Defining hematoma expansion in intracerebral hemorrhage: relationship with patient outcomes.
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ABSTRACT: Background
Hematoma expansion (HE) is a surrogate marker in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) trials. However, the amount of HE necessary to produce poor outcomes in an individual is unclear; there is no agreement on a clinically meaningful definition of HE. We compared commonly used definitions of HE in their ability to predict poor outcome as defined by various cutpoints on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS).Methods
In this cohort study, we analyzed 531 patients with ICH from the Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive. Primary outcome was mRS at 90 days, dichotomized into 0-3 vs 4-6. Secondary outcomes included other mRS cutpoints and mRS "shift analysis." Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values for commonly used HE definitions were calculated.Results
Between 13% and 32% of patients met the commonly used HE definitions. All definitions independently predicted poor outcome; positive predictive values increased with higher growth cutoffs but at the expense of lower sensitivities. All HE definitions showed higher specificity than sensitivity. Absolute growth cutoffs were more predictive than relative cutoffs when mRS 5-6 or 6 was defined as "poor outcome."Conclusion
HE robustly predicts poor outcome regardless of the growth definition or the outcome definition. The highest positive predictive values are obtained when using an absolute growth definition to predict more severe outcomes. Given that only a minority of patients may have clinically relevant HE, hemostatic ICH trials may need to enroll a large number of patients, or select for a population that is more likely to have HE.
SUBMITTER: Dowlatshahi D
PROVIDER: S-EPMC3068004 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), the most devastating form of stroke, has no specific therapy proven to improve outcome by randomized controlled trial. Location and baseline hematoma volume are strong predictors of mortality, but are nonmodifiable by the time of diagnosis. Expansion of the initial hematoma is a further marker of poor prognosis that may be at least partly preventable. Several risk factors for hematoma expansion have been identified, including baseline ICH volume, early presentation after symptom onset, anticoagulation, and the CT angiography spot sign. Although the biological mechanisms of hematoma expansion remain unclear, accumulating evidence supports a model of ongoing secondary bleeding from ruptured adjacent vessels surrounding the initial bleeding site. Several large clinical trials testing therapies aimed at preventing hematoma expansion are in progress, including aggressive blood pressure reduction, treatment with recombinant factor VIIa guided by CT angiography findings, and surgical intervention for superficial hematomas without intraventricular extension. Hematoma expansion is so far the only marker of outcome that is amenable to treatment and thus a potentially important therapeutic target.
| S-EPMC3743539 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Many clinical trials focus on restricting hematoma expansion following acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), but selecting those patients at highest risk of hematoma expansion is challenging.To develop a prediction score for hematoma expansion in patients with primary ICH.Prospective cohort study at 2 urban academic medical centers among patients having primary ICH with available baseline and follow-up computed tomography for volumetric analysis (817 patients in the development cohort and 195 patients in the independent validation cohort).Hematoma expansion was assessed using semiautomated software and was defined as more than 6 mL or 33% growth. Covariates were tested for association with hematoma expansion using univariate and multivariable logistic regression. A 9-point prediction score was derived based on the regression estimates and was subsequently tested in the independent validation cohort.Hematoma expansion occurred in 156 patients (19.1%). In multivariable analysis, predictors of expansion were as follows: warfarin sodium use, the computed tomography angiography spot sign, and shorter time to computed tomography (? 6 vs >6 hours) (P <?.001 for all), as well as baseline ICH volume (<30 [reference], 30-60 [P =?.03], and >60 [P =?.005] mL). The incidence of hematoma expansion steadily increased with higher scores. In the independent validation cohort (n = 195), our prediction score performed well and showed strong association with hematoma expansion (odds ratio, 4.59; P <?.001 for a high vs low score). The C statistics for the score were 0.72 for the development cohort and 0.77 for the independent validation cohort.A 9-point prediction score for hematoma expansion was developed and independently validated. The results open a path for individualized treatment and trial design in ICH aimed at patients at highest risk of hematoma expansion with maximum potential for therapeutic benefit.
