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Does warmer China land attract more super typhoons?

ABSTRACT: Accurate prediction of where and when typhoons (or named hurricanes which form over the North Atlantic Ocean) will make landfall is critical to protecting human lives and properties. Although the traditional method of typhoon track prediction based on the steering flow theory has been proven to be an effective way in most situations, it slipped up in some cases. Our analysis of the long-term Chinese typhoon records reveals that typhoons, especially super typhoons (those with maximum sustained surface winds of greater than 51?ms(-1)), have a trend to make landfalls toward warmer land in China over the past 50?years (1960-2009). Numerical sensitivity experiments using an advanced atmospheric model further confirm this finding. Our finding suggests an alternative approach to predict the landfall tracks of the most devastating typhoons in the southeastern China.

SUBMITTER: Xu X

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3605612 | biostudies-literature | 2013

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Does warmer China land attract more super typhoons?

Xu Xiangde X Peng Shiqiu S Yang Xiangjing X Xu Hongxiong H Tong Daniel Q DQ Wang Dongxiao D Guo Yudi Y Chan Johnny C L JC Chen Lianshou L Yu Wei W Li Yineng Y Lai Zhijuan Z Zhang Shengjun S

Scientific reports 20130101

Accurate prediction of where and when typhoons (or named hurricanes which form over the North Atlantic Ocean) will make landfall is critical to protecting human lives and properties. Although the traditional method of typhoon track prediction based on the steering flow theory has been proven to be an effective way in most situations, it slipped up in some cases. Our analysis of the long-term Chinese typhoon records reveals that typhoons, especially super typhoons (those with maximum sustained su ...[more]

PMID: 23519311

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