Dataset Information

A sex-role-preference model for HIV transmission among men who have sex with men in China.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Men who have sex with men (MSM) are much more likely to be infected with HIV than the general population. China has a sizable population of MSM, including gay, bisexual men, money boys and some rural workers. So reducing HIV infection in this population is an important component of the national HIV/AIDS prevention and control program.

Methods

We develop a mathematical model using a sex-role-preference framework to predict HIV infection in the MSM population and to evaluate different intervention strategies.

Results

An analytic formula for the basic reproduction ratio R0 was obtained; this yields R0 = 3.9296 in the current situation, so HIV will spread very fast in the MSM population if no intervention measure is implemented in a timely fashion. The persistence of HIV infection and the existence of disease equilibrium (or equilibria) are also shown. We utilized our model to simulate possible outcomes of antiretroviral therapy and vaccination for the MSM population. We compared the effects of these intervention measures under different assumptions about MSM behaviour. We also found that R0 is a decreasing function of the death rate of HIV-infected individuals, following a power law at least asymptotically.

Conclusion

HIV will spread very fast in the MSM population unless intervention measures are implemented urgently. Antiretroviral therapy can have substantial impact on the reduction of HIV among the MSM population, even if disinhibition is considered. The effect of protected sexual behaviour on controlling the epidemic in the MSM population largely depends on the sex-ratio preference of different sub-populations.

SUBMITTER: Lou J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC2779498 | biostudies-literature | 2009 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

A sex-role-preference model for HIV transmission among men who have sex with men in China.

Lou Jie J Wu Jianhong J Chen Li L Ruan Yuhua Y Shao Yiming Y

BMC public health 20091118

<h4>Background</h4>Men who have sex with men (MSM) are much more likely to be infected with HIV than the general population. China has a sizable population of MSM, including gay, bisexual men, money boys and some rural workers. So reducing HIV infection in this population is an important component of the national HIV/AIDS prevention and control program.<h4>Methods</h4>We develop a mathematical model using a sex-role-preference framework to predict HIV infection in the MSM population and to evalu ...[more]

PMID: 19922680

Similar Datasets

Project description:BackgroundYunnan has the greatest share of reported human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) cases in China. In recent years, HIV prevalence and incidence remained stubbornly high in men who have sex with men (MSM). To follow the dynamics of the HIV-1 epidemic among MSM, HIV-1 genetic characteristics and genetic transmission networks were investigated.MethodsBlood samples from 190 newly diagnosed HIV-1 cases among MSM were continuously collected at fixed sites from January 2013 to December 2015 in Kunming City, Yunnan Province. Partial gag, pol and env genes were sequenced and used for phylogenetic and genotypic drug resistance analyses. The genetic characteristics of the predominant HIV-1 strains were analyzed by the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. The genetic transmission networks were identified with a genetic distance of 0.03 substitutions/site and 90% bootstrap support.ResultsAmong the 190 HIV-1 positive MSM reported during 2013-2105, various genotypes were identified, including CRF01_AE (45.3%), CRF07_BC (35.8%), unique recombinant forms (URFs) (11.6%), CRF08_BC (3.2%), CRF55_01B (2.1%), subtype B (1.6%) and CRF59_01B (0.5%). The effective population sizes (EPS) for CRF01_AE and CRF07_BC increased exponentially from approximately 2001-2010 and 2005-2009, respectively. Genetic transmission networks were constructed with 308 pol sequences from MSM diagnosed during 2010-2015. Of the 308 MSM, 109 (35.4%) were identified in 38 distinct clusters. Having multiple male partners was associated with a high probability of identification in the genetic transmission networks. Of the 38 clusters, 27 (71.1%) contained individuals diagnosed in different years. Of the 109 individuals in the networks, 26 (23.9%) had ≥2 potential transmission partners (≥2 links). The proportion of MSM with ≥2 links was higher among those diagnosed from 2010-2012. The constituent ratios of their potential transmission partners by areas showed no significant difference among MSM from Kunming, other cities in Yunnan and other provinces. Additionally, surveillance drug resistance mutations (SDRMs) were identified in 5% of individuals.ConclusionThis study revealed the various HIV-a genotypes circulating among MSM in Kunming. MSM with more partners were more easily detected in transmission networks, and early-diagnosed MSM remained active in transmission networks. These findings suggested that the routine interventions should be combined with HIV testing and linkage to care and early antiretroviral therapy among HIV-positive MSM.

Project description:Objectives: The objectives of this study were to distinguish the role of men who have sex with men (MSM) with or without syphilis testing in HIV-1 transmission and to provide molecular evidence of syphilis testing as a proxy marker for identifying the subgroup of MSM. Methods: HIV-1 transmission clusters were constructed by HIV-TRACE and Cluster Picker using HIV-1 pol sequences from 729 newly diagnosed HIV-infected MSM from 2008 to 2012 in Guangzhou, China. The role of MSM in HIV-1 transmission networks was determined by a node influence measurement and centrality analysis. The association between syphilis testing and factors related to HIV-1 transmission and antiretroviral treatment (ART) were analyzed by the Cox regression model. Results: Among HIV-infected MSM, 56.7% did not test for syphilis at the time of HIV-1 diagnosis. MSM without syphilis testing was a specific subgroup of MSM with a larger closeness centrality and clustering coefficient than the recipients of syphilis testing (P < 0.001), indicating their central position in the HIV-1 transmission networks. The median degree and radiality within HIV-1 transmission networks as well as the median K-shell scores were also greater for MSM without syphilis testing (P < 0.001), suggesting their relatively greater contribution in transmitting HIV-1 than the receipts of syphilis testing. MSM with syphilis testing usually did not disclose their occupation or were more likely to be unemployed or to take non-skilled jobs, to have a history of sexually transmitted infections (STIs), and to be AIDS patients when diagnosed with HIV-1 infection (P < 0.05). Multivariable Cox regression analysis indicated that syphilis testing per se did not promote the engagement of ART (P = 0.233) or affect the speed of CD4+ T cell count recovery after treatment (P = 0.256). Conclusions: Our study identifies syphilis testing as a proxy marker of a specific subgroup of HIV-infected MSM who refuse syphilis testing during HIV-1 diagnosis with an important role in HIV-1 transmission. Specific prevention and intervention targeting MSM without syphilis testing during HIV-1 care are urgently needed.

Dataset Information

A sex-role-preference model for HIV transmission among men who have sex with men in China.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

A sex-role-preference model for HIV transmission among men who have sex with men in China.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets