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Cardiovascular health behavior and health factor changes (1988-2008) and projections to 2020: results from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys.

ABSTRACT: The American Heart Association's 2020 Strategic Impact Goals target a 20% relative improvement in overall cardiovascular health with the use of 4 health behavior (smoking, diet, physical activity, body mass) and 3 health factor (plasma glucose, cholesterol, blood pressure) metrics. We sought to define current trends and forward projections to 2020 in cardiovascular health.We included 35 059 cardiovascular disease-free adults (aged ?20 years) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1988-1994 and subsequent 2-year cycles during 1999-2008. We calculated population prevalence of poor, intermediate, and ideal health behaviors and factors and also computed a composite, individual-level Cardiovascular Health Score for all 7 metrics (poor=0 points; intermediate=1 point; ideal=2 points; total range, 0-14 points). Prevalence of current and former smoking, hypercholesterolemia, and hypertension declined, whereas prevalence of obesity and dysglycemia increased through 2008. Physical activity levels and low diet quality scores changed minimally. Projections to 2020 suggest that obesity and impaired fasting glucose/diabetes mellitus could increase to affect 43% and 77% of US men and 42% and 53% of US women, respectively. Overall, population-level cardiovascular health is projected to improve by 6% overall by 2020 if current trends continue. Individual-level Cardiovascular Health Score projections to 2020 (men=7.4 [95% confidence interval, 5.7-9.1]; women=8.8 [95% confidence interval, 7.6-9.9]) fall well below the level needed to achieve a 20% improvement (men=9.4; women=10.1).The American Heart Association 2020 target of improving cardiovascular health by 20% by 2020 will not be reached if current trends continue.

SUBMITTER: Huffman MD

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3914399 | biostudies-literature | 2012 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Cardiovascular health behavior and health factor changes (1988-2008) and projections to 2020: results from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys.

Huffman Mark D MD Capewell Simon S Ning Hongyan H Shay Christina M CM Ford Earl S ES Lloyd-Jones Donald M DM

Circulation 20120430 21

<h4>Background</h4>The American Heart Association's 2020 Strategic Impact Goals target a 20% relative improvement in overall cardiovascular health with the use of 4 health behavior (smoking, diet, physical activity, body mass) and 3 health factor (plasma glucose, cholesterol, blood pressure) metrics. We sought to define current trends and forward projections to 2020 in cardiovascular health.<h4>Methods and results</h4>We included 35 059 cardiovascular disease-free adults (aged ≥20 years) from th ...[more]

PMID: 22547667

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Project description:Hypertension doubles coronary heart disease (CHD) risk. Treating hypertension only reduces CHD risk ?25%. Treating hypercholesterolemia in hypertensive patients reduces residual CHD risk >35%.To assess progress in concurrent hypertension and hypercholesterolemia control, National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys 1988 to 1994, 1999 to 2004, and 2005 to 2010 were analyzed. Hypertension was defined by blood pressure ?140/?90 mm?Hg, current medication treatment, and 2-told hypertension status; blood pressure <140/<90 defined control. Hypercholesterolemia was defined by ATP III criteria based on 10-year CHD risk, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; values below diagnostic thresholds defined control. Across surveys, 60.7% to 64.3% of hypertensives were hypercholesterolemic. From 1988 to 1994 to 2005 to 2010, control of LDL-C rose (9.2% [95% confidence interval (CI), 6.6%-11.9%] to 45.4% [95% CI, 42.6%-48.3%]), concomitant hypertension and LDL-C (5.0% [95% CI, 3.3%-6.7%] to 30.7% [95% CI, 27.9%-33.4%]), and combined hypertension, LDL-C, and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (1.8% [95% CI, 0.4%-3.2%] to 26.9% [95% CI, 24.4%-29.5%]). By multivariable logistic regression, factors associated with concomitant hypertension, LDL-C, and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol control (odds ratio [95% CI]) were statin (10.7 [8.1-14.3]) and antihypertensive (3.32 [2.45-4.50]) medications, age (0.77 [0.69-0.88]/10-year increase), ?2 healthcare visits/yr (1.90 [1.26-2.87]), black race (0.59 [0.44-0.80]), Hispanic ethnicity (0.62 [0.43-0.90]), cardiovascular disease (0.44 [0.34-0.56]), and diabetes mellitus (0.54 [0.42-0.70]).Despite progress, opportunities for improving concomitant hypertension and hypercholesterolemia control persist. Prescribing antihypertensive and antihyperlipidemic medications to achieve treatment goals, especially for older, minority, diabetic, and cardiovascular disease patients, and accessing healthcare at least biannually could improve concurrent risk factor control and CHD prevention.

Project description:BackgroundNutritional, environmental, and metabolic status may play a role in affecting the progression and prognosis of type 2 diabetes. However, results in identifying prognostic biomarkers among diabetic patients have been inconsistent and inconclusive. We aimed to evaluate the associations of nutritional, environmental, and metabolic status with disease progression and prognosis among diabetic patients.MethodsIn a nationally representative sample in the NHANES III (The Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988-1994), we analyzed available data on 44 biomarkers among 2113 diabetic patients aged 20 to 90 years (mean age: 58.2 years) with mortality data followed up through 2016. A panel of 44 biomarkers from blood and urine specimens available from NHANES III were included in this study and the main outcomes as well as the measures are mortalities from all-causes. We performed weighted logistic regression analyses after controlling potential confounders. To assess incremental prognostic values of promising biomarkers beyond traditional risk factors, we compared c-statistics of the adjusted models with and without biomarkers, separately.ResultsIn total, 1387 (65.2%) deaths were documented between 1988 and 2016. We observed an increased risk of all-cause mortality associated with higher levels of serum C-reactive protein (p for trend = 0.0004), thyroid stimulating hormone (p for trend = 0.04), lactate dehydrogenase (p for trend = 0.02), gamma glutamyl transferase (p for trend = 0.02), and plasma fibrinogen (p for trend = 0.03), and urine albumin (p for trend < 0.0001). In contrast, higher levels of serum sodium (p for trend = 0.005), alpha carotene (p for trend = 0.006), and albumin (p for trend = 0.005) were associated with a decreased risk of all-cause mortality. In addition, these significant associations were not modified by age, sex, or race. Inclusion of thyroid stimulating hormone (p = 0.03), fibrinogen (p = 0.01), and urine albumin (p < 0.0001), separately, modestly improved the discriminatory ability for predicting all-cause mortality among diabetic patients.ConclusionsOur nationwide study findings provide strong evidence that some nutritional, environmental, and metabolic biomarkers were significant predictors of all-cause mortality among diabetic patients and may have potential clinical value for improving stratification of mortality risk.

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Cardiovascular health behavior and health factor changes (1988-2008) and projections to 2020: results from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys.

Publications

Cardiovascular health behavior and health factor changes (1988-2008) and projections to 2020: results from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys.

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