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Neuroimaging enrichment strategy for secondary prevention trials in Alzheimer disease.

ABSTRACT: We examined the improvement in statistical power that could be obtained in therapeutic trials for early (predementia) Alzheimer disease by constraining enrollment to individuals with amnestic mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and an atrophy pattern on a screening magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan previously found to be predictive of clinical decline, or to individuals with MCI and the apolipoprotein E epsilon 4 genetic risk factor for Alzheimer disease. Treatable effects were defined as absolute change versus change relative to healthy controls (HCs). Data from 168 HC and 299 MCI participants were analyzed to determine sample sizes required to detect 25% slowing in mean rate of decline using global function, cognitive function, and structural measures as outcome variables. Reductions in estimated sample sizes of 10% to 43% were observed using the genetic enrichment strategy; reductions of 43% to 60% were observed with the neuroimaging enrichment strategy. Sample sizes needed to detect slowing in rate of atrophy in MCI relative to HC were dramatically larger than those needed to detect absolute change in atrophy rates. Constraining enrollment to MCI subjects with predictive atrophy on a screening MRI scan could improve the efficiency of clinical trials. Failure to take into account normal age-related changes risks under-powering trials designed to test disease-modifying properties of potential treatments.

SUBMITTER: McEvoy LK

PROVIDER: S-EPMC2929320 | biostudies-literature | 2010 Jul-Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Neuroimaging enrichment strategy for secondary prevention trials in Alzheimer disease.

McEvoy Linda K LK Edland Steven D SD Holland Dominic D Hagler Donald J DJ Roddey J Cooper JC Fennema-Notestine Christine C Salmon David P DP Koyama Alain K AK Aisen Paul S PS Brewer James B JB Dale Anders M AM

Alzheimer disease and associated disorders 20100701 3

We examined the improvement in statistical power that could be obtained in therapeutic trials for early (predementia) Alzheimer disease by constraining enrollment to individuals with amnestic mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and an atrophy pattern on a screening magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan previously found to be predictive of clinical decline, or to individuals with MCI and the apolipoprotein E epsilon 4 genetic risk factor for Alzheimer disease. Treatable effects were defined as absolu ...[more]

PMID: 20683184

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Project description:BackgroundIn Alzheimer's disease (AD), pathological changes may arise up to 20 years before the onset of dementia. This pre-dementia window provides a unique opportunity for secondary prevention. However, exposing non-demented subjects to putative therapies requires reliable biomarkers for subject selection, stratification, and monitoring of treatment. Neuroimaging allows the detection of early pathological changes, and longitudinal imaging can assess the effect of interventions on markers of molecular pathology and rates of neurodegeneration. This is of particular importance in pre-dementia AD trials, where clinical outcomes have a limited ability to detect treatment effects within the typical time frame of a clinical trial. We review available evidence for the use of neuroimaging in clinical trials in pre-dementia AD. We appraise currently available imaging markers for subject selection, stratification, outcome measures, and safety in the context of such populations.Main bodyAmyloid positron emission tomography (PET) is a validated in-vivo marker of fibrillar amyloid plaques. It is appropriate for inclusion in trials targeting the amyloid pathway, as well as to monitor treatment target engagement. Amyloid PET, however, has limited ability to stage the disease and does not perform well as a prognostic marker within the time frame of a pre-dementia AD trial. Structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), providing markers of neurodegeneration, can improve the identification of subjects at risk of imminent decline and hence play a role in subject inclusion. Atrophy rates (either hippocampal or whole brain), which can be reliably derived from structural MRI, are useful in tracking disease progression and have the potential to serve as outcome measures. MRI can also be used to assess comorbid vascular pathology and define homogeneous groups for inclusion or for subject stratification. Finally, MRI also plays an important role in trial safety monitoring, particularly the identification of amyloid-related imaging abnormalities (ARIA). Tau PET to measure neurofibrillary tangle burden is currently under development. Evidence to support the use of advanced MRI markers such as resting-state functional MRI, arterial spin labelling, and diffusion tensor imaging in pre-dementia AD is preliminary and requires further validation.ConclusionWe propose a strategy for longitudinal imaging to track early signs of AD including quantitative amyloid PET and yearly multiparametric MRI.

Project description:Background:Higher circulating antioxidant concentrations are associated with a lower risk of late-onset Alzheimer disease (AD) in observational studies, suggesting that diet-sourced antioxidants may be modifiable targets for reducing disease risk. However, observational evidence is prone to substantial biases that limit causal inference, including residual confounding and reverse causation. Objectives:In order to infer whether long-term circulating antioxidant exposure plays a role in AD etiology, we tested the hypothesis that AD risk would be lower in individuals with lifelong, genetically predicted increases in concentrations of 4 circulating antioxidants that are modifiable by diet. Methods:Two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses were conducted. First, published genetic association studies were used to identify single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that determine variation in circulating ascorbate (vitamin C), ?-carotene, retinol (vitamin A), and urate. Second, for each set of SNP data, statistics for genotype associations with AD risk were extracted from data of a genome-wide association study of late-onset AD cases and controls (n = 17,008 and 37,154, respectively). Ratio-of-coefficients and inverse-variance-weighted meta-analyses were the primary methods used to assess the 4 sets of SNP-exposure and SNP-AD associations. Additional analyses assessed the potential impact of bias from pleiotropy on estimates. Results:The models suggested that genetically determined differences in circulating ascorbate, retinol, and urate are not associated with differences in AD risk. All estimates were close to the null, with all ORs for AD ?1 per unit increase in antioxidant exposure (ranging from 1.00 for ascorbate to 1.05 for retinol). There was little evidence to imply that pleiotropy had biased results. Conclusions:Our findings suggest that higher exposure to ascorbate, ?-carotene, retinol, or urate does not lower the risk of AD. Replication Mendelian randomization studies could assess this further, providing larger AD case-control samples and, ideally, using additional variants to instrument each exposure.

Dataset Information

Neuroimaging enrichment strategy for secondary prevention trials in Alzheimer disease.

Publications

Neuroimaging enrichment strategy for secondary prevention trials in Alzheimer disease.

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