the mean decrease was -3.35 mm Hg per decade (nondiabetes) and -3.50 mm Hg for diabetes (P for interaction=0.97). The direction of the trends for those with diabetes relative to those without diabetes was similar for 60-year-olds. CONCLUSIONS:Compared with individuals without diabetes mellitus, individuals with diabetes experienced a greater increase in body mass index, a greater decrease in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and a similar magnitude of decline in systolic blood pressure. Individuals with diabetes mellitus have not experienced the necessary declines in CVD risk factors to overcome their increased risk of CVD. Further efforts are needed to aggressively control CVD risk factors among individuals with diabetes mellitus.
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Project description:This study was designed to quantify the relationship between the absence of heart failure risk factors in middle age and incident heart failure, heart failure-free survival, and overall survival.Quantification of years lived free from heart failure in the context of risk factor burden in mid-life may improve risk communication and prevention efforts.We conducted a pooled, individual-level analysis sampling from communities across the United States as part of 4 cohort studies: the Framingham Heart, Framingham Offspring, Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry, and ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) studies. Participants with and without hypertension (blood pressure ?140/90 mm Hg or treatment), obesity (body mass index ?30 kg/m2), or diabetes (fasting glucose ?126 mg/dl or treatment), and combinations of these factors, at index ages of 45 years and 55 years through 95 years. Competing risk-adjusted Cox models, a modified Kaplan-Meier estimator, and Irwin's restricted mean were used to estimate the association between the absence of risk factors at mid-life and incident heart failure, heart failure-free survival, and overall survival.For participants at age 45 years, over 516,537 person-years of follow-up, 1,677 incident heart failure events occurred. Men and women with no risk factors, compared to those with all 3, had 73% to 85% lower risks of incident heart failure. Men and women without hypertension, obesity, or diabetes at age 45 years lived on average 34.7 years and 38.0 years without incident heart failure, and they lived on average an additional 3 years to 15 years longer free of heart failure than those with 1, 2, or 3 risk factors. Similar trends were seen when stratified by race and at index age 55 years.Prevention of hypertension, obesity, and diabetes by ages 45 years and 55 years may substantially prolong heart failure-free survival, decrease heart failure-related morbidity, and reduce the public health impact of heart failure.
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Project description:BACKGROUND:The American Heart Association Cardiovascular Health (CVH) score is inversely associated with cardiovascular disease, but its relations to cardiac remodeling traits and heart failure (HF) incidence have not been examined. METHODS AND RESULTS:A 14-point score was constructed for each participant based on the presence of poor, intermediate, or ideal status on each of the 7 CVH metrics (ideal score=14). We related the CVH score to echocardiographic traits cross-sectionally and to HF incidence prospectively in the Framingham Offspring Study. In age- and sex-adjusted models, a higher CVH score was associated with lower left ventricular (LV) mass, LV wall thickness, LV diastolic dimension, and left atrial dimension (P<0.01 for all; n=2392; mean age, 58 years; 56% women), and with a 12% to 15% lower odds of prevalent LV concentric remodeling and concentric hypertrophy, respectively (P<0.0001 for both). On follow-up (mean, 12.3 years), 188 incident HF events were observed in 3201 participants (mean age, 59 years; 53% women). In age- and sex-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models, the CVH score was inversely associated with HF incidence (hazard ratio per 1-point higher CVH score, 0.77; 95% confidence interval, 0.72-0.83). This association was partially attenuated upon adjustment for LV mass and interim myocardial infarction (hazard ratio, 0.84; 95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.93), and it was consistent for HF with preserved and reduced ejection fractions. CONCLUSIONS:In our community-based sample, comprised predominantly of middle-aged white individuals of European descent, better CVH was associated with lower HF incidence, in part due to a lower prevalence of adverse cardiac remodeling.
