Dataset Information

Modeling of cost effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination strategies in U.S. older adults.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) is approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for adults, but its role in older adults is unclear.

Purpose

To compare PCV13 strategies to currently recommended vaccination strategies in adults aged ?65 years.

Methods

Using a Markov model, the cost effectiveness of PCV13 and the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23), alone or in combination, was estimated, in adults aged either 65 years or 75 years. No prior vaccination, prior vaccination, and vaccine hyporesponsiveness scenarios were examined. Pneumococcal disease rates, indirect childhood PCV13 effects, and costs were estimated using CDC Active Bacterial Core surveillance data and U.S. national databases. An expert panel estimated vaccine-related protection. A societal perspective was taken and outcomes were discounted 3% per year.

Results

In those aged 65 years, single-dose PCV13 cost $11,300 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained compared to no vaccination; at ages 65 and 80 years, PCV13 cost $83,000/QALY. In those aged 75 years, single-dose PCV13 cost $62,800/QALY gained. PPSV23 cost more and was less effective than PCV13. Results were sensitive to varying vaccine effectiveness and indirect effect estimates. In hyporesponsiveness scenarios, cost-effectiveness ratios increased by 37%-78% for single-dose strategies and 29%-35% for multiple-dose strategies.

Conclusions

Single-dose PCV13 strategies are likely to be economically reasonable in older adults.

SUBMITTER: Smith KJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3601581 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Modeling of cost effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination strategies in U.S. older adults.

Smith Kenneth J KJ Wateska Angela R AR Nowalk Mary Patricia MP Raymund Mahlon M Lee Bruce Y BY Zimmerman Richard K RK

American journal of preventive medicine 20130401 4

<h4>Background</h4>The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) is approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for adults, but its role in older adults is unclear.<h4>Purpose</h4>To compare PCV13 strategies to currently recommended vaccination strategies in adults aged ≥65 years.<h4>Methods</h4>Using a Markov model, the cost effectiveness of PCV13 and the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23), alone or in combination, was estimated, in adults aged either 65 years o ...[more]

PMID: 23498103

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Project description:IntroductionUS pneumococcal vaccination recommendations for adults aged 65 years or older recently changed, with options for either 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) or the combination of 15-valent conjugate vaccine (PCV15) followed by 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) 1 year later. Underserved minority adults are at higher risk for pneumococcal disease.MethodsA Markov decision analysis model estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness of the newly adopted general population pneumococcal vaccination strategies in older underserved minority adults. The model examined hypothetical 65-year-old US Black cohorts (serving as a proxy for underserved minorities) and non-Black cohorts receiving PCV20 or PCV15/PPSV23, or no vaccination. Main outcome measures included incremental cost-effectiveness per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained and pneumococcal disease public health outcomes.ResultsBlack cohorts had a greater risk of pneumococcal disease hospitalization compared to non-Black cohorts. In Black cohorts, total per person PCV20 strategy costs, compared to no vaccination, were $124 higher while gaining 0.00073 QALY, or $169,540/QALY gained. PCV15/PPSV23 cost $535,797/QALY compared to PCV20. In the non-Black cohort, PCV20 cost $210,529/QALY gained compared to no vaccination and PCV15/PPSV23 cost $728,423/QALY. Plausible variation of vaccine effectiveness minimally affected PCV20 strategy results and made PCV15/PPSV23 more unfavorable. In scenarios where the simpler one-vaccine PCV20 strategy increased absolute vaccine uptake by 10%, PCV20 cost-effectiveness changed minimally while PCV15/PPSV23 cost in excess of $6 million/QALY in the Black cohort. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses that varied all parameters simultaneously, PCV15/PPSV23 was unlikely to be favored at thresholds less than $500,000/QALY gained.ConclusionGeneral population recommendations for PCV20 use are substantially more economically reasonable in Black and non-Black older adult populations than PCV15/PPSV23. If using a single vaccine increases uptake, which is potentially more likely in the underserved, then PCV20 use becomes even more favorable.

Project description:ObjectiveThe Ministry of Health (MOH), Mongolia, is considering introducing 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in its national immunization programme to prevent the burden of disease caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of introducing PCV13 compared to no PCV vaccination in Mongolia.MethodsThe incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of introducing PCV13 compared to no PCV vaccination was assessed using an age-stratified static multiple cohort model. The risk of various clinical presentations of pneumococcal disease (meningitis, pneumonia, non-meningitis non-pneumonia invasive pneumococcal disease and acute otitis media) at all ages for thirty birth cohorts was assessed. The analysis considered both health system and societal perspectives. A 3+0 vaccine schedule and price of US$3.30 per dose was assumed for the baseline scenario based on Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance's advance market commitment tail price.ResultsThe ICER of PCV13 introduction is estimated at US$52 per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted (health system perspective), and cost-saving (societal perspective). Although indirect effects of PCV have been well-documented, a conservative scenario that does not consider indirect effects estimated PCV13 introduction to cost US$79 per DALY averted (health system perspective), and US$19 per DALY averted (societal perspective). Vaccination with PCV13 is expected to cost around US$920,000 in 2016, and thereafter US$820,000 every year. The programme is likely to reduce direct disease-related costs to MOH by US$440,000 in the first year, increasing to US$510,000 by 2025.ConclusionIntroducing PCV13 as part of Mongolia's national programme appears to be highly cost-effective when compared to no vaccination and cost-saving from a societal perspective at vaccine purchase prices offered through Gavi. Notwithstanding uncertainties around some parameters, cost-effectiveness of PCV introduction for Mongolia remains robust over a range of conservative scenarios. Availability of high-quality national data would improve future economic analyses for vaccine introduction.

