Dataset Information

Transmission dynamics of the four dengue serotypes in southern Vietnam and the potential impact of vaccination.

ABSTRACT:

Background

With approximately 2.5 billion people at risk, dengue is a major international public health concern. Dengue vaccines currently in development should help reduce the burden associated with this disease but the most efficient way of using future dengue vaccines remains to be defined. Mathematical models of transmission can provide insight into the expected impact of different vaccination strategies at a population level and contribute to this definition.

Methods and findings

We developed and analyzed an age-structured, host-vector and serotype-specific compartmental model, including seasonality. We first used this transmission model to identify the immunological interactions between serotypes that affect the risks and consequences of secondary infections (cross-protection, increased susceptibility, increased severity, and increased infectiousness) and reproduce the observed epidemiology of dengue. For populating this model, we used routine surveillance data from Southern Vietnam and the results of a prospective cohort study conducted in the same area. The model provided a good fit to the observed data for age, severity of cases, serotype distribution, and dynamics over time, using two scenarios of immunological interaction : short term cross-protection alone (6-17 months) or a combination of short term cross-protection with cross-enhancement (increased susceptibility, severity and infectiousness in the case of secondary infections). Finally, we explored the potential impact of vaccination for these two scenarios. Both highlighted that vaccination can substantially decrease dengue burden by reducing the magnitude and frequency of outbreaks.

Conclusion

Our model suggests that seasonality and short term cross-protection are key factors for explaining dengue dynamics in Southern Vietnam. Vaccination was predicted to significantly reduce the disease burden, even in the situation where immunological cross-enhancement affects the risks and consequences of secondary infections.

SUBMITTER: Coudeville L

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3519629 | biostudies-literature | 2012

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Transmission dynamics of the four dengue serotypes in southern Vietnam and the potential impact of vaccination.

Coudeville Laurent L Garnett Geoff P GP

PloS one 20121210 12

<h4>Background</h4>With approximately 2.5 billion people at risk, dengue is a major international public health concern. Dengue vaccines currently in development should help reduce the burden associated with this disease but the most efficient way of using future dengue vaccines remains to be defined. Mathematical models of transmission can provide insight into the expected impact of different vaccination strategies at a population level and contribute to this definition.<h4>Methods and findings ...[more]

PMID: 23251466

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Project description:Any potential dengue virus (DENV) vaccine needs to elicit protective immunity against strains from all four serotypes to avoid potential antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE). In this study, four independent DENV envelope (E) glycoproteins were generated using wild-type E sequences from viruses isolated between 1943 and 2006 using computationally optimized broadly reactive antigen (COBRA) methodology. COBRA and wild-type E antigens were expressed on the surface of subvirion viral particles (SVPs). Four separate wild-type E antigens were used for each serotype. Mice vaccinated with wild-type DENV SVPs had anti-E IgG antibodies that neutralized serotype-specific viruses. COBRA DENV SVPs elicited a broader breadth of antibodies that neutralized strains across all four serotypes. Two COBRA DENV vaccine candidates that elicited the broadest breadth of neutralizing antibodies in mice were used to vaccinate rhesus macaques (Macaca mulatta) that either were immunologically naive to any DENV serotype or had preexisting antibodies to DENV. Antibodies elicited by COBRA DENV E immunogens neutralized all 12 strains of DENV in vitro, which was comparable to antibodies elicited by a tetravalent wild-type E SVP vaccination mixture. Therefore, using a single DENV COBRA E protein can elicit neutralizing antibodies against strains representing all four serotypes of DENV in both naive and dengue virus-preimmune populations.IMPORTANCE Dengue virus infects millions of people living in tropical areas of the world. Dengue virus-induced diseases can range from mild to severe with death. An effective vaccine will need to neutralize viruses from all four serotypes of dengue virus without inducing enhanced disease. A dengue virus E vaccine candidate generated by computationally optimized broadly reactive antigen algorithms elicits broadly neutralizing protection for currently circulating strains from all four serotypes regardless of immune status. Most dengue vaccines in development formulate four separate components based on prM-E from a wild-type strain representing each serotype. Designing a monovalent vaccine that elicits protective immunity against all four serotypes is an effective and economical strategy.

Dataset Information

Transmission dynamics of the four dengue serotypes in southern Vietnam and the potential impact of vaccination.

Background

Methods and findings

Conclusion

Publications

Transmission dynamics of the four dengue serotypes in southern Vietnam and the potential impact of vaccination.

Similar Datasets

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