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Multi-gene expression predictors of single drug responses to adjuvant chemotherapy in ovarian carcinoma: predicting platinum resistance.

ABSTRACT: Despite advances in radical surgery and chemotherapy delivery, ovarian cancer is the most lethal gynecologic malignancy. Standard therapy includes treatment with platinum-based combination chemotherapies yet there is no biomarker model to predict their responses to these agents. We here have developed and independently tested our multi-gene molecular predictors for forecasting patients' responses to individual drugs on a cohort of 55 ovarian cancer patients. To independently validate these molecular predictors, we performed microarray profiling on FFPE tumor samples of 55 ovarian cancer patients (UVA-55) treated with platinum-based adjuvant chemotherapy. Genome-wide chemosensitivity biomarkers were initially discovered from the in vitro drug activities and genomic expression data for carboplatin and paclitaxel, respectively. Multivariate predictors were trained with the cell line data and then evaluated with a historical patient cohort. For the UVA-55 cohort, the carboplatin, taxol, and combination predictors significantly stratified responder patients and non-responder patients (p = 0.019, 0.04, 0.014) with sensitivity = 91%, 96%, 93 and NPV = 57%, 67%, 67% in pathologic clinical response. The combination predictor also demonstrated a significant survival difference between predicted responders and non-responders with a median survival of 55.4 months vs. 32.1 months. Thus, COXEN single- and combination-drug predictors successfully stratified platinum resistance and taxane response in an independent cohort of ovarian cancer patients based on their FFPE tumor samples.

SUBMITTER: Ferriss JS

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3277593 | biostudies-literature | 2012

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Multi-gene expression predictors of single drug responses to adjuvant chemotherapy in ovarian carcinoma: predicting platinum resistance.

Ferriss J Stuart JS Kim Youngchul Y Duska Linda L Birrer Michael M Levine Douglas A DA Moskaluk Christopher C Theodorescu Dan D Lee Jae K JK

PloS one 20120210 2

Despite advances in radical surgery and chemotherapy delivery, ovarian cancer is the most lethal gynecologic malignancy. Standard therapy includes treatment with platinum-based combination chemotherapies yet there is no biomarker model to predict their responses to these agents. We here have developed and independently tested our multi-gene molecular predictors for forecasting patients' responses to individual drugs on a cohort of 55 ovarian cancer patients. To independently validate these molec ...[more]

PMID: 22348014

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Project description:Purpose: Despite advances in radical surgery and chemotherapy delivery, ovarian cancer is the most lethal gynecologic malignancy. Most of these patients are treated with platinum-based chemotherapies, but there is no biomarker model to guide their responses to these therapeutic agents. We have developed and independently tested our novel multivariate molecular predictors for forecasting patients' responses to individual drugs on a cohort of 58 ovarian cancer patients. Experimental Design: We adapted and applied the previously-published COXEN algorithm to develop molecular predictors for therapeutic responses of patients' tumors based on expression signatures derived from the NCI-60 in vitro drug activities and genomic expression data. Genome-wide candidate biomarkers were first triaged by examining expression patterns of frozen and formalin-fixed paraffin embedded (FFPE) tissue samples. We then identify initial drug sensitivity biomarkers for carboplatin and paclitaxel, respectively. These biomarkers were further narrowed by examining concordant expression patterns between cell lines and a historical set of ovarian cancer patients. Multivariate predictors were obtained from the NCI-60 cell lines and refined using historical patient cohorts. To independent validate these molecular predictors, we performed genome-wide profiling on FFPE samples of 58 ovarian cancer patients obtained prior to adjuvant chemotherapy. Results: Carboplatin predictor significantly stratified platinum sensitive and resistant patients (p = 0.019) with sensitivity = 93%, specificity = 33%, PPV = 65%, and NPV = 78%. Paclitaxel predictor also significantly stratified patients' responses (p = 0.033) with sensitivity = 96%, specificity = 26%, PPV = 61%, and NPV = 86%. The combination predictor for platinum-taxane combination demonstrated a significant survival difference between the predicted responders and nonresponders with median survival of 12.9 months vs. 8.1 months (p = 0.045). Conclusions: COXEN predictors successfully stratified platinum resistance and taxane response in this retrospective cohort, especially based on their FFPE tumor samples. Accurate prediction of chemotherapeutic response, especially to platinum agents is highly clinically relevant and could alter primary management of ovarian cancer. Gene expression data from 58 stage III-IV ovarian cancer patients treated with Carboplatin and Taxol agents

Project description:BackgroundSkeletal muscle loss during treatment is associated with poor survival outcomes in patients with ovarian cancer. Although changes in muscle mass can be assessed on computed tomography (CT) scans, this labour-intensive process can impair its utility in clinical practice. This study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model to predict muscle loss based on clinical data and to interpret the ML model by applying SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method.MethodsThis study included the data of 617 patients with ovarian cancer who underwent primary debulking surgery and platinum-based chemotherapy at a tertiary centre between 2010 and 2019. The cohort data were split into training and test sets based on the treatment time. External validation was performed using 140 patients from a different tertiary centre. The skeletal muscle index (SMI) was measured from pre- and post-treatment CT scans, and a decrease in SMI ≥ 5% was defined as muscle loss. We evaluated five ML models to predict muscle loss, and their performance was determined using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and F1 score. The features for analysis included demographic and disease-specific characteristics and relative changes in body mass index (BMI), albumin, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR). The SHAP method was applied to determine the importance of the features and interpret the ML models.ResultsThe median (inter-quartile range) age of the cohort was 52 (46-59) years. After treatment, 204 patients (33.1%) experienced muscle loss in the training and test datasets, while 44 (31.4%) patients experienced muscle loss in the external validation dataset. Among the five evaluated ML models, the random forest model achieved the highest AUC (0.856, 95% confidence interval: 0.854-0.859) and F1 score (0.726, 95% confidence interval: 0.722-0.730). In the external validation, the random forest model outperformed all ML models with an AUC of 0.874 and an F1 score of 0.741. The results of the SHAP method showed that the albumin change, BMI change, malignant ascites, NLR change, and PLR change were the most important factors in muscle loss. At the patient level, SHAP force plots demonstrated insightful interpretation of our random forest model to predict muscle loss.ConclusionsExplainable ML model was developed using clinical data to identify patients experiencing muscle loss after treatment and provide information of feature contribution. Using the SHAP method, clinicians may better understand the contributors to muscle loss and target interventions to counteract muscle loss.

Dataset Information

Multi-gene expression predictors of single drug responses to adjuvant chemotherapy in ovarian carcinoma: predicting platinum resistance.

Publications

Multi-gene expression predictors of single drug responses to adjuvant chemotherapy in ovarian carcinoma: predicting platinum resistance.

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