Dataset Information

Modelling pedestrian travel time and the design of facilities: a queuing approach.

ABSTRACT: Pedestrian movements are the consequence of several complex and stochastic facts. The modelling of pedestrian movements and the ability to predict the travel time are useful for evaluating the performance of a pedestrian facility. However, only a few studies can be found that incorporate the design of the facility, local pedestrian body dimensions, the delay experienced by the pedestrians, and level of service to the pedestrian movements. In this paper, a queuing based analytical model is developed as a function of relevant determinants and functional factors to predict the travel time on pedestrian facilities. The model can be used to assess the overall serving rate or performance of a facility layout and correlate it to the level of service that is possible to provide the pedestrians. It has also the ability to provide a clear suggestion on the designing and sizing of pedestrian facilities. The model is empirically validated and is found to be a robust tool to understand how well a particular walking facility makes possible comfort and convenient pedestrian movements. The sensitivity analysis is also performed to see the impact of some crucial parameters of the developed model on the performance of pedestrian facilities.

SUBMITTER: Rahman K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3655143 | biostudies-literature | 2013

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Modelling pedestrian travel time and the design of facilities: a queuing approach.

Rahman Khalidur K Ghani Noraida Abdul NA Kamil Anton Abdulbasah AA Mustafa Adli A Kabir Chowdhury Md Ahmed MA

PloS one 20130515 5

Pedestrian movements are the consequence of several complex and stochastic facts. The modelling of pedestrian movements and the ability to predict the travel time are useful for evaluating the performance of a pedestrian facility. However, only a few studies can be found that incorporate the design of the facility, local pedestrian body dimensions, the delay experienced by the pedestrians, and level of service to the pedestrian movements. In this paper, a queuing based analytical model is develo ...[more]

PMID: 23691055

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Project description:BackgroundUNAIDS has prioritised Malawi and 21 other countries in sub-Saharan Africa for fast-tracking the end of their HIV epidemics. UNAIDS' elimination strategy requires achieving a treatment coverage of 90% by 2030. However, many individuals in the prioritised countries have to travel long distances to access HIV treatment and few have access to motorised transportation. Using data-based geospatial modelling, we investigated whether these two factors are barriers to achieving HIV elimination in Malawi and assessed the effect of increasing bicycle availability on expanding treatment coverage.MethodsWe built a data-based geospatial model that we used to estimate the minimum travel time needed to access treatment, for every person living with HIV in Malawi. We constructed our model by combining a spatial map of health-care facilities, a map that showed the number of HIV-infected individuals per km2, and an impedance map. We quantified impedance using data on road and river networks, land cover, and topography. We estimated travel times for the existing coverage of 70%, and the time that HIV-infected individuals would need to spend travelling in order to achieve a coverage of 90%, whether driving, bicycling, or walking.FindingsWe identified a quantitative relationship between the maximum achievable coverage of treatment and the minimum travel time to the nearest health-care facility. At 70% coverage, health-care facilities can be reached within approximately 45 min if driving, 65 min if bicycling, and 85 min if walking. Increasing coverage above 70% will become progressively more difficult. To reach 90% coverage, many HIV-infected individuals (who have yet to initiate treatment) will need to travel for almost twice as long as those already on treatment. Bicycling, rather than walking, in rural areas would substantially increase the maximum achievable coverage.InterpretationThe long travel times needed to reach health-care facilities coupled with little motorised transportation in rural areas are substantial barriers to reaching 90% coverage in Malawi. Increased bicycle availability could help eliminate HIV.FundingUS National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Repeated outbreaks of emerging pathogens underscore the need for preparedness plans to prevent, detect, and respond. As countries develop and improve National Action Plans for Health Security, addressing subnational variation in preparedness is increasingly important. One facet of preparedness and mitigating disease transmission is health facility accessibility, linking infected persons with health systems and vice versa. Where potential patients can access care, local facilities must ensure they can appropriately diagnose, treat, and contain disease spread to prevent secondary transmission; where patients cannot readily access facilities, alternate plans must be developed. Here, we use travel time to link facilities and populations at risk of viral hemorrhagic fevers (VHFs) and identify spatial variation in these respective preparedness demands. METHODS AND FINDINGS:We used geospatial resources of travel friction, pathogen environmental suitability, and health facilities to determine facility accessibility of any at-risk location within a country. We considered in-country and cross-border movements of exposed populations and highlighted vulnerable populations where current facilities are inaccessible and new infrastructure would reduce travel times. We developed profiles for 43 African countries. Resulting maps demonstrate gaps in health facility accessibility and highlight facilities closest to areas at risk for VHF spillover. For instance, in the Central African Republic, we identified travel times of over 24 h to access a health facility. Some countries had more uniformly short travel times, such as Nigeria, although regional disparities exist. For some populations, including many in Botswana, access to areas at risk for VHF nationally was low but proximity to suitable spillover areas in bordering countries was high. Additional analyses provide insights for considering future resource allocation. We provide a contemporary use case for these analyses for the ongoing Ebola outbreak. CONCLUSIONS:These maps demonstrate the use of geospatial analytics for subnational preparedness, identifying facilities close to at-risk populations for prioritizing readiness to detect, treat, and respond to cases and highlighting where gaps in health facility accessibility exist. We identified cross-border threats for VHF exposure and demonstrate an opportunity to improve preparedness activities through the use of precision public health methods and data-driven insights for resource allocation as part of a country's preparedness plans.

Project description:IntroductionWhile travel distance and time are important proxies of physical access to health facilities, obtaining valid measures with an appropriate modelling method remains challenging in many settings. We compared five measures of geographic accessibility in Haiti, producing recommendations that consider available analytic resources and geospatial goals.MethodsEight public hospitals within the ministry of public health and population were included. We estimated distance and time between hospitals and geographic centroids of Haiti's section communes and population-level accessibility. Geographic feature data were obtained from public administrative databases, academic research databases and government satellites. We used validated geographic information system methods to produce five geographic access measures: (1) Euclidean distance (ED), (2) network distance (ND), (3) network travel time (NTT), (4) AccessMod 5 (AM5) distance (AM5D) and (5) AM5 travel time (AM5TT). Relative ranking of section communes across the measures was assessed using Pearson correlation coefficients, while mean differences were assessed using analysis of variance (ANOVA) and pairwise t-tests.ResultsAll five geographic access measures were highly correlated (range: 0.78-0.99). Of the distance measures, ED values were consistently the shortest, followed by AM5D values, while ND values were the longest. ND values were as high as 2.3 times ED values. NTT models generally produced longer travel time estimates compared with AM5TT models. ED consistently overestimated population coverage within a given threshold compared with ND and AM5D. For example, population-level accessibility within 15 km of the nearest studied hospital in the Center department was estimated at 68% for ED, 50% for AM5D and 34% for ND.ConclusionWhile the access measures were highly correlated, there were significant differences in the absolute measures. Consideration of the benefits and limitations of each geospatial measure together with the intended purpose of the estimates, such as relative proximity of patients or service coverage, are key to guiding appropriate use.

Dataset Information

Modelling pedestrian travel time and the design of facilities: a queuing approach.

Publications

Modelling pedestrian travel time and the design of facilities: a queuing approach.

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