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Project description:BACKGROUND:Hematoma expansion (HE) after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is associated with worse outcome. Lobar ICHs are known to have better outcomes compared to deep ICH; however, it is unclear whether there are HE differences between these locations. We sought to investigate the hypothesis that lobar ICH has less HE compared to deep ICH. METHODS:Primary ICH patients admitted between 2009 and 2016 were included in a prospective single-center ICH cohort study. Patients with preceding anticoagulant use, coagulopathy on admission labs, or presenting after 24?h from symptom onset were excluded. Lobar and deep ICH patients with baseline and follow-up computed tomography (CT) (within 24?h of admission CT) were evaluated. HE was defined primarily as relative growth >?33% given expected baseline hematoma volume differences between locations. Other commonly utilized definitions of HE: >?6 mL, and >?33% or >?6 mL, were additionally assessed. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the association of ICH location with HE while adjusting for previously identified covariates of HE. RESULTS:There were 59 lobar and 143 deep ICH patients analyzed. Lobar ICH patients had significantly larger baseline hematoma volumes, lower admission systolic blood pressure, and longer times to admission CT compared to deep ICH. Multivariable logistic regression revealed an association of lobar ICH with lower odds of HE (>?33%) [odds ratio (OR) 0.32; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.11-0.93; p?=?0.04] compared to deep ICH after adjusting for baseline ICH volume, blood pressure, and time to CT. Secondary analysis did not identify an association of lobar ICH with HE defined as >?6 mL (adjusted OR 1.44; 95% CI 0.59-3.50; p?=?0.41) or >?33% or >?6 mL (adjusted OR 0.71; 95% CI 0.29-1.70; p?=?0.44). CONCLUSION:We identified less HE in lobar compared to deep ICH. The use of absolute growth thresholds in defining HE may be limited when assessing groups with largely different baseline hematoma sizes. Further study is required to replicate our findings and investigate mechanisms for HE differences between lobar and deep ICH locations.
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Project description:Hematoma volume is the most potent predictor of outcome in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), and hematoma expansion after hospital presentation occurs in up to 40% of individuals. Among patients with lobar ICH, the apolipoprotein E (APOE) ?2 allele predicts larger hematoma volumes at presentation. We investigated whether the ?2 allele also identifies individuals at increased risk of hematoma expansion.We analyzed 510 patients with primary ICH and genetic data available from an ongoing prospective cohort study. Baseline and follow-up CT scans were assessed for ICH location and volume using computer-assisted volumetric methods.Individuals with lobar ICH who possessed APOE ?2 were at increased risk for hematoma expansion (OR, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.19-6.23; P=0.009). The highest odds of expansion were in patients who qualified for the diagnosis of cerebral amyloid angiopathy-related ICH and carried the APOE ?2 allele (OR, 6.02; 95% CI, 1.60-22.58; P=0.008). There was no effect of ?2 on hematoma expansion in deep ICH and APOE ?4 had no effect on hematoma expansion in lobar or deep ICH.Possession of APOE ?2 predisposes individuals with lobar ICH to hematoma expansion. This effect is even more pronounced in patients with amyloid angiopathy-related ICH, consistent with the ?2 allele's role in vascular amyloid deposition and vessel fragility.
| S-EPMC3361564 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is the most lethal type of stroke, but there is no specific treatment. After years of effort, neurologists have found that hematoma expansion (HE) is a vital predictor of poor prognosis in ICH patients, with a not uncommon incidence ranging widely from 13 to 38%. Herein, the progress of studies on HE after ICH in recent years is updated, and the topics of definition, prevalence, risk factors, prediction score models, mechanisms, treatment, and prospects of HE are covered in this review. The risk factors and prediction score models, including clinical, imaging, and laboratory characteristics, are elaborated in detail, but limited by sensitivity, specificity, and inconvenience to clinical practice. The management of HE is also discussed from bench work to bed practice. However, the upmost problem at present is that there is no treatment for HE proven to definitely improve clinical outcomes. Further studies are needed to identify more accurate predictors and effective treatment to reduce HE.
