Dataset Information

Preventing preterm births: analysis of trends and potential reductions with interventions in 39 countries with very high human development index.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Every year, 1·1 million babies die from prematurity, and many survivors are disabled. Worldwide, 15 million babies are born preterm (<37 weeks' gestation), with two decades of increasing rates in almost all countries with reliable data. The understanding of drivers and potential benefit of preventive interventions for preterm births is poor. We examined trends and estimate the potential reduction in preterm births for countries with very high human development index (VHHDI) if present evidence-based interventions were widely implemented. This analysis is to inform a rate reduction target for Born Too Soon.

Methods

Countries were assessed for inclusion based on availability and quality of preterm prevalence data (2000-10), and trend analyses with projections undertaken. We analysed drivers of rate increases in the USA, 1989-2004. For 39 countries with VHHDI with more than 10,000 births, we did country-by-country analyses based on target population, incremental coverage increase, and intervention efficacy. We estimated cost savings on the basis of reported costs for preterm care in the USA adjusted using World Bank purchasing power parity.

Findings

From 2010, even if all countries with VHHDI achieved annual preterm birth rate reductions of the best performers for 1990-2010 (Estonia and Croatia), 2000-10 (Sweden and Netherlands), or 2005-10 (Lithuania, Estonia), rates would experience a relative reduction of less than 5% by 2015 on average across the 39 countries. Our analysis of preterm birth rise 1989-2004 in USA suggests half the change is unexplained, but important drivers include non-medically indicated labour induction and caesarean delivery and assisted reproductive technologies. For all 39 countries with VHHDI, five interventions modelling at high coverage predicted a 5% relative reduction of preterm birth rate from 9·59% to 9·07% of livebirths: smoking cessation (0·01 rate reduction), decreasing multiple embryo transfers during assisted reproductive technologies (0·06), cervical cerclage (0·15), progesterone supplementation (0·01), and reduction of non-medically indicated labour induction or caesarean delivery (0·29). These findings translate to roughly 58,000 preterm births averted and total annual economic cost savings of about US$3 billion.

Interpretation

We recommend a conservative target of a relative reduction in preterm birth rates of 5% by 2015. Our findings highlight the urgent need for research into underlying mechanisms of preterm births, and development of innovative interventions. Furthermore, the highest preterm birth rates occur in low-income settings where the causes of prematurity might differ and have simpler solutions such as birth spacing and treatment of infections in pregnancy than in high-income countries. Urgent focus on these settings is also crucial to reduce preterm births worldwide.

Funding

March of Dimes, USA, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, and National Institutes of Health, USA.

SUBMITTER: Chang HH

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3572865 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Preventing preterm births: analysis of trends and potential reductions with interventions in 39 countries with very high human development index.

Chang Hannah H HH Larson Jim J Blencowe Hannah H Spong Catherine Y CY Howson Christopher P CP Cairns-Smith Sarah S Lackritz Eve M EM Lee Shoo K SK Mason Elizabeth E Serazin Andrew C AC Walani Salimah S Simpson Joe Leigh JL Lawn Joy E JE

Lancet (London, England) 20121116 9862

<h4>Background</h4>Every year, 1·1 million babies die from prematurity, and many survivors are disabled. Worldwide, 15 million babies are born preterm (<37 weeks' gestation), with two decades of increasing rates in almost all countries with reliable data. The understanding of drivers and potential benefit of preventive interventions for preterm births is poor. We examined trends and estimate the potential reduction in preterm births for countries with very high human development index (VHHDI) if ...[more]

PMID: 23158883

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Project description:BackgroundPreterm birth is the most common single cause of perinatal and infant mortality, affecting 15 million infants worldwide each year with global rates increasing. Understanding of risk factors remains poor, and preventive interventions have only limited benefit. Large differences exist in preterm birth rates across high income countries. We hypothesized that understanding the basis for these wide variations could lead to interventions that reduce preterm birth incidence in countries with high rates. We thus sought to assess the contributions of known risk factors for both spontaneous and provider-initiated preterm birth in selected high income countries, estimating also the potential impact of successful interventions due to advances in research, policy and public health, or clinical practice.MethodsWe analyzed individual patient-level data on 4.1 million singleton pregnancies from four countries with very high human development index (Czech Republic, New Zealand, Slovenia, Sweden) and one comparator U.S. state (California) to determine the specific contribution (adjusting for confounding effects) of 21 factors. Both individual and population-attributable preterm birth risks were determined, as were contributors to cross-country differences. We also assessed the ability to predict preterm birth given various sets of known risk factors.FindingsPrevious preterm birth and preeclampsia were the strongest individual risk factors of preterm birth in all datasets, with odds ratios of 4.6-6.0 and 2.8-5.7, respectively, for individual women having those characteristics. In contrast, on a population basis, nulliparity and male sex were the two risk factors with the highest impact on preterm birth rates, accounting for 25-50% and 11-16% of excess population attributable risk, respectively (p<0.001). The importance of nulliparity and male sex on population attributable risk was driven by high prevalence despite low odds ratios for individual women. More than 65% of the total aggregated risk of preterm birth within each country lacks a plausible biologic explanation, and 63% of difference between countries cannot be explained with known factors; thus, research is necessary to elucidate the underlying mechanisms of preterm birth and, hence, therapeutic intervention. Surprisingly, variation in prevalence of known risk factors accounted for less than 35% of the difference in preterm birth rates between countries. Known risk factors had an area under the curve of less than 0.7 in ROC analysis of preterm birth prediction within countries. These data suggest that other influences, as yet unidentified, are involved in preterm birth. Further research into biological mechanisms is warranted.ConclusionsWe have quantified the causes of variation in preterm birth rates among countries with very high human development index. The paucity of explicit and currently identified factors amenable to intervention illustrates the limited impact of changes possible through current clinical practice and policy interventions. Our research highlights the urgent need for research into underlying biological causes of preterm birth, which alone are likely to lead to innovative and efficacious interventions.

Project description:IntroductionBlack African American (B/AA) women have a 2-fold to 3-fold elevated risk compared with non-Hispanic White (W) women for preterm birth. Further, preterm birth is the leading cause of mortality among B/AA infants, and among survivors, preterm infant adverse health outcomes occur disproportionately in B/AA infants. Racial inequities in maternal and infant health continue to pose a public health crisis despite the discovery >100 years ago. The purpose of this study was to expand on reported preterm infant outcome disparities. A life-course approach, accumulation of lifelong stress, including discrimination, may explain social factors causing preterm birth rate and outcome inequities in B/AA mothers.MethodsAnthropometric measures and clinical treatment information for 197 consented participants were milled from electronic health records across 4 years. The Neonatal Infant Stressor Scale was used to tally acute and chronic painful/stressful procedures. Neurobehavioral differences were investigated using the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) Network Neurobehavioral Scale.ResultsB/AA mothers gave birth to preterm infants earlier than W mothers. NICU hospitalization stays were extended more than 2 weeks for the significantly smaller B/AA preterm infants in comparison to the age-matched W preterm infants. A higher number of chronic lifesaving procedures with demonstrated altered stress response patterns were recorded for B/AA preterm infants.DiscussionThis cross-sectional analysis of preterm birth rates and preterm infant developmental and neurodevelopmental outcomes are presented in the context of NICU stress and pain, with attendant implications for infant mortality and future health disparities. Preterm birth rate and outcome inequities further support the need to develop interventions and policies that will reduce the impact of discrimination and improve social determinants of health for Black, Indigenous, and other People of Color.

Project description:BackgroundHypertensive disorders, especially preeclampsia, are the leading reason for provider-initiated preterm birth. We estimated how universal acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) prophylaxis might reduce rates of provider-initiated preterm birth associated with preeclampsia and intrauterine growth restriction, which are related conditions.MethodsWe performed a cohort study of singleton hospital births in 2013 in Canada, excluding Quebec. We estimated the proportion of term births and provider-initiated preterm births affected by preeclampsia and/or intrauterine growth restriction, and the corresponding mean maternal and newborn hospital length of stay. We projected the potential number of cases reduced and corresponding hospital length of stay if ASA prophylaxis lowered cases of preeclampsia and intrauterine growth restriction by a relative risk reduction (RRR) of 10% (lowest) or 53% (highest), as suggested by randomized clinical trials.ResultsOf the 269?303 singleton live births and stillbirths in our cohort, 4495 (1.7%) were provider-initiated preterm births. Of the 4495, 1512 (33.6%) had a diagnosis of preeclampsia and/or intrauterine growth restriction. The mean maternal length of stay was 2.0 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.0-2.0) days among term births unaffected by either condition and 7.3 (95% CI 6.1-8.6) days among provider-initiated preterm births with both conditions. The corresponding values for mean newborn length of stay were 1.9 (95% CI 1.8-1.9) days and 21.8 (95% CI 17.4-26.2) days. If ASA conferred a 53% RRR against preeclampsia and/or intrauterine growth restriction, 3365 maternal and 11?591 newborn days in hospital would be averted. If ASA conferred a 10% RRR, 635 maternal and 2187 newborn days in hospital would be averted.InterpretationA universal ASA prophylaxis strategy could substantially reduce the burden of long maternal and newborn hospital stays associated with provider-initiated preterm birth. However, until there is compelling evidence that administration of ASA to all, or most, pregnant women reduces the risk of preeclampsia and/or intrauterine growth restriction, clinicians should continue to follow current clinical practice guidelines.

