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Predictors of pregnancy in women with polycystic ovary syndrome.

ABSTRACT: Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is the most common cause of anovulatory infertility. The selection of first-line therapies for ovulation induction is empiric.The aim of the study was to develop a clinically useful predictive model of live birth with varying ovulation induction methods.We built four prognostic models from a large multicenter randomized controlled infertility trial of 626 women with PCOS performed at academic health centers in the United States to predict success of ovulation, conception, pregnancy, and live birth, evaluating the influence of patients' baseline characteristics.Ovulation was induced with clomiphene, metformin, or the combination of both for up to six cycles or conception.The primary outcome of the trial was the rate of live births.Baseline free androgen index, baseline proinsulin level, interaction of treatment arm with body mass index, and duration of attempting conception were significant predictors in all four models. History of a prior loss predicted ovulation and conception, but not pregnancy or live birth. A modified Ferriman Gallwey hirsutism score of less than 8 was predictive of conception, pregnancy, and live birth (although it did not predict ovulation success). Age was a divergent predictor based on outcome; age greater than 34 predicted ovulation, whereas age less than 35 was a predictive factor for a successful pregnancy and live birth. Smoking history had no predictive value.A live birth prediction chart developed from basic clinical parameters (body mass index, age, hirsutism score, and duration of attempting conception) may help physicians counsel and select infertility treatments for women with PCOS.

SUBMITTER: Rausch ME

PROVIDER: S-EPMC2741722 | biostudies-literature | 2009 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predictors of pregnancy in women with polycystic ovary syndrome.

Rausch Mary E ME Legro Richard S RS Barnhart Huiman X HX Schlaff William D WD Carr Bruce R BR Diamond Michael P MP Carson Sandra A SA Steinkampf Michael P MP McGovern Peter G PG Cataldo Nicholas A NA Gosman Gabriella G GG Nestler John E JE Giudice Linda C LC Leppert Phyllis C PC Myers Evan R ER Coutifaris Christos C

The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism 20090609 9

<h4>Context</h4>Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is the most common cause of anovulatory infertility. The selection of first-line therapies for ovulation induction is empiric.<h4>Objective</h4>The aim of the study was to develop a clinically useful predictive model of live birth with varying ovulation induction methods.<h4>Design, setting, and participants</h4>We built four prognostic models from a large multicenter randomized controlled infertility trial of 626 women with PCOS performed at acad ...[more]

PMID: 19509098

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Project description:Several studies have reported the association between polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) and low-grade chronic inflammation to be of uncertain cause: obesity, insulin resistance, or PCOS itself. The aim of the study was to investigate the WBC (white blood cell) count and CRP (C-reactive protein) concentration in women with PCOS and to determine the factors that affect their concentration. The study included 200 women aged 18-40 with PCOS and 105 healthy women as the control group, recruited in the Department of Gynaecological Endocrinology of Medical University in Warsaw from 2016 to 2018. Each patient underwent clinical, biochemical, and ultrasonographic assessments. WBC and CRP were significantly higher in the PCOS group (Z = -2,353, p = 0,019 and Z = -2,453, p = 0,014). WBC positively correlated with serum insulin at 0, 60, and 120?min during the oral glucose tolerance test (INS0: r = 0,221, p = 0,001; INS1: r = 0,194, p = 0,003; INS2: r = 0,022, p = 0,001), testosterone (r = 0,130, p = 0,046), androstenedione (r = 0,212, p = 0,001), and DHEAS (r = 0,178, p = 0,006) and negatively correlated with progesterone (r = -0,204, p = 0,002), estradiol (r = -0,140, p = 0,032), and SHBG (r = -0,308, p < 0,001). CRP positively correlated with insulin concentration in 0, 60, and 120?min during the oral glucose tolerance test (INS0: r = 0,343, p < 0,001; INS1: r = 0,276, p = 0,001; INS2: r = 0,320, p < 001) and negatively correlated with progesterone (r = -0,194, p = 0,030) and SHBG (-0,244, p = 0,005). We also estimated positive correlation between BMI and serum CRP and WBC concentration. Multiple linear regression analysis showed that CRP values are positively associated with BMI (beta = 0,374, p < 0,001) and insulin level (INS1) (beta = 0,282, p = 0,004); and WBC results are negatively associated with SHGB (beta = -0,284, p < 0,001) but positively associated with testosterone (beta = 0,163, p = 0,024) and BMI (beta = 0,157, p = 0,047). PCOS is associated with increased WBC and CRP concentrations. The main predicting factors of increased CRP are BMI and insulin resistance, but there is also a relationship between WBC count in PCOS and androgen concentration itself so that inflammation may be mediated not only through adiposity but also through increased androgen concentration.