| S-EPMC7380105 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundIntraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a strong independent predictor of poor outcomes. Although the location and volume of ICH are associated with IVH, our knowledge concerning the mechanism of IVH after ICH is still limited. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between hematoma morphology and IVH in patients with supratentorial deep ICH.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed adult patients (aged ≥18 years) with spontaneous supratentorial deep ICH who underwent computed tomography (CT) within 48 h after ICH symptom onset in Peking University First Hospital between January 2017 and August 2022. We collected the clinical and imaging data of the patients and assessed hematoma morphology using several quantitative radiological parameters including hematoma volume, sphericity index, A/B ratio (A: the largest area of hematoma; B: the largest diameter 90° to A on the same slice), and our newly proposed largest diameter-midline angle (LMA). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the relationship between these parameters and the presence of IVH on the initial CT scan.ResultsAmong 114 patients with spontaneous supratentorial deep ICH, 41 (36.0%) had IVH. In patients with IVH, the sphericity index was lower than that in individuals without IVH, while the LMA was larger. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that sphericity index [0.1-unit odds ratio (OR) =0.252; 95% CI: 0.089-0.709; P=0.009] and the LMA (10-unit OR =1.281; 95% CI: 1.007-1.630; P=0.04) were independently associated with the presence of IVH in patients with supratentorial deep ICH. Univariate analyses showed that hematoma volume, A/B ratio, sphericity index, and the LMA were significantly associated with poor outcomes at discharge.ConclusionsTwo quantitative parameters of hematoma morphology, sphericity index and the LMA, were significantly associated with the presence of IVH in patients with supratentorial deep ICH. Further prospective studies with larger sample sizes are needed to validate our results.
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Project description:BackgroundDifferent from diabetic hyperglycemia, stress-induced hyperglycemia (SIH) can better reflect elevated blood glucose owing to intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). However, studies about the outcome of ICH patients with SIH are still very limited.AimsThis study aimed to investigate whether SIH measured by stress-induced hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) was associated with hematoma expansion and poor outcomes in patients with ICH.MethodsA consecutive series of patients with spontaneous ICH from two clinical centers admitted within 24 h after symptom onset were enrolled for prospective analysis. SHR was defined as admission fasting blood glucose divided by estimated average glucose [1.59 × Hemoglobin A1c (%) - 2.59]. This study investigated the association between SHR and hematoma expansion, and short-term and long-term poor outcomes using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.ResultsA total of 313 ICH patients were enrolled in the study. SHR was markedly higher in patients with hematoma expansion and poor outcomes (p < 0.001). The multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated SHR independently associated with hematoma expansion (p < 0.001) and poor outcomes, including secondary neurological deterioration within 48 h, 30-day mortality, and 3-month poor modified Rankin Scale (mRS 4-6) (p < 0.001), while the blood glucose only predicted 30-day mortality. Meanwhile, the diagnostic accuracy of SHR exhibited by area under the curve in receiver operating characteristic analysis was statistically equal to or higher than the well-known predictors.ConclusionSHR is a reliable predictor for early hematoma expansion and poor outcomes in patients with ICH.