Project description:Blood loss in the first days of life has been associated with increased morbidity and mortality in very preterm infants. In this systematic review we included randomized controlled trials comparing the effects of interventions to preserve blood volume in the infant from birth, reduce the need for sampling, or limit the blood sampled. Mortality and major neurodevelopmental disabilities were the primary outcomes. Included studies underwent risk of bias-assessment and data extraction by two review authors independently. We used risk ratio or mean difference to evaluate the treatment effect and meta-analysis for pooled results. The certainty of evidence was assessed using GRADE. We included 31 trials enrolling 3,759 infants. Twenty-five trials were pooled in the comparison delayed cord clamping or cord milking vs. immediate cord clamping or no milking. Increasing placental transfusion resulted in lower mortality during the neonatal period (RR 0.51, 95% CI 0.26 to 1.00; participants = 595; trials = 5; I2 = 0%, moderate certainty of evidence) and during first hospitalization (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.51, 0.96; 10 RCTs, participants = 2,476, low certainty of evidence). The certainty of evidence was very low for the other primary outcomes of this review. The six remaining trials compared devices to monitor glucose levels (three trials), blood sampling from the umbilical cord or from the placenta vs. blood sampling from the infant (2 trials), and devices to reintroduce the blood after analysis vs. conventional blood sampling (1 trial); the certainty of evidence was rated as very low for all outcomes in these comparisons. Increasing placental transfusion at birth may reduce mortality in very preterm infants; However, extremely limited evidence is available to assess the effects of other interventions to reduce blood loss after birth. In future trials, infants could be randomized following placental transfusion to different blood saving approaches. Trial registration: PROSPERO CRD42020159882.

Project description:Studies in a number of countries have reported associations between exposure to ambient air pollutants and adverse birth outcomes, including low birth weight, preterm birth (PTB) and, less commonly, small for gestational age (SGA). Despite their growing number, the available studies have significant limitations, e.g., incomplete control of temporal trends in exposure, modest sample sizes, and a lack of information regarding individual risk factors such as smoking. No study has yet examined large numbers of susceptible individuals. We investigated the association between ambient air pollutant concentrations and term SGA and PTB outcomes among 164,905 singleton births in Detroit, Michigan occurring between 1990 and 2001. SO(2), CO, NO(2), O(3) and PM(10) exposures were used in single and multiple pollutant logistic regression models to estimate odds ratios (OR) for these outcomes, adjusted for the infant's sex and gestational age, the mother's race, age group, education level, smoking status and prenatal care, birth season, site of residence, and long-term exposure trends. Term SGA was associated with CO levels exceeding 0.75ppm (OR=1.14, 95% confidence interval=1.02-1.27) and NO(2) exceeding 6.8ppb (1.11, 1.03-1.21) exposures in the first month, and with PM(10) exceeding 35?g/m(3) (1.22, 1.03-1.46) and O(3) (1.11, 1.02-1.20) exposure in the third trimester. PTB was associated with SO(2) (1.07, 1.01-1.14) exposure in the last month, and with (hourly) O(3) exceeding 92ppb (1.08, 1.02-1.14) exposure in the first month. Exposure to several air pollutants at modest concentrations was associated with adverse birth outcomes. This study, which included a large Black population, suggests the importance of the early period of pregnancy for associations between term SGA with CO and NO(2), and between O(3) with PTB; and the late pregnancy period for associations between term SGA and O(3) and PM(10), and between SO(2) with PTB. It also highlights the importance of accounting for individual risk factors such as maternal smoking, maternal race, and long-term trends in air pollutant levels and adverse birth outcomes in evaluating relationships between pollutant exposures and adverse birth outcomes.

Dataset Information

Preventing preterm births: analysis of trends and potential reductions with interventions in 39 countries with very high human development index.

Background

Methods

Findings

Interpretation

Funding

Publications

Preventing preterm births: analysis of trends and potential reductions with interventions in 39 countries with very high human development index.

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