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Machine learning approach for the outcome prediction of temporal lobe epilepsy surgery.

ABSTRACT: Epilepsy surgery is effective in reducing both the number and frequency of seizures, particularly in temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE). Nevertheless, a significant proportion of these patients continue suffering seizures after surgery. Here we used a machine learning approach to predict the outcome of epilepsy surgery based on supervised classification data mining taking into account not only the common clinical variables, but also pathological and neuropsychological evaluations. We have generated models capable of predicting whether a patient with TLE secondary to hippocampal sclerosis will fully recover from epilepsy or not. The machine learning analysis revealed that outcome could be predicted with an estimated accuracy of almost 90% using some clinical and neuropsychological features. Importantly, not all the features were needed to perform the prediction; some of them proved to be irrelevant to the prognosis. Personality style was found to be one of the key features to predict the outcome. Although we examined relatively few cases, findings were verified across all data, showing that the machine learning approach described in the present study may be a powerful method. Since neuropsychological assessment of epileptic patients is a standard protocol in the pre-surgical evaluation, we propose to include these specific psychological tests and machine learning tools to improve the selection of candidates for epilepsy surgery.

SUBMITTER: Armananzas R

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3640010 | biostudies-literature | 2013

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Machine learning approach for the outcome prediction of temporal lobe epilepsy surgery.

Armañanzas Rubén R Alonso-Nanclares Lidia L Defelipe-Oroquieta Jesús J Kastanauskaite Asta A de Sola Rafael G RG Defelipe Javier J Bielza Concha C Larrañaga Pedro P

PloS one 20130430 4

Epilepsy surgery is effective in reducing both the number and frequency of seizures, particularly in temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE). Nevertheless, a significant proportion of these patients continue suffering seizures after surgery. Here we used a machine learning approach to predict the outcome of epilepsy surgery based on supervised classification data mining taking into account not only the common clinical variables, but also pathological and neuropsychological evaluations. We have generated mo ...[more]

PMID: 23646148

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Project description:BackgroundIt is common for patients diagnosed with medial temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE) to have extrahippocampal damage. However, it is unclear whether microstructural extrahippocampal abnormalities are consistent enough to enable classification using diffusion MRI imaging. Therefore, we implemented a support vector machine (SVM)-based method to predict TLE from three different imaging modalities: mean kurtosis (MK), mean diffusivity (MD), and fractional anisotropy (FA). While MD and FA can be calculated from traditional diffusion tensor imaging (DTI), MK requires diffusion kurtosis imaging (DKI).MethodsThirty-two TLE patients and 36 healthy controls underwent DKI imaging. To measure predictive capability, a fivefold cross-validation (CV) was repeated for 1000 iterations. An ensemble of SVM models, each with a different regularization value, was trained with the subject images in the training set, and had performance assessed on the test set. The different regularization values were determined using a Bayesian-based method.ResultsMean kurtosis achieved higher accuracy than both FA and MD on every iteration, and had far superior average accuracy: 0.82 (MK), 0.68 (FA), and 0.51 (MD). Finally, the MK voxels with the highest coefficients in the predictive models were distributed within the inferior medial aspect of the temporal lobes.ConclusionThese results corroborate our earlier publications which indicated that DKI shows more promise in identifying TLE-associated pathological features than DTI. Also, the locations of the contributory MK voxels were in areas with high fiber crossing and complex fiber anatomy. These traits result in non-Gaussian water diffusion, and hence render DTI less likely to detect abnormalities. If the location of consistent microstructural abnormalities can be better understood, then it may be possible in the future to identify the various phenotypes of TLE. This is important since treatment outcome varies dependent on type of TLE.

Project description:Mesial temporal lobe epilepsy is the most common type of focal epilepsy and in its course often becomes refractory to anticonvulsant pharmacotherapy. A resection of the mesial temporal lobe structures is a promising option in these cases. However, approximately 30% of all patients remain with persistent seizures after surgery. In other words, reliable criteria for patients' outcome prediction are absent. To address this limitation, we investigated pre-surgical brain morphology of patients with unilateral left mesial temporal lobe epilepsy who underwent a selective amygdalohippocampectomy. Using support vector classification, we aimed to predict the post-surgical seizure outcome of each patient based on the pre-surgical T1-weighted structural brain images. Due to morphological gender differences and the evidence that men and women differ in onset, prevalence and symptomology in most neurological diseases, we investigated male and female patients separately. Thus, we benefitted from the capability to validate the reliability of our method in two independent samples. Notably, we were able to accurately predict the individual patients' outcome in the male (94% balanced accuracy) as well as in the female (96% balanced accuracy) group. In the male cohort relatively larger white matter volumes in the favorable as compared to the non-favorable outcome group were identified bilaterally in the cingulum bundle, fronto-occipital fasciculus and both caudate nuclei, whereas the left inferior longitudinal fasciculus showed relatively larger white matter volume in the non-favorable group. While relatively larger white matter volumes in the female cohort in the left inferior and right middle longitudinal fasciculus were associated with the favorable outcome, relatively larger white matter volumes in the non-favorable outcome group were identified bilaterally in the superior longitudinal fasciculi I and II. Here, we observed a clear lateralization and distinction of structures involved in the classification in men as compared to women with men exhibiting more alterations in the hemisphere contralateral to the seizure focus. In conclusion, individual post-surgical outcome predictions based on a single T1-weighted magnetic resonance image seem plausible and may thus support the routine pre-surgical workup of epilepsy patients.

