Dataset Information

The estimated prevalence and incidence of late stage age related macular degeneration in the UK.

ABSTRACT:

Background

UK estimates of age related macular degeneration (AMD) occurrence vary.

Aims

To estimate prevalence, number and incidence of AMD by type in the UK population aged ?50 years.

Methods

Age-specific prevalence rates of AMD obtained from a Bayesian meta-analysis of AMD prevalence were applied to UK 2007-2009 population data. Incidence was estimated from modelled age-specific prevalence.

Results

Overall prevalence of late AMD was 2.4% (95% credible interval (CrI) 1.7% to 3.3%), equivalent to 513?000 cases (95% CrI 363?000 to 699?000); estimated to increase to 679?000 cases by 2020. Prevalences were 4.8% aged ?65 years, 12.2% aged ?80 years. Geographical atrophy (GA) prevalence rates were 1.3% (95% CrI 0.9% to 1.9%), 2.6% (95% CrI 1.8% to 3.7%) and 6.7% (95% CrI 4.6% to 9.6%); neovascular AMD (NVAMD) 1.2% (95% CrI 0.9% to 1.7%), 2.5% (95% CrI 1.8% to 3.4%) and 6.3% (95% CrI 4.5% to 8.6%), respectively. The estimated number of prevalent cases of late AMD were 60% higher in women versus men (314?000 cases in women, 192?000 men). Annual incidence of late AMD, GA and NVAMD per 1000 women was 4.1 (95% CrI 2.4% to 6.8%), 2.4 (95% CrI 1.5% to 3.9%) and 2.3 (95% CrI 1.4% to 4.0%); in men 2.6 (95% CrI 1.5% to 4.4%), 1.7 (95% CrI 1.0% to 2.8%) and 1.4 (95% CrI 0.8% to 2.4%), respectively. 71?000 new cases of late AMD were estimated per year.

Conclusions

These estimates will guide health and social service provision for those with late AMD and enable estimation of the cost of introducing new treatments.

SUBMITTER: Owen CG

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3329633 | biostudies-literature | 2012 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

The estimated prevalence and incidence of late stage age related macular degeneration in the UK.

Owen Christopher G CG Jarrar Zakariya Z Wormald Richard R Cook Derek G DG Fletcher Astrid E AE Rudnicka Alicja R AR

The British journal of ophthalmology 20120213 5

<h4>Background</h4>UK estimates of age related macular degeneration (AMD) occurrence vary.<h4>Aims</h4>To estimate prevalence, number and incidence of AMD by type in the UK population aged ≥50 years.<h4>Methods</h4>Age-specific prevalence rates of AMD obtained from a Bayesian meta-analysis of AMD prevalence were applied to UK 2007-2009 population data. Incidence was estimated from modelled age-specific prevalence.<h4>Results</h4>Overall prevalence of late AMD was 2.4% (95% credible interval (CrI ...[more]

PMID: 22329913

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Project description:To evaluate the association between pseudodrusen and incidence of late age-related macular degeneration (AMD) in fellow eyes of patients with unilateral neovascular AMD (nAMD).Cohort study within the Comparison of AMD Treatments Trials (CATT).Patients with neither nAMD nor geographic atrophy (GA) in the fellow eye at baseline.Presence and type (dot, reticular, or confluent) of baseline pseudodrusen were assessed using digital color fundus photography (CFP) viewed under full color, green channel, and blue channel; red-free images; and fluorescein angiography (FA). Incidence of nAMD was based on monthly clinical examination and reading center evaluation of images at years 1 and 2. Incidence of GA was based on reading center evaluation of CFP and FA images at years 1 and 2. Associations of baseline pseudodrusen with incident nAMD and GA were summarized with adjusted risk ratios (aRRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) from multivariate Cox models, with adjustment of covariates identified through backward stepwise selection.Incident nAMD and GA.Among 620 fellow eyes, 176 (28.4%) had baseline pseudodrusen (55% dot, 82% reticular, 35% confluent). Within 2 years, nAMD occurred in 54 eyes (30.7%) with pseudodrusen and in 72 eyes (16.2%) without pseudodrusen (aRR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.43-2.93); GA occurred in 27 eyes (15.3%) with pseudodrusen and in 37 eyes (8.3%) without pseudodrusen (aRR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.13-3.17); late AMD occurred in 73 eyes (41.5%) with pseudodrusen and in 101 eyes (22.8%) without pseudodrusen (aRR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.51-2.83). Dot pseudodrusen were associated independently with nAMD (aRR, 2.53; 95% CI, 1.60-4.00), whereas confluent pseudodrusen were associated independently with GA (aRR, 4.35; 95% CI, 1.69-11.2). Eyes with pseudodrusen had increased incidence of late AMD regardless of whether the Age-Related Eye Diseases Study (AREDS) severity score was 2 (28.7% vs. 10.3%), 3 (34.9% vs. 13.7%), or 4 (50.5% vs. 32.0%).In fellow eyes of CATT participants, pseudodrusen were associated independently with a higher incidence of both nAMD and GA. Dot pseudodrusen were associated with nAMD, whereas confluent pseudodrusen were associated with GA. Pseudodrusen should be considered along with the AREDS severity score for predicting late AMD.

Project description:PurposeTo report the natural history of untreated neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) regarding subsequent macular atrophy.DesignProspective cohort within a randomized, controlled trial of oral micronutrient supplements.ParticipantsAge-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) participants (55-80 years) who demonstrated nAMD during follow-up (1992-2005), prior to anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy.MethodsColor fundus photographs were collected at annual study visits and graded centrally for late age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Incident macular atrophy after nAMD was examined by Kaplan-Meier analysis and proportional hazards regression.Main outcome measuresIncident macular atrophy after nAMD.ResultsOf the 4757 AREDS participants, 708 eyes (627 participants) demonstrated nAMD during follow-up and were eligible. The cumulative risks of incident macular atrophy after untreated nAMD were 9.6% (standard error, 1.2%), 31.4% (standard error, 2.2%), 43.1% (standard error, 2.6%), and 61.5% (standard error, 4.3%) at 2, 5, 7, and 10 years, respectively. This corresponded to a linear risk of 6.5% per year. The cumulative risk of central involvement was 30.4% (standard error, 3.2%), 43.4% (standard error, 3.8%), and 57.0% (standard error, 4.8%) at first appearance of atrophy, 2 years, and 5 years, respectively. Geographic atrophy (GA) in the fellow eye was associated with increased risk of macular atrophy (hazard ratio [HR], 1.70; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.17-2.49; P = 0.006). However, higher 52-single nucleotide polymorphism AMD genetic risk score was not associated with increased risk of macular atrophy (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.90-1.17; P = 0.67). Similarly, no significant differences were observed according to SNPs at CFH, ARMS2, or C3.ConclusionsThe rate of incident macular atrophy after untreated nAMD is relatively high, increasing linearly over time and affecting half of eyes by 8 years. Hence, factors other than anti-VEGF therapy are involved in atrophy development, including natural progression to GA. Comparison with studies of treated nAMD suggests it may not be necessary to invoke a large effect of anti-VEGF therapy on inciting macular atrophy, although a contribution remains possible. Central involvement is present in one third of eyes at the outset (similar to pure GA) and increases linearly to half at 3 years.

Dataset Information

The estimated prevalence and incidence of late stage age related macular degeneration in the UK.

Background

Aims

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

The estimated prevalence and incidence of late stage age related macular degeneration in the UK.

Similar Datasets

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