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Project description:BACKGROUND:Despite population declines in all-cause mortality, women with diabetes mellitus may have experienced an increase in mortality rates compared with men. METHODS AND RESULTS:We examined change in all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular disease mortality rates among Framingham Heart Study participants who attended examinations during an "earlier" (1950 to 1975; n=930 deaths) and a "later" (1976 to 2001; n=773 deaths) time period. Diabetes mellitus was defined as casual glucose > or =200 mg/dL, fasting plasma glucose > or =126 mg/dL, or treatment. Among women, the hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality in the later versus the earlier time period were 0.59 (95% confidence interval, 0.50 to 0.70; P<0.0001) for those without diabetes mellitus and 0.48 (95% confidence interval, 0.32 to 0.71; P=0.002) for those with diabetes mellitus. Similar results were observed in men. Among women and men, the HR of cardiovascular disease mortality declined among those with and without diabetes mellitus. Non-cardiovascular disease mortality declined among women without diabetes mellitus (HR, 0.76; P=0.01), whereas no change was observed among women with diabetes mellitus or among men with or without diabetes mellitus. Individuals with versus those without diabetes mellitus were at increased risk of all-cause mortality in the earlier (HR, 2.44; P<0.0001) and later (HR, 1.95; P<0.0001) time periods. CONCLUSIONS:Reductions in all-cause mortality among women and men with diabetes mellitus have occurred over time. However, mortality rates among individuals with diabetes mellitus remain approximately 2-fold higher compared with individuals without diabetes mellitus.
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Project description:Obesity is associated with an increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). We sought to determine rates of treatment and control of CVD risk factors among normal weight, overweight, and obese individuals in a community-based cohort.Participants free of CVD (n = 6,801; mean age 49 years; 54% women) from the Framingham Offspring and Third Generation cohorts who attended the seventh Offspring examination (1998-2001) or first Third Generation (2002-2005) examination were studied.Obese participants with hypertension were more likely to receive antihypertensive treatment (62.3%) than normal weight (58.7%) or overweight (59.0%) individuals (P = 0.002), but no differences in hypertension control across BMI subgroups among participants with hypertension were observed (36.7% [normal weight], 37.3% [overweight], and 39.4% [obese]; P = 0.48). Rates of lipid-lowering treatment were higher among obese participants with elevated LDL cholesterol (39.5%) compared with normal weight (34.2%) or overweight (36.4%) participants (P = 0.02), but control rates among those with elevated LDL cholesterol did not differ across BMI categories (26.7% [normal weight], 26.0% [overweight], and 29.2% [obese]; P = 0.11). There were no differences in diabetes treatment among participants with diabetes across BMI groups (69.2% [normal weight], 50.0% [overweight], 55.0% [obese]; P = 0.54), but obese participants with diabetes were less likely to have fasting blood glucose <126 mg/dl (15.7%) compared with normal weight (30.4%) or overweight (20.7%) participants (P = 0.02).These findings emphasize the suboptimal rates of treatment and control of CVD risk factors among overweight and obese individuals.
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Project description:BackgroundCardiovascular and renal diseases (CVRD) are major causes of mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Studies of lifetime risk have neither considered all CVRD together nor the relative contribution of major risk factors to combined disease burden.MethodsIn a population-based cohort study using national electronic health records, we studied 473,399 individuals with T2D in England 2007-2018. Lifetime risk of individual and combined major adverse renal cardiovascular events, MARCE (including CV death and CVRD: heart failure; chronic kidney disease; myocardial infarction; stroke or peripheral artery disease), were estimated, accounting for baseline CVRD status and competing risk of death. We calculated population attributable risk for individual CVRD components. Ideal cardiovascular health was defined by blood pressure, cholesterol, glucose, smoking, physical activity, diet, and body mass index (i.e. modifiable risk factors).ResultsIn individuals with T2D, lifetime risk of MARCE was 80% in those free from CVRD and was 97%, 93%, 98%, 89% and 91% in individuals with heart failure, chronic kidney disease, myocardial infarction, stroke and peripheral arterial disease, respectively at baseline. Among CVRD-free individuals, lifetime risk of chronic kidney disease was highest (54%), followed by CV death (41%), heart failure (29%), stroke (20%), myocardial infarction (19%) and peripheral arterial disease (9%). In those with HF only, 75% of MARCE after index T2D can be attributed to HF after adjusting for age, gender, and comorbidities. Compared with those with > 1, < 3 and ≥3 modifiable health risk behaviours, achieving ideal cardiovascular health could reduce MARCE by approximately 41.5%, 23.6% and 17.2%, respectively, in the T2D population.ConclusionsFour out of five individuals with T2D free from CVRD, and nearly all those with history of CVRD, will develop MARCE over their lifetime. Early preventive measures in T2D patients are clinical, public health and policy priorities.
