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The natural history of respiratory syncytial virus in a birth cohort: the influence of age and previous infection on reinfection and disease.

ABSTRACT: This study aimed to quantify the effect of age, time since last infection, and infection history on the rate of respiratory syncytial virus infection and the effect of age and infection history on the risk of respiratory syncytial virus disease. A birth cohort of 635 children in Kilifi, Kenya, was monitored for respiratory syncytial virus infections from January 31, 2002, to April 22, 2005. Predictors of infection were examined by Cox regression and disease risk by binomial regression. A total of 598 respiratory syncytial virus infections were identified (411 primary, 187 repeat), with 409 determined by antigen assay and 189 by antibody alone (using a "most pragmatic" serologic definition). The incidence decreased by 70% following a primary infection (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.30, 95% confidence interval: 0.21, 0.42; P < 0.001) and by 59% following a secondary infection (hazard ratio = 0.41, 95% confidence interval: 0.22, 0.73; P = 0.003), for a period lasting 6 months. Relative to the age group <6 months, all ages exhibited a higher incidence of infection. A lower risk of severe disease following infection was independently associated with increasing age (P < 0.001) but not reinfection. In conclusion, observed respiratory syncytial virus incidence was lowest in the first 6 months of life, immunity to reinfection was partial and short lived, and disease risk was age related.

SUBMITTER: Ohuma EO

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3481264 | biostudies-literature | 2012 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The natural history of respiratory syncytial virus in a birth cohort: the influence of age and previous infection on reinfection and disease.

Ohuma E O EO Okiro E A EA Ochola R R Sande C J CJ Cane P A PA Medley G F GF Bottomley C C Nokes D J DJ

American journal of epidemiology 20121011 9

This study aimed to quantify the effect of age, time since last infection, and infection history on the rate of respiratory syncytial virus infection and the effect of age and infection history on the risk of respiratory syncytial virus disease. A birth cohort of 635 children in Kilifi, Kenya, was monitored for respiratory syncytial virus infections from January 31, 2002, to April 22, 2005. Predictors of infection were examined by Cox regression and disease risk by binomial regression. A total o ...[more]

PMID: 23059788

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Project description:BackgroundRespiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) in children. Early-life RSV LRTI might affect long-term health but there are few data from low-income and middle-income countries. We investigated the epidemiology and effect of early-life RSV LRTI on lung health in a South African birth cohort.MethodsWe conducted the Drakenstein Child Health Study (DCHS), an ongoing birth cohort longitudinal study in the Western Cape province, South Africa. We enrolled pregnant women aged 18 years or older during their second trimester of pregnancy at two public health clinics. We followed up study children from birth to 2 years. The primary outcome of the study was LRTI and RSV LRTI. LRTI and wheezing episodes were identified through active surveillance; respiratory samples were tested for RSV and other pathogens. Wheezing was longitudinally identified by caregiver report and ascertainment at health facilities. Lung function was measured from 6 weeks to 2 years. We analysed the associations between RSV LRTI and subsequent LRTI, wheezing, and lung function using generalised estimating equations and mixed-effects linear regression.FindingsWe enrolled 1137 mothers between March 5, 2012, and March 31, 2015. Among their 1143 infants, accruing 2093 child-years of follow-up, there were 851 cases of LRTI (incidence 0·41 episodes per child-year, 95% CI 0·38-0·43). Admission to hospital owing to LRTI occurred in 169 (20%) cases (incidence 0·08 episodes per child-year, 0·07-0·09), with a case-fatality ratio of 0·5%. RSV was detected in 164 (21%) of 785 LRTI events with a specimen available for qPCR, an incidence of 0·08 episodes per child-year (0·07-0·09); highest at age 0-6 months (0·15 episodes per child-year, 0·12-0·19). Children with a first RSV LRTI were three times as likely to develop recurrent LRTI compared with those with non-RSV LRTI (0·32 [0·22-0·48] vs 0·10 [0·07- 0·16] episodes per child-year; p<0·0001), particularly following hospitalised RSV LRTI. RSV LRTI and hospitalisation for all-cause LRTI were independently associated with recurrent wheezing (adjusted incident rate ratio 1·41, 95% CI 1·25-1·59, for RSV LRTI and 1·48, 1·30-1·68, for hospitalisation). LRTI or recurrent LRTI was associated with impaired lung function, but a similar outcome was observed following RSV LRTI or non-RSV LRTI. All-cause LRTI was associated with an average 3% higher respiratory rate (95% CI 0·01-0·06; p=0·013) and lower compliance (-0·1, -0·18 to 0·02) at 2 years compared with no LRTI. Recurrent LRTI was associated with further increased respiratory rate (0·01, 0·001-0·02), resistance (0·77 hPa s L-1, 0·07-1·47), and lower compliance (-0·6 mL hPa-1, -0·09 to -0·02) with each additional event.InterpretationRSV LRTI was common in young infants and associated with recurrent LRTI, particularly after hospitalised RSV. Hospitalisation for all-cause LRTI, especially for RSV-LRTI, was associated with recurrent wheezing. Impairments in lung function followed LRTI or recurrent episodes, but were not specific to RSV. New preventive strategies for RSV might have an effect on long-term lung health.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation; South African Medical Research Council; National Research Foundation South Africa; National Institutes of Health, Human Heredity and Health in Africa; Wellcome Trust.

Project description:BackgroundRespiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of hospitalisation in infants. The burden of RSV infection in healthy term infants has not yet been established. Accurate health-care burden data in healthy infants are necessary to determine RSV immunisation policy when RSV immunisation becomes available.MethodsWe performed a multicentre, prospective, observational birth cohort study in healthy term-born infants (≥37 weeks of gestation) in five sites located in different European countries to determine the health-care burden of RSV. The incidence of RSV-associated hospitalisations in the first year of life was determined by parental questionnaires and hospital chart reviews. We performed active RSV surveillance in a nested cohort to determine the incidence of medically attended RSV infections. The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03627572.FindingsIn total, 9154 infants born between July 1, 2017, and April 1, 2020, were followed up during the first year of life and 993 participated in the nested active surveillance cohort. The incidence of RSV-associated hospitalisations in the total cohort was 1·8% (95% CI 1·6-2·1). There were eight paediatric intensive care unit admissions, corresponding to 5·5% of 145 RSV-associated hospitalisations and 0·09% of the total cohort. Incidence of RSV infection in the active surveillance cohort confirmed by any diagnostic assay was 26·2% (24·0-28·6) and that of medically attended RSV infection was 14·1% (12·3-16·0).InterpretationRSV-associated acute respiratory infection causes substantial morbidity, leading to the hospitalisation of one in every 56 healthy term-born infants in high-income settings. Immunisation of pregnant women or healthy term-born infants during their first winter season could have a major effect on the health-care burden caused by RSV infections.FundingInnovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking, with support from the EU's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme and European Federation of Pharmaceutical Industries and Associations.

Dataset Information

The natural history of respiratory syncytial virus in a birth cohort: the influence of age and previous infection on reinfection and disease.

Publications

The natural history of respiratory syncytial virus in a birth cohort: the influence of age and previous infection on reinfection and disease.

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