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An ANN model for treatment prediction in HBV patients.

ABSTRACT: Two types of antiviral treatments, namely, interferon and nucleoside/nucleotide analogues are available for hepatitis infections. The selection of drug and dose determined using known pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics data is important. The lack of sufficient information for pharmacokinetics of a drug may not produce the desired results. Artificial neural network (ANN) provides a novel model-independent approach to pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics data. ANN model is created by supervised learning of 90 patients sample to predict the treatment strategy (lamivudine only and Lamivudine + Interferon) on the basis of viral load, liver function test, visit number, treatment duration, ethnic area, sex, and age. The model was trained with 68 (77.3%) samples and tested with 20 (22.7%) samples. The model produced 92% accuracy with 92.8% sensitivity and 83.3% specificity.

SUBMITTER: Iqbal S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3124792 | biostudies-literature | 2011

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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An ANN model for treatment prediction in HBV patients.

Iqbal Sajid S Masood Khalid K Jafer Osman O

Bioinformation 20110606 6

Two types of antiviral treatments, namely, interferon and nucleoside/nucleotide analogues are available for hepatitis infections. The selection of drug and dose determined using known pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics data is important. The lack of sufficient information for pharmacokinetics of a drug may not produce the desired results. Artificial neural network (ANN) provides a novel model-independent approach to pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics data. ANN model is created by supervise ...[more]

PMID: 21738322

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Project description:Background & aimsPersonalised risk prediction of the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with liver cirrhosis on potent antiviral therapy is important for targeted screening and individualised intervention. This study aimed to develop and validate a new model for risk prediction of HCC development based on deep learning, and to compare it with previously reported risk models.MethodsA novel deep-learning-based model was developed from a cohort of 424 patients with HBV-related cirrhosis on entecavir therapy with 2 residual blocks, including 7 layers of a neural network, and it was validated using an independent external cohort (n = 316). The deep-learning-based model was compared to 6 previously reported models (platelet, age, and gender-hepatitis B score [PAGE-B], Chinese University HCC score [CU-HCC], HCC-Risk Estimating Score in CHB patients Under Entecavir [HCC-RESCUE], age, diabetes, race, etiology of cirrhosis, sex, and severity HCC score [ADRESS-HCC], modified PAGE-B score [mPAGE], and Toronto HCC risk index [THRI]) using Harrell's concordance (c)-index.ResultsDuring a median 5.2 yr of follow-up (inter-quartile range 2.8-6.9 yr), 86 patients (20.3%) developed HCC. The deep-learning-based model had a Harrell's c-index of 0.719 in the derivation cohort and 0.782 in the validation cohort. Goodness of fit was confirmed by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (p >0.05). Moreover, this model in the validation cohort had the highest c-index among the 6 previously reported models: PAGE-B (0.570), CU-HCC (0.548), HCC-RESCUE (0.577), ADRESS-HCC (0.551), mPAGE (0.598), and THRI (0.587) (all p <0.001). The misclassification rate of this model was 23.7% (model accuracy: 76.3%) in the validation group.ConclusionsThe deep-learning-based model had better performance than the previous models for predicting the HCC risk in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis on potent antivirals.Lay summaryFor early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma, it is important to maintain regular surveillance. However, there is currently no standard prediction model for risk stratification that can be used to establish a personalised surveillance strategy. We develop and validate a deep-learning-based model that showed better performance than previous models.

Dataset Information

An ANN model for treatment prediction in HBV patients.

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An ANN model for treatment prediction in HBV patients.

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