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Cost-effectiveness of Tdap vaccination of adults aged ?65 years in the prevention of pertussis in the US: a dynamic model of disease transmission.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVES: In February 2012, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) advised that all adults aged ?65 years receive a single dose of reduced-antigen-content tetanus, diphtheria, and acellular pertussis (Tdap), expanding on a 2010 recommendation for adults >65 that was limited to those with close contact with infants. We evaluated clinical and economic outcomes of adding Tdap booster of adults aged ?65 to "baseline" practice [full-strength DTaP administered from 2 months to 4-6 years, and one dose of Tdap at 11-64 years replacing decennial Td booster], using a dynamic model. METHODS: We constructed a population-level disease transmission model to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of supplementing baseline practice by vaccinating 10% of eligible adults aged ?65 with Tdap replacing the decennial Td booster. US population effects, including indirect benefits accrued by unvaccinated persons, were estimated during a 1-year period after disease incidence reached a new steady state, with consequences of deaths and long-term pertussis sequelae projected over remaining lifetimes. Model outputs include: cases by severity, encephalopathy, deaths, costs (of vaccination and pertussis care) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) associated with each strategy. Results in terms of incremental cost/QALY gained are presented from payer and societal perspectives. Sensitivity analyses vary key parameters within plausible ranges. RESULTS: For the US population, the intervention is expected to prevent >97,000 cases (>4,000 severe and >5,000 among infants) of pertussis annually at steady state. Additional vaccination costs are $4.7 million. Net cost savings, including vaccination costs, are $47.7 million (societal perspective) and $44.8 million (payer perspective). From both perspectives, the intervention strategy is dominant (less costly, and more effective by >3,000 QALYs) versus baseline. Results are robust to sensitivity analyses and alternative scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: Immunization of eligible adults aged ?65, consistent with the current ACIP recommendation, is cost saving from both payer and societal perspectives.

SUBMITTER: McGarry LJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3886978 | biostudies-literature | 2014

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Cost-effectiveness of Tdap vaccination of adults aged ≥65 years in the prevention of pertussis in the US: a dynamic model of disease transmission.

McGarry Lisa J LJ Krishnarajah Girishanthy G Hill Gregory G Masseria Cristina C Skornicki Michelle M Pruttivarasin Narin N Arondekar Bhakti B Roiz Julie J Pelton Stephen I SI Weinstein Milton C MC

PloS one 20140109 1

<h4>Objectives</h4>In February 2012, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) advised that all adults aged ≥65 years receive a single dose of reduced-antigen-content tetanus, diphtheria, and acellular pertussis (Tdap), expanding on a 2010 recommendation for adults >65 that was limited to those with close contact with infants. We evaluated clinical and economic outcomes of adding Tdap booster of adults aged ≥65 to "baseline" practice [full-strength DTaP administered from 2 months t ...[more]

PMID: 24416118

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Project description:INTRODUCTION:The incidence of herpes zoster (HZ) rises steeply after the age of 50 years and the number of HZ cases and complications such as postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) is predicted to increase because of the ageing population. The objective of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV) compared with no vaccine for the Japanese population aged ≥ 65 years. METHODS:A multi-cohort static Markov model with a cycle length of 1 year was used to follow a hypothetical cohort of 1 million people aged ≥ 65 years over their remaining lifetime. Vaccination at ≥ 65 years was used in alignment with the influenza and pneumococcal vaccines recommended from 65 years. Japan-specific data inputs for the model were obtained from local data sources. Age-stratified vaccine efficacy and waning rates were based on published clinical trial data. In the base-case analysis, vaccine coverage was assumed to be 40% with a second dose compliance of 95%. Costs and outcomes were discounted at 2% annually and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated from both a payer's and the societal perspective. Sensitivity analyses were carried out to explore the overall uncertainty in the model. RESULTS:Vaccination with RZV was projected to prevent 48,943 HZ cases and 12,136 PHN cases per million people aged ≥ 65 years compared with no vaccination. The incremental costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained were ¥9.99 billion and 2314 QALYs from a payer's perspective and ¥9.34 billion and 2314 QALYs from a societal perspective. The resulting ICERs were approximately ¥4,320,000 and ¥4,040,000 per QALY gained from a payer's and the societal perspective, respectively. The ICER remained below a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥5,000,000 for most sensitivity analyses carried out. CONCLUSION:Vaccination against HZ with RZV would be cost-effective compared with no vaccination for the Japanese population aged ≥ 65 years. TRIAL REGISTRATION:GSK study identifier: HO-16-17837. FUNDING:GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals SA.

Project description:BackgroundDespite widespread immunization programs, a clear increase in pertussis incidence is apparent in many developed countries during the last decades. Consequently, additional immunization strategies are considered to reduce the burden of disease. The aim of this study is to design an individual-based stochastic dynamic framework to model pertussis transmission in the population in order to predict the epidemiologic and economic consequences of the implementation of universal booster vaccination programs. Using this framework, we estimate the cost-effectiveness of universal adolescent pertussis booster vaccination at the age of 12 years in the Netherlands.Methods/principal findingsWe designed a discrete event simulation (DES) model to predict the epidemiological and economic consequences of implementing universal adolescent booster vaccination. We used national age-specific notification data over the period 1996-2000--corrected for underreporting--to calibrate the model assuming a steady state situation. Subsequently, booster vaccination was introduced. Input parameters of the model were derived from literature, national data sources (e.g. costing data, incidence and hospitalization data) and expert opinions. As there is no consensus on the duration of immunity acquired by natural infection, we considered two scenarios for this duration of protection (i.e. 8 and 15 years). In both scenarios, total pertussis incidence decreased as a result of adolescent vaccination. From a societal perspective, the cost-effectiveness was estimated at €4418/QALY (range: 3205-6364 € per QALY) and €6371/QALY (range: 4139-9549 € per QALY) for the 8- and 15-year protection scenarios, respectively. Sensitivity analyses revealed that the outcomes are most sensitive to the quality of life weights used for pertussis disease.Conclusions/significanceTo our knowledge we designed the first individual-based dynamic framework to model pertussis transmission in the population. This study indicates that adolescent pertussis vaccination is likely to be a cost-effective intervention for The Netherlands. The model is suited to investigate further pertussis booster vaccination strategies.

Project description:BackgroundRecombinant pertussis vaccines inducing long-lasting immune responses could help to control the rise in pertussis. We here report on persisting antibody responses 2 and 3 years after booster vaccination with a new generation recombinant acellular pertussis vaccine.MethodsParticipants of a phase 2/3 randomised-controlled clinical trial with a monovalent pertussis vaccine containing genetically inactivated pertussis toxin (aPgen) or its tetanus and diphtheria toxoids combination (TdaPgen), or a chemically detoxified comparator vaccine (Tdapchem), (originally conducted between July and August 2015) were invited to participate in observational studies of persisting antibody responses 2 and 3 years after vaccination. Serum IgG against pertussis toxin (PT-IgG) and filamentous hemagglutinin (FHA-IgG) were assessed by ELISA, and PT-neutralising antibodies (PT-Nab) by Chinese Hamster Ovary cell assay.FindingsWaning of antibodies stabilised in aPgen and TdaPgen vaccinees 2 and 3 years after vaccination. Three years post-vaccination PT-neutralising antibodies remained 4·6-fold (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 2·6-8·1) and 3·7-fold (95% CI 2·2-6·1) higher, PT-IgG antibodies 3·0-fold (95% CI 2·2-4·1) and 2·5-fold (95% CI 1·9-3·3) higher, and FHA-IgG antibodies 1·8-fold (95% CI 1·3-2·5) and 1·6-fold (95% CI 1·2-2·1) higher than baseline in aPgen and TdaPgen recipients, respectively. In the Tdapchem group, PT-neutralising and PT-IgG and FHA-IgG antibodies were back at baseline levels 2 years post-vaccination. Three years post-vaccination seroconversion rates for PT-neutralising antibodies were 65·0% (95% CI 44·1-85·9) and 55·0% (95% CI 33·2-76·8) in aPgen and TdaPgen recipients, respectively.InterpretationConsidering the persistence of elevated antibody responses 3 years post-booster vaccination, genetically detoxified monovalent aPgen and TdaPgen vaccines can be expected to induce longer-lasting protection than chemically inactivated Tdap vaccines.FundingBioNet-Asia.

Dataset Information

Cost-effectiveness of Tdap vaccination of adults aged ?65 years in the prevention of pertussis in the US: a dynamic model of disease transmission.

Publications

Cost-effectiveness of Tdap vaccination of adults aged ≥65 years in the prevention of pertussis in the US: a dynamic model of disease transmission.

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