Project description:IntroductionUse of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in nonimmunocompromised adults aged ≥65 years is controversial. Higher-valency conjugate vaccines (15-valent and 20-valent ) are under development; their potential cost effectiveness in older adults is unknown, particularly when potential indirect (herd immunity) effects from childhood vaccination are considered.MethodsA Markov model estimated the cost effectiveness of current U.S. recommendations and alternative strategies using currently available and in-development pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in seniors. Separately, strategies using a hypothetical 20-valent vaccine adding the 7 most common disease-causing non-13-valent vaccine serotypes were considered. Sensitivity analyses were performed and alternative scenarios were examined. Data were gathered and the analyses were performed in 2020.ResultsIn analyses considering only existing and in-development vaccines, sole 20-valent vaccine use cost $172,491/quality-adjusted life year gained compared with current U.S. recommendations under baseline assumptions (equal serotype effectiveness and no childhood vaccination indirect effects). Strategies using 15-valent vaccine were more costly and less effective. When 13-valent/20-valent vaccines were assumed ineffective against pneumococcal serotype 3 and 15-valent vaccine was fully effective, 15-valent vaccine cost $237,431/quality-adjusted life year gained. With indirect effects considered, 15-valent or 20-valent vaccine cost >$449,000/quality-adjusted life year gained. When adding hypothetical 20-valent vaccine under baseline assumptions, hypothetical 20-valent vaccine cost $139,348/quality-adjusted life year gained.ConclusionsIn-development pneumococcal conjugate vaccines may be economically unreasonable in older adults, regardless of serotype effectiveness assumptions, particularly when considering potential indirect effects from use of those vaccines in children. Adult vaccines containing high-risk serotypes not contained in childhood vaccines may be more promising.

Project description:BackgroundIntroduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) has substantially reduced disease burden due to Streptococcus pneumoniae, a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality globally. However, PCVs are among the most expensive vaccines, hindering their introduction in some settings and threatening sustainability in others. We aimed to assess the effect and cost-effectiveness of introduction of 13-valent PCV (PCV13) vaccination globally.MethodsWe assessed the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of PCV13 introduction by integrating two models: an ecological model (a parsimonious, mechanistic model validated with data from post-seven-valent PCV introduction in 13 high-income settings) to predict the effect of PCV on childhood invasive pneumococcal disease, and a decision-tree model to predict a range of clinical presentations and economic outcomes under vaccination and no-vaccination strategies. The models followed 30 birth cohorts up to age 5 years in 180 countries from 2015 to 2045. One-way scenario and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were done to explore model uncertainties.FindingsWe estimate that global PCV13 use could prevent 0·399 million child deaths (95% credible interval 0·208 million to 0·711 million) and 54·6 million disease episodes (51·8 million to 58·1 million) annually. Global vaccine costs (in 2015 international dollars) of $15·5 billion could be partially offset by health-care savings of $3·19 billion (2·62 billion to 3·92 billion) and societal cost savings of $2·64 billion (2·13 billion to 3·28 billion). PCV13 use is probably cost-effective in all six UN regions. The 71 countries eligible for support from Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, account for 83% of PCV13-preventable deaths but only 18% of global vaccination costs. The expected cost of PCV vaccination globally is around $16 billion per year.InterpretationOur findings highlight the value of Gavi's support for PCV introduction in low-income countries and of efforts to improve the affordability of PCVs in countries not eligible for, or transitioning from, Gavi support.FundingWorld Health Organization; Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance; and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Project description:Background/objectivesRecently revised vaccination recommendations for US adults, aged 65 years and older, include both 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13), with PCV13 now recommended for immunocompetent older people based on shared decision making. The public health impact and cost-effectiveness of this recommendation or of pneumococcal vaccine uptake improvement interventions are unclear.DesignMarkov decision analysis.Setting and participantsHypothetical 65-year-old general and black population cohorts.InterventionCurrent pneumococcal vaccination recommendations for US older people, an alternative policy omitting PCV13 in immunocompetent older people, and vaccine uptake improvement programs.ResultsThe current pneumococcal vaccination recommendation was the most effective strategy, but afforded slight public health benefits compared to an alternative (PPSV23 for all older people plus PCV13 for the immunocompromised) and cost greater than $750 000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained in either population group with a vaccine uptake improvement program (absolute uptake increase = 12.3%; cost = $1.78/eligible patient) in place. The alternative strategy was more economically favorable, but cost greater than $100 000/QALY in either population, with or without an uptake intervention. Results were robust in sensitivity analyses; however, in black older people, the alternative strategy with an uptake program was most likely to be favored in probabilistic sensitivity analyses at a $150 000/QALY gained threshold.ConclusionCurrent pneumococcal vaccination recommendations for US older people are economically unfavorable compared to an alternative strategy omitting PCV13 in the immunocompetent. The alternative recommendation with an uptake improvement program may be economically reasonable in black population analyses and could be worth considering as a population-wide recommendation if mitigating racial disparities is a priority. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:1271-1278, 2020.

Dataset Information

Modeling of cost effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination strategies in U.S. older adults.

Background

Purpose

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Modeling of cost effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination strategies in U.S. older adults.

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