Project description:BackgroundPolycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) affects 8% to 13% of reproductive-aged women and is associated with reproductive and metabolic dysfunction. Obesity worsens the presentation of PCOS and weight management (weight loss, maintenance or prevention of excess weight gain) is proposed as an initial treatment strategy, best achieved through lifestyle changes incorporating diet, exercise and behavioural interventions.ObjectivesTo assess the effectiveness of lifestyle treatment in improving reproductive, anthropometric (weight and body composition), metabolic and quality of life factors in PCOS.Search methodsWe searched the Cochrane Gynaecology and Fertility Specialised Register, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, CINAHL and AMED (date of last search March 2018). We also searched controlled trials registries, conference abstracts, relevant journals, reference lists of relevant papers and reviews, and grey literature databases, with no language restrictions applied.Selection criteriaRandomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing lifestyle treatment (diet, exercise, behavioural or combined treatments) to minimal or no treatment in women with PCOS.Data collection and analysisTwo authors independently selected trials, assessed evidence quality and risk of bias, and extracted data. Our primary outcomes were live birth, miscarriage and pregnancy. We used inverse variance and fixed-effect models in the meta-analyses. We reported dichotomous outcomes as an odds ratio and continuous outcomes as a mean difference (MD) or standardised mean difference (SMD).Main resultsWe included 15 studies with 498 participants. Ten studies compared physical activity to minimal dietary and behavioural intervention or no intervention. Five studies compared combined dietary, exercise and behavioural intervention to minimal intervention. One study compared behavioural intervention to minimal intervention. Risk of bias varied: eight studies had adequate sequence generation, seven had adequate clinician or outcome assessor blinding, seven had adequate allocation concealment, six had complete outcome data and six were free of selective reporting. No studies assessed the fertility primary outcomes of live birth or miscarriage. No studies reported the secondary reproductive outcome of menstrual regularity, as defined in this review.Lifestyle intervention may improve a secondary (endocrine) reproductive outcome, the free androgen index (FAI) (MD -1.11, 95% confidence interval (CI) -1.96 to -0.26, 6 RCTs, N = 204, I2 = 71%, low-quality evidence). Lifestyle intervention may reduce weight (kg) (MD -1.68 kg, 95% CI -2.66 to -0.70, 9 RCTs, N = 353, I2 = 47%, low-quality evidence). Lifestyle intervention may reduce body mass index (BMI) (kg/m2) (-0.34 kg/m2, 95% CI -0.68 to -0.01, 12 RCTs, N = 434, I2= 0%, low-quality evidence). We are uncertain of the effect of lifestyle intervention on glucose tolerance (glucose outcomes in oral glucose tolerance test) (mmol/L/minute) (SMD -0.02, 95% CI -0.38 to 0.33, 3 RCTs, N = 121, I2 = 0%, low-quality evidence).Authors' conclusionsLifestyle intervention may improve the free androgen index (FAI), weight and BMI in women with PCOS. We are uncertain of the effect of lifestyle intervention on glucose tolerance. There were no studies that looked at the effect of lifestyle intervention on live birth, miscarriage or menstrual regularity. Most studies in this review were of low quality mainly due to high or unclear risk of bias across most domains and high heterogeneity for the FAI outcome.

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Predictors of pregnancy in women with polycystic ovary syndrome.

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Predictors of pregnancy in women with polycystic ovary syndrome.

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