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Predicting treatment efficacy via quantitative magnetic resonance imaging: a Bayesian joint model.

ABSTRACT: The prognosis for patients with high grade gliomas is poor, with a median survival of 1 year. Treatment efficacy assessment is typically unavailable until 5-6 months post diagnosis. Investigators hypothesize that quantitative magnetic resonance imaging can assess treatment efficacy 3 weeks after therapy starts, thereby allowing salvage treatments to begin earlier. The purpose of this work is to build a predictive model of treatment efficacy by using quantitative magnetic resonance imaging data and to assess its performance. The outcome is 1-year survival status. We propose a joint, two-stage Bayesian model. In stage I, we smooth the image data with a multivariate spatiotemporal pairwise difference prior. We propose four summary statistics that are functionals of posterior parameters from the first-stage model. In stage II, these statistics enter a generalized non-linear model as predictors of survival status. We use the probit link and a multivariate adaptive regression spline basis. Gibbs sampling and reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are applied iteratively between the two stages to estimate the posterior distribution. Through both simulation studies and model performance comparisons we find that we can achieve higher overall correct classification rates by accounting for the spatiotemporal correlation in the images and by allowing for a more complex and flexible decision boundary provided by the generalized non-linear model.

SUBMITTER: Wu J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3346284 | biostudies-literature | 2012 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predicting treatment efficacy via quantitative magnetic resonance imaging: a Bayesian joint model.

Wu Jincao J Johnson Timothy D TD Galbán Craig J CJ Chenevert Thomas L TL Meyer Charles R CR Rehemtulla Alnawaz A Hamstra Daniel A DA Ross Brian D BD

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics 20111010 1

The prognosis for patients with high grade gliomas is poor, with a median survival of 1 year. Treatment efficacy assessment is typically unavailable until 5-6 months post diagnosis. Investigators hypothesize that quantitative magnetic resonance imaging can assess treatment efficacy 3 weeks after therapy starts, thereby allowing salvage treatments to begin earlier. The purpose of this work is to build a predictive model of treatment efficacy by using quantitative magnetic resonance imaging data a ...[more]

PMID: 22577240

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Project description:Background: Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) has emerged as a non-invasive modality to diagnose and monitor prostate cancer. Quantitative metrics on the regions of abnormality have shown to be useful descriptors to discriminate clinically significant cancers. In this study, we evaluate the reproducibility of quantitative imaging features using repeated mpMRI on the same patients. Methods: We retrospectively obtained the deidentified records of patients, who underwent two mpMRI scans within 2 weeks of the first baseline scan. The patient records were obtained as deidentified data (including imaging), obtained through the TCIA (The Cancer Imaging Archive) repository and analyzed in our institution with an institutional review board-approved Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act-compliant retrospective study protocol. Indicated biopsied regions were used as a marker for our study radiologists to delineate the regions of interest. We extracted 307 quantitative features in each mpMRI modality [T2-weighted MR sequence image (T2w) and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) with b values of 0 and 1,400 mm/s2] across the two sequential scans. Concordance correlation coefficients (CCCs) were computed on the features extracted from sequential scans. Redundant features were removed by computing the coefficient of determination (R 2) among them and replaced with a feature that had the highest dynamic range within intercorrelated groups. Results: We have assessed the reproducibility of quantitative imaging features among sequential scans and found that habitat region characterization improves repeatability in ADC maps. There were 19 T2w features and two ADC features in radiologist drawn regions (native raw image), compared to 18 T2w and 15 ADC features in habitat regions (sphere), which were reproducible (CCC ?0.65) and non-redundant (R 2 ? 0.99). We also found that z-transformation of the images prior to feature extraction reduced the number of reproducible features with no detrimental effect. Conclusion: We have shown that there are quantitative imaging features that are reproducible across sequential prostate mpMRI acquisition at a preset level of filters. We also found that a habitat approach improves feature repeatability in ADC. A validated set of reproducible image features in mpMRI will allow us to develop clinically useful disease risk stratification, enabling the possibility of using imaging as a surrogate to invasive biopsies.

Dataset Information

Predicting treatment efficacy via quantitative magnetic resonance imaging: a Bayesian joint model.

Publications

Predicting treatment efficacy via quantitative magnetic resonance imaging: a Bayesian joint model.

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