Project description:OBJECTIVE:We aimed to predict language deficits after epilepsy surgery. In addition to evaluating surgical factors examined previously, we determined the impact of the extent of functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) activation that was resected on naming ability. METHOD:Thirty-five adults (mean age 37.5 ± 10.9 years, 13 male) with temporal lobe epilepsy completed a preoperative fMRI auditory description decision task, which reliably activates frontal and temporal language networks. Patients underwent temporal lobe resections (20 left resection). The Boston Naming Test (BNT) was used to determine language functioning before and after surgery. Language dominance was determined for Broca and Wernicke area (WA) by calculating a laterality index following statistical parametric mapping processing. We used an innovative method to generate anatomic resection masks automatically from pre- and postoperative MRI tissue map comparison. This mask provided the following: (a) resection volume; (b) overlap between resection and preoperative activation; and (c) overlap between resection and WA. We examined postoperative language change predictors using stepwise linear regression. Predictors included parameters described above as well as age at seizure onset (ASO), preoperative BNT score, and resection side and its relationship to language dominance. RESULTS:Seven of 35 adults had significant naming decline (6 dominant-side resections). The final regression model predicted 38% of the naming score change variance (adjusted r2 = 0.28, P = 0.012). The percentage of top 10% fMRI activation resected (P = 0.017) was the most significant contributor. Other factors in the model included WA LI, ASO, volume of WA resected, and WA LI absolute value (extent of laterality). SIGNIFICANCE:Resection of fMRI activation during a word-definition decision task is an important factor for postoperative change in naming ability, along with other previously reported predictors. Currently, many centers establish language dominance using fMRI. Our results suggest that the amount of the top 10% of language fMRI activation in the intended resection area provides additional predictive power and should be considered when planning surgical resection.

Project description:Currently, approximately 60-70% of patients with unilateral temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE) remain seizure-free 3 years after surgery. The goal of this work was to develop a presurgical connectivity-based biomarker to identify those patients who will have an unfavorable seizure outcome 1-year postsurgery.Resting-state functional and diffusion-weighted 3T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was acquired from 22 unilateral (15 right, 7 left) patients with TLE and 35 healthy controls. A seizure propagation network was identified including ipsilateral (to seizure focus) and contralateral hippocampus, thalamus, and insula, with bilateral midcingulate and precuneus. Between each pair of regions, functional connectivity based on correlations of low frequency functional MRI signals, and structural connectivity based on streamline density of diffusion MRI data were computed and transformed to metrics related to healthy controls of the same age.A consistent connectivity pattern representing the network expected in patients with seizure-free outcome was identified using eight patients who were seizure-free at 1-year postsurgery. The hypothesis that increased similarity to the model would be associated with better seizure outcome was tested in 14 other patients (Engel class IA, seizure-free: n = 5; Engel class IB-II, favorable: n = 4; Engel class III-IV, unfavorable: n = 5) using two similarity metrics: Pearson correlation and Euclidean distance. The seizure-free connectivity model successfully separated all the patients with unfavorable outcome from the seizure-free and favorable outcome patients (p = 0.0005, two-tailed Fisher's exact test) through the combination of the two similarity metrics with 100% accuracy. No other clinical and demographic predictors were successful in this regard.This work introduces a methodologic framework to assess individual patients, and demonstrates the ability to use network connectivity as a potential clinical tool for epilepsy surgery outcome prediction after more comprehensive validation.

Project description:Brain age prediction based on machine learning has been applied to various neurological diseases to discover its clinical values. By this innovative approach, it has been reported that the patients with refractory epilepsy had premature brain aging. Of refractory epilepsy, right and left subtypes of mesial temporal lobe epilepsy (MTLE) are the most common forms and exhibit distinct patterns in white matter alterations. So far, it is unclear whether these two subtypes of MTLE would have difference in white matter aging due to distinct white matter alterations. To address this issue, a machine learning based brain age model using diffusion MRI data was established to investigate biological age of white matter tracts. All diffusion MRI datasets were obtained from the same 3-Tesla MRI scanner. To build the brain age prediction model, diffusion MRI datasets of 300 healthy participants were processed to extract age-relevant diffusion indices from 76 major white matter tracts. The extracted diffusion indices underwent Gaussian process regression to build the prediction model for white matter brain age. The model was validated in an independent testing set (N = 40) to ensure no overfitting of the model. The model was then applied to patients with right and left MTLE and matched controls (right MTLE: N = 17, left MTLE: N = 18, controls: N = 37), and predicted age difference (PAD) was obtained by calculating the difference between each individual's predicted brain age and chronological age. The higher PAD score indicated older brain age. The results showed that right MTLE exhibited older predicted brain age than the other two groups (PAD of right MTLE = 10.9 years [p < 0.05 against left MTLE; p < 0.001 against control]; PAD of left MTLE = 2.2 years [p > 0.1 against control]; PAD of controls = 0.82 years). Patients with right and left MTLE showed strong correlations of the PAD scores with age of onset and duration of illness, but both groups showed opposite directions of correlations. In right MTLE, positive correlation of PAD with seizure frequency was found, and the right uncinate fasciculus was the most attributable tract to the increase in PAD. In conclusion, the present study found that patients with right MTLE exhibited premature white matter brain aging and their PAD scores were correlated with seizure frequency. Therefore, PAD is a potentially useful indicator of white matter impairment and disease severity in patients with right MTLE.

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Machine learning approach for the outcome prediction of temporal lobe epilepsy surgery.

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Machine learning approach for the outcome prediction of temporal lobe epilepsy surgery.

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