Dataset Information

The 9p21 genetic variant is additive to carotid intima media thickness and plaque in improving coronary heart disease risk prediction in white participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

ABSTRACT: We evaluated whether the addition of carotid intima media thickness and plaque (CIMT-P), and a single nucleotide polymorphism on chromosome 9p21 (9p21) together improve coronary heart disease (CHD) risk prediction in the ARIC study.Ten year CHD risk was estimated using the ARIC coronary risk score (ACRS) alone and in combination with CIMT-P and 9p21 individually and together in White participants (n=9338). Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), model calibration, net reclassification index (NRI), integrated discrimination index (IDI) and number of individuals reclassified were estimated.The AUC of the ACRS, ACRS+9p21, ACRS+CIMT-P and ACRS+CIMT-P+9p21 models were 0.748, 0.751, 0.763 and 0.766 respectively. The percentage of individuals reclassified, model calibration, NRI and IDI improved when CIMT-P and 9p21 were added to the ACRS only model (see manuscript).Addition of 9p21 allele information to CIMT-P minimally improves CHD risk prediction in whites in the ARIC study.

SUBMITTER: Nambi V

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3334435 | biostudies-literature | 2012 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The 9p21 genetic variant is additive to carotid intima media thickness and plaque in improving coronary heart disease risk prediction in white participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

Nambi Vijay V Boerwinkle Eric E Lawson Kim K Brautbar Ariel A Chambless Lloyd L Franeschini Nora N North Kari E KE Virani Salim S SS Folsom Aaron R AR Ballantyne Christie M CM

Atherosclerosis 20120203 1

<h4>Objective</h4>We evaluated whether the addition of carotid intima media thickness and plaque (CIMT-P), and a single nucleotide polymorphism on chromosome 9p21 (9p21) together improve coronary heart disease (CHD) risk prediction in the ARIC study.<h4>Methods</h4>Ten year CHD risk was estimated using the ARIC coronary risk score (ACRS) alone and in combination with CIMT-P and 9p21 individually and together in White participants (n=9338). Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ( ...[more]

PMID: 22349088

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Project description:Carotid intima-media thickness has been reported to predict kidney function decline. However, whether carotid intima-media thickness is associated with a hard kidney end point, ESRD, has not been investigated.We studied 13,197 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities participants at visit 1 (1987-1989) without history of cardiovascular disease, including coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure, at baseline and assessed whether carotid intima-media thickness measured by B-mode ultrasound is associated with ESRD risk using Cox proportional hazards models. Regarding carotid intima-media thickness parameters, we investigated the mean and maximum values of overall and segment-specific (common, bifurcation, and internal carotid arteries) measurements.Mean age was 54.0 (SD=5.7) years old, and there were 3373 (25.6%) blacks and 7370 (55.8%) women. During a median follow-up of 22.7 years, 433 participants developed ESRD (1.4/1000 person-years). After adjusting for shared risk factors for atherosclerosis and kidney disease, including baseline kidney function, carotid intima-media thickness was significantly associated with ESRD risk (hazard ratio [HR] between quartiles 4 and 1, 1.46; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.02 to 2.08 for overall mean intima-media thickness and HR between quartiles 4 and 1, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.24 to 2.48 for overall maximum intima-media thickness). The associations were largely consistent in demographic and clinical subgroups. When we explored segment-specific intima-media thicknesses, the associations with ESRD were most robust for bifurcation carotid (e.g., adjusted HR between quartiles 4 and 1 of mean intima-media thickness, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.04 to 2.13 for bifurcation; adjusted HR between quartiles 4 and 1 of mean intima-media thickness, 1.36; 95% CI, 0.94 to 1.97 for common; and adjusted HR between quartiles 4 and 1 of mean intima-media thickness, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.67 to 1.29 for internal).Carotid intima-media thickness was independently associated with incident ESRD in the general population, suggesting the shared etiology of atherosclerosis and ESRD.

Dataset Information

The 9p21 genetic variant is additive to carotid intima media thickness and plaque in improving coronary heart disease risk prediction in white participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

Publications

The 9p21 genetic variant is additive to carotid intima media thickness and plaque in improving coronary heart disease risk prediction in white participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

Similar Datasets

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