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Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model.

ABSTRACT: Recent breakouts of several epidemics, such as flu pandemics, are serious threats to human health. The measures of protection against these epidemics are urgent issues in epidemiological studies. Prevention and quarantine are two major approaches against disease spreads. We here investigate the combined effects of these two measures of protection using the SIR model. We use site percolation for prevention and bond percolation for quarantine applying on a lattice model. We find a strong synergistic effect of prevention and quarantine under local interactions. A slight increase in protection measures is extremely effective in the initial disease spreads. Combination of the two measures is more effective than a single protection measure. Our results suggest that the protection policy against epidemics should account for both prevention and quarantine measures simultaneously.

SUBMITTER: Kato F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3216498 | biostudies-literature | 2011

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model.

Kato Fuminori F Tainaka Kei-Ichi K Sone Shogo S Morita Satoru S Iida Hiroyuki H Yoshimura Jin J

Scientific reports 20110614

Recent breakouts of several epidemics, such as flu pandemics, are serious threats to human health. The measures of protection against these epidemics are urgent issues in epidemiological studies. Prevention and quarantine are two major approaches against disease spreads. We here investigate the combined effects of these two measures of protection using the SIR model. We use site percolation for prevention and bond percolation for quarantine applying on a lattice model. We find a strong synergist ...[more]

PMID: 22355529

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