| S-EPMC8785298 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and objectiveThe aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of radiographic cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) on the severity of acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) as measured by: ICH volume, hematoma expansion, and extension of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH).MethodsCSVD was determined on baseline computed tomography (CT) scans of patients from the Ethnic and Racial Variations of Intracerebral Hemorrhage study through the extent of leukoaraiosis and cerebral atrophy using visual rating scales. The associations of leukoaraiosis and atrophy with ICH volume, hematoma expansion, IVH presence, and severity of IVH were tested using multivariable regression models. Secondary analyses were stratified by hemorrhage location. Bonferroni correction was applied to correct for multiple testing.ResultsA total of 2579 patients (mean age 61.7 years, 59% male) met inclusion criteria. Median ICH volume was 10.5 (Interquartile range [IQR] 4.0-25.3) mL. IVH was detected in 971 patients (38%). Neither leukoaraiosis nor atrophy was associated with hematoma expansion. Increasing grades of leukoaraiosis were associated with increased risk of IVH in a dose-dependent manner, while cerebral atrophy was inversely associated with IVH (both P for trend < 0.001). Increasing grades of global atrophy were dose-dependently associated with lower ICH volumes (ß (95% Confidence Interval [CI]) - 0.30[- 0.46, - 0.14], - 0.33[- 0.49, - 0.17], - 0.40[- 0.60, - 0.20], and - 0.54[- 0.76, - 0.32], for grades 1, 2, 3 and 4 compared to 0; all P < 0.001). The associations of leukoaraiosis with ICH volume were consistent with those of atrophy, albeit not meeting statistical significance.ConclusionsLeukoaraiosis and cerebral atrophy appear to have opposing associations with ICH severity. Cerebral atrophy correlates with smaller ICH volume and decreased risk and severity of IVH, while leukoaraiosis is associated with increased risk of IVH. Whether these observations reflect overlapping or divergent underlying mechanisms requires further study.
| S-EPMC7082383 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundHematoma expansion after acute intracerebral hemorrhage occurs most frequently in patients presenting within 3 h of symptom onset. However, the majority of patients present outside this window or with an unknown onset time. We investigated the prevalence of hematoma expansion in these patients and assessed the accuracy of the CT angiography (CTA) spot sign for identifying risk of hematoma expansion.MethodsWe analyzed 391 consecutive patients undergoing CTA and a followup CT. CTA spot sign readings were performed by two experienced readers and hematoma expansion was assessed by means of semi-automated software.ResultsHematoma expansion occurred in 18 % of patients. When stratified by time from symptom onset to initial CT, hematoma expansion rates were: 39 % within 3 h; 11 % between 3 and 6 h, 11 % beyond 6 h (but with known onset), and 20 % in patients with unknown symptom onset. Of patients who developed hematoma expansion, only 38 % presented within 3 h. The accuracy of the spot sign in predicting hematoma expansion was 0.67 for patients presenting within 3 h, 0.83 between 3 and 6 h, 0.88 after 6 h, and 0.76 for patients presenting with an unknown onset time.ConclusionsA substantial number of patients destined to suffer from hematoma expansion present either late or with an unknown symptom onset time. The CTA spot sign accurately identifies patients destined to expand regardless of time from symptom onset, and may therefore open a path to offer clinical trials and novel therapies to the many patients who do not present acutely.
| S-EPMC3707619 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background Noncontrast computed tomography (NCCT) markers are the emerging predictors of hematoma expansion in intracerebral hemorrhage. However, the relationship between NCCT markers and the dynamic change of hematoma in parenchymal tissues and the ventricular system remains unclear. Methods and Results We included 314 consecutive patients with intracerebral hemorrhage admitted to our hospital from July 2011 to May 2017. The intracerebral hemorrhage volumes and intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) volumes were measured using a semiautomated, computer-assisted technique. Revised hematoma expansion (RHE) was defined by incorporating the original definition of hematoma expansion into IVH growth. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to compare the performance of the NCCT markers in predicting the IVH growth and RHE. Of 314 patients in our study, 61 (19.4%) had IVH growth and 93 (23.9%) had RHE. After adjustment for potential confounding variables, blend sign, black hole sign, island sign, and expansion-prone hematoma could independently predict IVH growth and RHE in the multivariate logistic regression analysis. Expansion-prone hematoma had a higher predictive performance of RHE than any single marker. The diagnostic accuracy of RHE in predicting poor prognosis was significantly higher than that of hematoma expansion. Conclusions The NCCT markers are independently associated with IVH growth and RHE. Furthermore, the expansion-prone hematoma has a higher predictive accuracy for prediction of RHE and poor outcome than any single NCCT marker. These findings may assist in risk stratification of NCCT signs for predicting active bleeding.
| S-EPMC7955436 | biostudies-literature