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Sixteen-year longitudinal changes in serum prostate-specific antigen levels: the olmsted county study.

ABSTRACT: To determine the distribution of longitudinal changes in serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels from a population-based sample of men.In this prospective cohort study, a random sample of Olmsted County, Minnesota, men aged 40 to 79 years in 1990 were followed up biennially from January 1, 1990, through August 29, 2007. Serum PSA levels were determined at each examination, and men were censored for follow-up with a diagnosis of prostate cancer or treatment for benign prostatic hyperplasia. The empirical distributions of annual percent change and annual absolute change in serum PSA level were calculated and tabulated, including the median and 75th and 95th percentiles.For men with PSA measurements 2 years apart, the median annual percent change in serum PSA level was 4.83% and the 95th percentile was about 49.76%. The variability in estimated annual change decreased with increasing time between assessments, with a 95th percentile of 21.82% after 8 or more years between assessments. Although the median absolute change per year increased with increasing age, the median percent change per year was fairly consistent across age groups.These data demonstrate that, with shorter intervals between assessments, greater variability should be expected. These distributions should prove helpful to patients and clinicians in interpreting changes in serum PSA levels observed in typical clinical practices.

SUBMITTER: Jacobsen SJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3538390 | biostudies-literature | 2012 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Sixteen-year longitudinal changes in serum prostate-specific antigen levels: the olmsted county study.

Jacobsen Steven J SJ Jacobson Debra J DJ McGree Michaela E ME St Sauver Jennifer L JL Klee George G GG Girman Cynthia J CJ Lieber Michael M MM

Mayo Clinic proceedings 20120101 1

<h4>Objective</h4>To determine the distribution of longitudinal changes in serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels from a population-based sample of men.<h4>Patients and methods</h4>In this prospective cohort study, a random sample of Olmsted County, Minnesota, men aged 40 to 79 years in 1990 were followed up biennially from January 1, 1990, through August 29, 2007. Serum PSA levels were determined at each examination, and men were censored for follow-up with a diagnosis of prostate cancer ...[more]

PMID: 22212966

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Project description:BackgroundSerum prostate-specific antigen (PSA), used in prostate cancer screening, is nonspecific for cancer and is affected by age and prostate volume. More specific biomarkers could be more accurate for early detection of prostate cancer and reduce unnecessary prostate biopsies.ObjectiveTo evaluate the association of age and prostate volume with urinary MyProstateScore (MPS) in a screened, longitudinal cohort without evidence of prostate cancer.Design setting and participantsThe Olmsted County Study included men aged 40-79 yr who underwent biennial prostate cancer screening. PSA ≥4.0 ng/ml or abnormal rectal examination triggered prostate biopsy, and patients with cancer were excluded. The remaining men submitted urinary specimens for PCA3 and TMPRSS2:ERG testing.Outcome measurements and statistical analysisMPS was calculated using the validated, locked model for grade group ≥2 cancer that includes serum PSA, urinary PCA3, and urinary TMPRSS2:ERG. The associations of age and volume with biomarkers were assessed in multivariable regression models. The t statistic was used to quantify the strength of associations independent of the unit of measurement, and R 2 values were used to estimate the proportion of biomarker variance explained by each factor.Results and limitationsThe study included 314 screened men without evidence of cancer. In multivariable models including age and volume, PCA3 score was significantly associated with age (t = 7.51; p < 0.001), while T2:ERG score was not associated with age or volume. MPS was significantly associated with both age (t = 7.45; p < 0.001) and volume (t = 3.56; p < 0.001), but accounting for age alone explained the variability observed (R 2 = 0.29) in a similar way to the model including age and volume (R 2 = 0.31). The variability of PCA3, T2:ERG, and MPS was less dependent on age and volume than the variability for PSA (R 2 = 0.45).ConclusionsIn a cohort of longitudinally screened men without evidence of cancer, we found that MPS demonstrated less variability with noncancer factors (age, prostate volume) than PSA did. These findings support the biology of these markers as more cancer-specific than PSA and highlight their promise in reducing the morbidity associated with PSA-based screening.Patient summaryIn a group of men with no evidence of prostate cancer, we found that each of three urine-based markers of cancer-PCA3, T2:ERG, and the commercially available MyProstateScore test-showed less variability with noncancer factors (age and prostate volume) than serum PSA (prostate-specific antigen) did. These findings support their proposed use as noninvasive markers of prostate cancer that could improve the accuracy of early detection.

Project description:Melanoma and prostate cancer may share risk factors. This study examined the association between serum PSA levels, which is a risk factor for prostate cancer, and variants in some melanoma-associated pigmentary genes.We studied participants, all aged 70+ years, in the Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project who had no history of prostatitis or received treatment for prostate disease (n = 1033). We genotyped variants in MC1R (rs1805007, rs1805008), ASIP (rs4911414, rs1015362), SLC45A2 (rs28777, rs16891982), IRF4 (rs12203592), TYRP1 (rs1408799), TYR (rs1126809, rs1042602), SLC24A2 (rs12896399), and OCA2 (rs7495174). Generalised linear dominant models with Poisson distribution, log link functions and robust variance estimators estimated adjusted percentage differences (%PSA) in mean serum PSA levels (ng/mL) between variant and wildtype (0%PSA = reference) genotypes, adjusting for age, body mass index, serum 25OHD levels and birth regions (Australia or New Zealand (ANZ), Europe or elsewhere).Serum PSA levels were strongly associated with advancing age and birth regions: mean PSA levels were lower in Europe-born (-29.7%) and elsewhere-born (-11.7%) men than ANZ-born men (reference). Lower %PSA was observed in men with variants in SLC45A2: rs28777 (-19.6;95%CI: -33.5, -2.7), rs16891982 (-17.3;95%CI:-30.4,-1.7) than in wildtype men (reference). There were significant interactions between birth regions and PSA levels in men with variants in MC1R (rs1805007; p-interaction = 0.0001) and ASIP (rs4911414; p-interaction = 0.007). For these genes %PSA was greater in ANZ-born men and lower in Europe- and elsewhere-born men with the variant than it was in wildtype men. In a post hoc analysis, serum testosterone levels were increased in men with MC1R rs1805007 and serum dihydrotestosterone in men with ASIP rs1015362.Men with SNPs in SLC45A2, who have less sun sensitive skin, have lower PSA levels. Men with SNPs in MC1R and ASIP, who have more sun sensitive skin, and were born in ANZ, have higher PSA levels. Androgens may modify these apparent associations of pigmentary genes and sun exposure with PSA levels.PSA levels and possibly prostate cancer risk may vary with sun sensitivity and sun exposure, the effects of which might be modified by androgen levels.

Dataset Information

Sixteen-year longitudinal changes in serum prostate-specific antigen levels: the olmsted county study.

Publications

Sixteen-year longitudinal changes in serum prostate-specific antigen levels: the olmsted county study.

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