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Factors limiting the transmission of HIV mutations conferring drug resistance: fitness costs and genetic bottlenecks.

ABSTRACT: Transmission of HIV strains with drug-resistance mutations (DRMs) causes public health problems in resource-rich countries. We use a stochastic model, with data from viral competition experiments, to analyze the effect of fitness costs (FCs) and genetic bottlenecks on limiting transmission of 10 clinically significant DRMs. Transmission of DRMs with low FCs (?0.2%) is similar to wild-type; transmission chains last ?8 generations causing clusters of ?60 infected individuals. Genetic bottlenecks substantially limit transmission of DRMs with moderately high FCs (?0.6%); chains last ?1-3 generations with transmission clusters of 2-7. Transmission of DRMs with extremely high FCs (>6%) only occurs from ?5% of index cases. DRMs can revert to wild-type and remain as minority strains, within treatment-naïve individuals, undetectable by current resistance assays. We calculate, based on assay sensitivity, the length of time each DRM is detectable within individuals. Taken together, our results imply a hidden epidemic of transmitted resistance may exist.

SUBMITTER: Wagner BG

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3307053 | biostudies-literature | 2012

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Factors limiting the transmission of HIV mutations conferring drug resistance: fitness costs and genetic bottlenecks.

Wagner Bradley G BG Garcia-Lerma J Gerardo JG Blower Sally S

Scientific reports 20120319

Transmission of HIV strains with drug-resistance mutations (DRMs) causes public health problems in resource-rich countries. We use a stochastic model, with data from viral competition experiments, to analyze the effect of fitness costs (FCs) and genetic bottlenecks on limiting transmission of 10 clinically significant DRMs. Transmission of DRMs with low FCs (∼0.2%) is similar to wild-type; transmission chains last ∼8 generations causing clusters of ∼60 infected individuals. Genetic bottlenecks s ...[more]

PMID: 22432052

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Project description:Drug resistant HIV is a major threat to the long-term efficacy of antiretroviral treatment. Around 10% of ART-naïve patients in Europe are infected with drug-resistant HIV type 1. Hence it is important to understand the dynamics of transmitted drug resistance evolution. Thanks to routinely performed drug resistance tests, HIV sequence data is increasingly available and can be used to reconstruct the phylogenetic relationship among viral lineages. In this study we employ a phylodynamic approach to quantify the fitness costs of major resistance mutations in the Swiss HIV cohort. The viral phylogeny reflects the transmission tree, which we model using stochastic birth-death-sampling processes with two types: hosts infected by a sensitive or resistant strain. This allows quantification of fitness cost as the ratio between transmission rates of hosts infected by drug resistant strains and transmission rates of hosts infected by drug sensitive strains. The resistance mutations 41L, 67N, 70R, 184V, 210W, 215D, 215S and 219Q (nRTI-related) and 103N, 108I, 138A, 181C, 190A (NNRTI-related) in the reverse trancriptase and the 90M mutation in the protease gene are included in this study. Among the considered resistance mutations, only the 90M mutation in the protease gene was found to have significantly higher fitness than the drug sensitive strains. The following mutations associated with resistance to reverse transcriptase inhibitors were found to be less fit than the sensitive strains: 67N, 70R, 184V, 219Q. The highest posterior density intervals of the transmission ratios for the remaining resistance mutations included in this study all included 1, suggesting that these mutations do not have a significant effect on viral transmissibility within the Swiss HIV cohort. These patterns are consistent with alternative measures of the fitness cost of resistance mutations. Overall, we have developed and validated a novel phylodynamic approach to estimate the transmission fitness cost of drug resistance mutations.

Project description:Extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB), defined as resistance to at least isoniazid (INH), rifampicin (RIF), a fluoroquinolone (FQ) and a second-line injectable drug (SLID), is difficult to treat and poses a major threat to TB control. The transmission dynamics and distribution of XDR Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) strains have not been thoroughly investigated. Using whole genome sequencing data on 461 XDR-Mtb strains, we aimed to investigate the geographical distribution of XDR-Mtb strains in the Western Cape Province of South Africa over a 10 year period (2006-2017) and assess the association between Mtb sub-lineage, age, gender, geographical patient location and membership or size of XDR-TB clusters. First, we identified transmission clusters by excluding drug resistance-conferring mutations and using the 5 SNP cutoff, followed by merging clusters based on their most recent common ancestor. We then consecutively included variants conferring resistance to INH, RIF, ethambutol (EMB), pyrazinamide (PZA), SLIDs and FQs in the cluster definition. Cluster sizes were classified as small (2-4 isolates), medium (5-20 isolates), large (21-100 isolates) or very large (>100 isolates) to reflect the success of individual strains. We found that most XDR-TB strains were clustered and that including variants conferring resistance to INH, RIF, EMB, PZA and SLIDs in the cluster definition did not significantly reduce the proportion of clustered isolates (85.5-82.2 %) but increased the number of patients belonging to small clusters (4.3-12.4 %, P=0.56). Inclusion of FQ resistance-conferring variants had the greatest effect, with 11 clustered isolates reclassified as unique while the number of clusters increased from 17 to 37. Lineage 2 strains (lineage 2.2.1 typical Beijing or lineage 2.2.2 atypical Beijing) showed the large clusters which were spread across all health districts of the Western Cape Province. We identified a significant association between residence in the Cape Town metropole and cluster membership (P=0.016) but no association between gender, age and cluster membership or cluster size (P=0.39). Our data suggest that the XDR-TB epidemic in South Africa probably has its origin in the endemic spread of MDR Mtb and pre-XDR Mtb strains followed by acquisition of FQ resistance, with more limited transmission of XDR Mtb strains. This only became apparent with the inclusion of drug resistance-conferring variants in the definition of a cluster. In addition to the prevention of amplification of resistance, rapid diagnosis of MDR, pre-XDR and XDR-TB and timely initiation of appropriate treatment is needed to reduce transmission of difficult-to-treat TB.

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Factors limiting the transmission of HIV mutations conferring drug resistance: fitness costs and genetic bottlenecks.

Publications

Factors limiting the transmission of HIV mutations conferring drug resistance: fitness costs and genetic bottlenecks.

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