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Infants consider both the sample and the sampling process in inductive generalization.

ABSTRACT: The ability to make inductive inferences from sparse data is a critical aspect of human learning. However, the properties observed in a sample of evidence depend not only on the true extension of those properties but also on the process by which evidence is sampled. Because neither the property extension nor the sampling process is directly observable, the learner's ability to make accurate generalizations depends on what is known or can be inferred about both variables. In particular, different inferences are licensed if samples are drawn randomly from the whole population (weak sampling) than if they are drawn only from the property's extension (strong sampling). Given a few positive examples of a concept, only strong sampling supports flexible inferences about how far to generalize as a function of the size and composition of the sample. Here we present a Bayesian model of the joint dependence between observed evidence, the sampling process, and the property extension and test the model behaviorally with human infants (mean age: 15 months). Across five experiments, we show that in the absence of behavioral cues to the sampling process, infants make inferences consistent with the use of strong sampling; given explicit cues to weak or strong sampling, they constrain their inferences accordingly. Finally, consistent with quantitative predictions of the model, we provide suggestive evidence that infants' inferences are graded with respect to the strength of the evidence they observe.

SUBMITTER: Gweon H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC2889113 | biostudies-literature | 2010 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Infants consider both the sample and the sampling process in inductive generalization.

Gweon Hyowon H Tenenbaum Joshua B JB Schulz Laura E LE

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 20100430 20

The ability to make inductive inferences from sparse data is a critical aspect of human learning. However, the properties observed in a sample of evidence depend not only on the true extension of those properties but also on the process by which evidence is sampled. Because neither the property extension nor the sampling process is directly observable, the learner's ability to make accurate generalizations depends on what is known or can be inferred about both variables. In particular, different ...[more]

PMID: 20435914

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Project description:BackgroundEndobronchial ultrasound-guided transbronchial fine needle aspiration (EBUS-FNA) has revolutionized the diagnostic and staging approach to non-small cell carcinoma and thoracic lymphadenopathy. However, obstacles to efficacy of rapid on-site evaluation (ROSE) of the samples include variability in sample quality and slow and cumbersome process in the procedure room leading to extended procedure time. The purpose of this pilot study was to evaluate the feasibility and specimen quality of lymph node biopsies prepared through a novel automated system for automated fixation, drying and staining compared to standard slide preparation method.MethodsWe performed a prospective, single-center pilot feasibility study of patients undergoing EBUS. Samples were split into conventional standard of care (SOC) slide preparation and preparation using the device ("instrument"). Pathologists compared the SOC slides to the slides prepared by the automated system and assessed the following metrics: nuclear and cytoplasmic quality, presence of debris/artifact, staining quality, creation of a monolayer, and ease of adequacy/diagnosis assessment. A score between 1 (lowest quality) and 3 (highest quality) was assigned to the above metrics.ResultsSixty patients were recruited. One to three lymph nodes were sampled for each patient for a total of 72 samples collected. The mean scores of each assessment category showed no statistical difference between the two preparation techniques except for improved monolayer creation in the instrument samples. Thirty of thirty-one (96.8%) paired samples in the final analysis showed diagnostic equivalency between the automated slides and conventional slides; the discordant pairing was reported to be suspicious on the instrument sample and atypical on the SOC.ConclusionsStudy results suggest that slides prepared by the automated system are of adequate quality for adequacy assessment with diagnostic concordance when compared to SOC slides.

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Infants consider both the sample and the sampling process in inductive generalization.

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Infants consider both the sample and the sampling process in inductive generalization.

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