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ABSTRACT: Objective
To evaluate the incidence and relative risk of type 2 diabetes defined by the newly proposed HbA(1c) diagnostic criteria in groups categorized by different baseline HbA(1c) levels.Research design and methods
Using data from the European Prospective Investigation of Cancer (EPIC)-Norfolk cohort with repeat HbA(1c) measurements, we estimated the prevalence of known and previously undiagnosed diabetes at baseline (baseline HbA(1c) ?6.5%) and the incidence of diabetes over 3 years. We also examined the incidence and corresponding odds ratios (ORs) by different levels of baseline HbA(1c). Incident diabetes was defined clinically (self-report at follow-up, prescribed diabetes medication, or inclusion on a diabetes register) or biochemically (HbA(1c) ?6.5% at the second health assessment), or both.Results
The overall prevalence of diabetes was 4.7%; 41% of prevalent cases were previously undiagnosed. Among 5,735 participants without diabetes at baseline (identified clinically or using HbA(1c) criteria, or both), 72 developed diabetes over 3 years (1.3% [95% CI 1.0-1.5]), of which 49% were identified using the HbA(1c) criteria. In 6% of the total population, the baseline HbA(1c) was 6.0-6.4%; 36% of incident cases arose in this group. The incidence of diabetes in this group was 15 times higher than in those with a baseline HbA(1c) of <5.0% (OR 15.5 [95% CI 7.2-33.3]).Conclusions
The cumulative incidence of diabetes defined using a newly proposed HbA(1c) threshold in this middle-aged British cohort was 1.3% over 3 years. Targeting interventions to individuals with an HbA(1c) of 6.0-6.4% might represent a feasible preventive strategy, although complementary population-based preventive strategies are also needed to reduce the growing burden of diabetes.
SUBMITTER: Chamnan P
PROVIDER: S-EPMC3064056 | biostudies-literature | 2011 Apr
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Chamnan Parinya P Simmons Rebecca K RK Forouhi Nita G NG Luben Robert N RN Khaw Kay-Tee KT Wareham Nicholas J NJ Griffin Simon J SJ
Diabetes care 20100709 4
<h4>Objective</h4>To evaluate the incidence and relative risk of type 2 diabetes defined by the newly proposed HbA(1c) diagnostic criteria in groups categorized by different baseline HbA(1c) levels.<h4>Research design and methods</h4>Using data from the European Prospective Investigation of Cancer (EPIC)-Norfolk cohort with repeat HbA(1c) measurements, we estimated the prevalence of known and previously undiagnosed diabetes at baseline (baseline HbA(1c) ≥6.5%) and the incidence of diabetes over ...[more]