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ABSTRACT: Background
Land Use Regression models (LUR) are useful to estimate the spatial variability of air pollution in urban areas. Few studies have evaluated the stability of spatial contrasts in outdoor nitrogen dioxide (NO?) concentration over several years. We aimed to compare measured and estimated NO? levels 12 years apart, the stability of the exposure estimates for members of a large cohort study, and the association of the exposure estimates with natural mortality within the cohort.Methods
We measured NO? at 67 locations in Rome in 1995/96 and 78 sites in 2007, over three one-week-long periods. To develop LUR models, several land-use and traffic variables were used. NO? concentration at each residential address was estimated for a cohort of 684,000 adults. We used Cox regression to analyze the association between the two estimated exposures and mortality.Results
The mean NO? measured concentrations were 45.4??g/m³ (SD 6.9) in 1995/96 and 44.6??g/m³ (SD 11.0) in 2007, respectively. The correlation of the two measurements was 0.79. The LUR models resulted in adjusted R2 of 0.737 and 0.704, respectively. The correlation of the predicted exposure values for cohort members was 0.96. The association of each 10??g/m³ increase in NO? with mortality was 6?% for 1995/96 and 4?% for 2007 LUR models. The increased risk per an inter-quartile range change was identical (4?%, 95?% CI:3-6?%) for both estimates of NO?.Conclusions
Measured and predicted NO? values from LUR models, from samples collected 12 years apart, had good agreement, and the exposure estimates were similarly associated with mortality in a large cohort study.
SUBMITTER: Cesaroni G
PROVIDER: S-EPMC3407745 | biostudies-literature | 2012 Jul
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Cesaroni Giulia G Porta Daniela D Badaloni Chiara C Stafoggia Massimo M Eeftens Marloes M Meliefste Kees K Forastiere Francesco F
Environmental health : a global access science source 20120718
<h4>Background</h4>Land Use Regression models (LUR) are useful to estimate the spatial variability of air pollution in urban areas. Few studies have evaluated the stability of spatial contrasts in outdoor nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) concentration over several years. We aimed to compare measured and estimated NO₂ levels 12 years apart, the stability of the exposure estimates for members of a large cohort study, and the association of the exposure estimates with natural mortality within the cohort.<h4> ...[more]