Dataset Information

A modified Latent Class Model assessment of human papillomavirus-based screening tests for cervical lesions in women with atypical glandular cells: a Gynecologic Oncology Group study.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

In the absence of gold standard diagnoses, we estimate age-specific false-positive and false-negative prediction rates of HPV-, cytology-, and histology-based tests for significant cervical lesions (SCL) in US women with AGC-NOS Pap smear diagnoses.

Methods

Modified Latent Class Model (LCM) analyses, with prevalence of SCL modeled as a function of age, were applied to GOG-0171 study data (n = 122). The accuracies of several HPV-based tests, including Hybrid Capture II high-risk HPV (HC2 H-HPV); carbonic anhydrase IX (CA-IX); and invasive histological diagnosis, were compared. 1-PPV and 1-NPV were written as functions of sensitivity, specificity, and prevalence to obtain age-specific false-positive and false-negative rates.

Results

The histology-based test was nearly perfect (sensitivity = 1.00, CI = 0.98-1.00; specificity = 0.99, CI = 0.96-1.00). Otherwise, HC2 H-HPV performed best (sensitivity = 1.00, CI = 1.00-1.00; specificity = 0.87, CI = 0.79-0.94). The false-positive detection rates (1-PPV) for HC2 H-HPV were high (>17 %) at each age, while those of the histological diagnoses were low (<5 % at ages ≤60 and <17 % overall ages). False-negative prediction rates (1-NPV) for HC2 H-HPV were <0.11 % at each age and were uniformly lower than those of other tests, including the histology-based test (<0.25 %). CA-IX together with HC2 H-HPV did not improve performance.

Conclusions

Women with negative HC2 H-HPV can safely forego invasive treatment (i.e., cone or LEEP biopsy, hysterectomy) in favor of observational follow-up. Additional biomarkers must be found for use in combination with HC2 H-HPV to reduce false-positive rates. This novel application of a modified LCM exemplifies methods for potential use in future cancer screening studies when gold standard diagnoses are not available.

SUBMITTER: Carter RL

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3499682 | biostudies-literature | 2012 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

A modified Latent Class Model assessment of human papillomavirus-based screening tests for cervical lesions in women with atypical glandular cells: a Gynecologic Oncology Group study.

Carter Randy L RL Kang Le L Darcy Kathleen M KM Kauderer James J Liao Shu-Yuan SY Rodgers William H WH Walker Joan L JL Lankes Heather A HA Dunn S Terence ST Stanbridge Eric J EJ

Cancer causes & control : CCC 20121017 12

<h4>Purpose</h4>In the absence of gold standard diagnoses, we estimate age-specific false-positive and false-negative prediction rates of HPV-, cytology-, and histology-based tests for significant cervical lesions (SCL) in US women with AGC-NOS Pap smear diagnoses.<h4>Methods</h4>Modified Latent Class Model (LCM) analyses, with prevalence of SCL modeled as a function of age, were applied to GOG-0171 study data (n = 122). The accuracies of several HPV-based tests, including Hybrid Capture II high ...[more]

PMID: 23073789

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Project description:ObjectivesTo investigate the risks of invasive cervical cancer after detection of atypical glandular cells (AGC) during cervical screening.DesignNationwide population based cohort study.SettingCancer and population registries in Sweden.Participants3,054,328 women living in Sweden at any time between 1 January 1980 and 1 July 2011 who had any record of cervical cytological testing at ages 23-59. Of these, 2,899,968 women had normal cytology results at the first screening record. The first recorded abnormal result was atypical glandular cells (AGC) in 14 625, high grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) in 65 633, and low grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (LSIL) in 244 168.Main outcome measuresCumulative incidence of invasive cervical cancer over 15.5 years; proportion of invasive cervical cancer within six months of abnormality (prevalence); crude incidence rates for invasive cervical cancer over 0.5-15.5 years of follow-up; incidence rate ratios compared with women with normal cytology, estimated with Poisson regression adjusted for age and stratified by histopathology of cancer; distribution of clinical assessment within six months after the abnormality.ResultsThe prevalence of cervical cancer was 1.4% for women with AGC, which was lower than for women with HSIL (2.5%) but higher than for women with LSIL (0.2%); adenocarcinoma accounted for 73.2% of the prevalent cases associated with AGC. The incidence rate of invasive cervical cancer after AGC was significantly higher than for women with normal results on cytology for up to 15.5 years and higher than HSIL and LSIL for up to 6.5 years. The incidence rate of adenocarcinoma was 61 times higher than for women with normal results on cytology in the first screening round after AGC, and remained nine times higher for up to 15.5 years. Incidence and prevalence of invasive cervical cancer was highest when AGC was found at ages 30-39. Only 54% of women with AGC underwent histology assessment within six months, much less than after HSIL (86%). Among women with histology assessment within six months, the incidence rate of cervical cancer after AGC was significantly higher than that after HSIL for up to 6.5 years.ConclusionsAGC found at cervical screening is associated with a high and persistent risk of cervical cancer for up to 15 years, particularly for cervical adenocarcinoma and women with AGC at age 30-39. Compared with the reduction in risk of cancer seen after HSIL management, management of AGC seems to have been suboptimal in preventing cervical cancer. Research to optimise management is needed, and a more aggressive assessment strategy is warranted.

Project description:IntroductionEndometrial lesions are morphologically diverse and uncommon on cervical smears, with its detection rate and associated diagnostic categories uncharacterized. In this study, cervical smears matched to histologically proven endometrial hyperplasias and carcinomas were reviewed and compared with cervical in-situ-carcinomas/carcinomas, aiming to detail the diagnostic performance of cervical smears for upper tract and glandular lesions.MethodsPathology reports of cervical smears, hysterectomies, endometrial and cervical biopsies from 1995 to 2021 were retrieved. Diagnoses of cervical smears were matched to endometrial hyperplasias and carcinomas, or cervical carcinomas and reviewed.ResultsTotally 832 cervical smears (272 cervical carcinomas, 312 endometrial carcinomas, and 248 hyperplasias) were included. Considering all cytologic glandular diagnosis as positive, the detection rate of cervical adenocarcinoma-in-situ was the highest (64.3%), followed by cervical adenocarcinoma (63.8%), endometrial carcinoma (31.7%), and hyperplasia (with atypia-8.5%; without atypia-2.3%) (p < 0.001). Endometrial hyperplasia was most often diagnosed as atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASCUS) (5.0%) or atypical glandular cells, not otherwise specified (3.6%) without indication of endometrial origin. For endometrial carcinomas, higher FIGO grading and endocervical involvement were associated with higher detection rates across all diagnostic categories (p = 0.002-0.028). High FIGO grade was associated with suspicious/favor neoplastic (C4) (31.1%vs10.3%, p < 0.001) and carcinoma (C5) (17.8% vs. 5.6%, p = 0.005) categories, but not for all glandular diagnoses combined (33.3% vs. 31.0%, p = 0.761).ConclusionDetection rates for endometrial lesions are lower than cervical lesions but not insignificant. Endometrial hyperplasia should be recognized as a differential of human papilloma virus-negative ASCUS and prompt consideration of investigation of the upper genital tract.

Dataset Information

A modified Latent Class Model assessment of human papillomavirus-based screening tests for cervical lesions in women with atypical glandular cells: a Gynecologic Oncology Group study.

Purpose

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

A modified Latent Class Model assessment of human papillomavirus-based screening tests for cervical lesions in women with atypical glandular cells: a Gynecologic Oncology Group study.

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