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Project description:We investigated how body weight affects survival after stroke, leveraging the availability of multiple prestroke body mass index (BMI) measurements and using a nested case-control design in a community-based sample. We compared all-cause mortality in participants stratified by prestroke weight. Separate analyses were performed for ischemic stroke and all stroke and for age-, sex-, and BMI category-matched stroke-free controls. Participants were grouped into BMI categories and followed for up to 10 years. Differences in survival were tested for interaction by case status. In sensitivity analysis, to exclude those with prestroke weight loss, we restricted the reference group to participants with 2 consistently normal BMI measurements within 10 years before stroke/matching. There were 782 stroke cases (age 71±9, 51% female participants, 87% ischemic stroke) and 2346 controls (age 72±9, 51% female participants). Overweight participants with ischemic stroke had a lower mortality compared with those with normal weight (hazard ratio [HR]=0.70, 95%CI 0.55-0.90, P=0.005). The association of reduced mortality with BMI ≥25, compared with normal-weight BMI 18.5 to <25, was pronounced among ischemic stroke cases but diminished with inclusion of hemorrhagic strokes (case-control interaction P=0.051 and P=0.130, respectively). Compared with participants with stable normal weight, moderately increased weight was protective after ischemic stroke (overweight HR=0.72, 95%CI 0.53-0.99, P=0.041). Overweight and mildly obese participants had better 10-year survival after ischemic stroke compared with normal-weight participants, even after excluding persons with recent prestroke weight loss. There may be unknown protective factors associated with a moderately increased body weight before stroke.
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Project description:BACKGROUND:Elevated blood pressure is the leading modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and premature death. The blood pressure waveform consists of discrete hemodynamic components, derived from measured central pressure and flow, which may contribute separately to risk for an adverse outcome. However, pressure-flow measures have not been studied in a large, community-based sample. METHODS AND RESULTS:We used proportional hazards models to examine the association of incident CVD with forward pressure wave amplitude, mean arterial pressure, and global reflection coefficient derived from wave separation analysis and echocardiography in 2492 participants (mean age 66±9 years, 56% women) in the Framingham Heart Study. During follow-up (0.04-6.8 years), 149 participants (6%) had a CVD event. In multivariable models adjusting for age, sex, antihypertensive therapy, body mass index, heart rate, total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations, smoking, and the presence of diabetes mellitus, forward pressure wave amplitude (hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% confidence interval, 1.16-1.67; P=0.0003) was associated with incident CVD, whereas mean arterial pressure (hazard ratio, 1.10; 95% confidence interval, 0.94-1.29; P=0.25) and global wave reflection (hazard ratio, 0.93; 95% confidence interval, 0.78-1.12; P=0.58) were not. After adding systolic blood pressure and carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity to the model, forward pressure wave amplitude persisted as a correlate of events (hazard ratio, 1.33; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.68; P=0.02). CONCLUSIONS:Higher forward pressure wave amplitude (a measure of proximal aortic geometry and stiffness) was associated with increased risk for incident CVD, whereas mean arterial pressure and relative wave reflection (correlates of resistance vessel structure and function) were not associated with increased risk for incident CVD.
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Project description:ObjectiveCholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) and phospholipid transfer protein (PLTP) are two genetically-related plasma proteins involved in the exchange of cholesteryl esters and phospholipids between high-density lipoproteins (HDL) and other lipoproteins. Although low CETP and high PLTP activity both result in higher concentrations of plasma HDL-cholesterol (HDL-C), there is no evidence that either of these changes is associated with a decrease in cardiovascular disease (CVD) in a general population.MethodsPlasma CETP and PLTP activities, measured by homogenous fluorometric assays using synthetic donor particle substrates, were related to the incidence of a first CVD event in Framingham Heart Study Offspring participants without CVD (n = 2679, mean age 59 y, 56% women) attending the 6th examination cycle (1995-98). Because of an effect modification by sex for both CETP and PLTP, analyzes were stratified by sex.ResultsDuring follow-up (mean 10.4 years) 187 participants experienced a first CVD event. In sex-specific Cox models, both CETP and PLTP as continuous and as binary variables were associated with significantly increased CVD in men, but not women. In men compared to a referent group with CETP ≥ median and PLTP < median, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for new CVD events was significantly greater with either the combination of high CETP and high PLTP (HR 2.27, 95% CI 1.23-4.20); low CETP and low PLTP (HR 2.23, 95% CI 1.19-4.17); or low CETP and high PLTP (HR 2.85, 95% CI 1.53-5.31). In contrast, in women the multivariable-adjusted HR for new CVD events was non-significant and virtually equal to "1.0" with all combinations of high and low CETP or PLTP values.ConclusionsLower plasma CETP or higher PLTP activity was each associated with a significantly increased risk of CVD. Inexplicably, the increase in CVD associated with both lipid transfer proteins was confined to men.
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