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Trends in estradiol during critical illness are associated with mortality independent of admission estradiol.

ABSTRACT: We have previously demonstrated that elevated serum estradiol (E(2)) at intensive care unit (ICU) admission is associated with death in the critically ill, regardless of sex. However, little is known about how changes in initial E(2) during the course of care might signal increasing patient acuity or risk of death. We hypothesized that changes from baseline serum E(2) during the course of critical illness are more strongly associated with mortality than a single E(2) level at admission.A prospective cohort of 1,408 critically ill or injured nonpregnant adult patients requiring ICU care for ?48 hours with admission and subsequent E(2) levels was studied. Demographics, illness severity, and E(2) levels were examined, and the probability of mortality was modeled with multivariate logistic regression. Changes in E(2) were examined by both analysis of variance and logistic regression.Overall mortality was 14.1% [95% confidence interval (CI) 12.3% to 16%]. Both admission and subsequent E(2) levels were independently associated with mortality [admission E(2) odds ratio 1.1 (CI 1.0 to 1.2); repeat estradiol odds ratio 1.3 (CI 1.2 to1.4)], with subsequent values being stronger. Changes in E(2) were independently associated with mortality [odds ratio 1.1 (CI 1.0 to 1.16)] and improved regression model performance. The regression model produced an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.80 (CI 0.77 to 0.83).Although high admission levels of E(2) are associated with mortality, changes from baseline E(2) in critically ill or injured adults are independently associated with mortality. Future studies of E(2) dynamics may yield new indicators of patient acuity and illuminate underlying mechanisms for targeted therapy.

SUBMITTER: Kauffmann RM

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3073628 | biostudies-literature | 2011 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Trends in estradiol during critical illness are associated with mortality independent of admission estradiol.

Kauffmann Rondi M RM Norris Patrick R PR Jenkins Judith M JM Dupont William D WD Torres Renee E RE Blume Jeffrey D JD Dossett Lesly A LA Hranjec Tjasa T Sawyer Robert G RG May Addison K AK

Journal of the American College of Surgeons 20110401 4

<h4>Background</h4>We have previously demonstrated that elevated serum estradiol (E(2)) at intensive care unit (ICU) admission is associated with death in the critically ill, regardless of sex. However, little is known about how changes in initial E(2) during the course of care might signal increasing patient acuity or risk of death. We hypothesized that changes from baseline serum E(2) during the course of critical illness are more strongly associated with mortality than a single E(2) level at ...[more]

PMID: 21463817

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Project description:To determine whether the early serologic response in COVID-19 critical illness is associated with hospital mortality. To evaluate if time-to-seroconversion differs by receipt of dexamethasone therapy.DesignPatients were prospectively enrolled within 24 hours of ICU admission from two University of Washington Hospitals. Plasma was collected on enrollment and on days 3, 7, 10, and 14.SettingICUs between March 2020 and April 2021.PatientsConsecutive adults with COVID-19 admitted to an ICU.Measurements and main resultsWe measured longitudinal total antispike protein antibody levels (anti-S abs) and total antinucleocapsid antibody levels (anti-N ab) using a U.S. Food and Drug Administration-authorized Roche instrument. We evaluated whether detectable anti-S abs on ICU admission were associated with host factors, initial disease severity, and hospital mortality. We evaluated whether dexamethasone therapy was associated with time-to-seroconversion. Among 93 unvaccinated participants, 47 (51%) had detectable anti-S abs on ICU admission. There was no difference in Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score or time between first positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 PCR and ICU admission in those with detectable versus undetectable anti-S abs. Adjusting for age, body mass index, and sex, patients with detectable anti-S abs had a lower risk of inhospital death (hazard ratio, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.17-0.94; p = 0.04). Among 21 patients with undetectable anti-S abs on ICU admission and serial measurements available, time-to-seroconversion was not significantly affected by receipt of dexamethasone therapy.ConclusionsIn COVID-19 critical illness, a significant proportion of patients do not have detectable antibodies at ICU admission, and this is independent of severity of illness. Detectable anti-S abs were associated with lower risk of inhospital death. Despite concern that corticosteroids may impair an appropriate antiviral serologic response, early antibody kinetics were not significantly affected by administration of dexamethasone; however, CIs were wide and require further study.

Project description:BackgroundThe temporal association of delirium during critical illness with mortality is unclear, along with the associations of hypoactive and hyperactive motoric subtypes of delirium with mortality. We aimed to evaluate the relationship of delirium during critical illness, including hypoactive and hyperactive motoric subtypes, with mortality in the hospital and after discharge up to 1 year.MethodsWe analyzed a prospective cohort study of adults with respiratory failure and/or shock admitted to university, community, and Veterans Affairs hospitals. We assessed patients using the Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale and the Confusion Assessment Method for the intensive care unit (ICU) and defined the motoric subtype according to the corresponding Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale if delirium was present. We used Cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for baseline characteristics, coma, and daily hospital events, to determine whether delirium on a given day predicted mortality the following day in patients in the hospital and also to determine whether delirium presence and duration predicted mortality after discharge up to 1 year in patients who survived to hospital discharge. We performed similar analyses for hypoactive and hyperactive subtypes of delirium.ResultsAmong 1040 critically ill patients, 214 (21%) died in the hospital and 204 (20%) died out-of-hospital by 1 year. Delirium was common, occurring in 740 (71%) patients for a median (interquartile range [IQR]) of 4 (2-7) days. Hypoactive delirium occurred in 733 (70%) patients, and hyperactive occurred in 185 (18%) patients, with a median (IQR) of 3 (2-7) days and 1 (1-2) days, respectively. Delirium on a given day (hazard ratio [HR], 2.87; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.32-6.21; P = .008), in particular the hypoactive subtype (HR, 3.35; 95% CI, 1.51-7.46; P = .003), was independently associated with an increased risk of death the following day in the hospital. Hyperactive delirium was not associated with an increased risk of death in the hospital (HR, 4.00; 95% CI, 0.49-32.51; P = .19). Among hospital survivors, neither delirium presence (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.82-1.24; P = .95) nor duration (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.97-1.01; P = .56), regardless of motoric subtype, was associated with mortality after hospital discharge up to 1 year.ConclusionsDelirium during critical illness is associated with nearly a 3-fold increased risk of death the following day for patients in the hospital but is not associated with mortality after hospital discharge. This finding appears primarily driven by the hypoactive motoric subtype. The independent relationship between delirium and mortality occurs early during critical illness but does not persist after hospital discharge.

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Trends in estradiol during critical illness are associated with mortality independent of admission estradiol.

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Trends in estradiol during critical illness are associated with mortality independent of admission estradiol.

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