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A within-patient analysis for time-varying risk factors of CKD progression.

ABSTRACT: Recent data suggest that nonlinear GFR trajectories are common among patients with CKD, but the modifiable risk factors underlying these changes in CKD progression rate are unknown. Analyses relating baseline risk factors to subsequent GFR decline are suboptimal because these relationships often attenuate as follow-up time increases and these analyses do not account for temporal changes in risk factors. We identified 74 participants in the African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension who had both a period of rapid GFR decline and an extended period of stability during a follow-up period of ?12 years. We performed a within-patient comparison of time-varying risk factors measured during the periods of GFR decline and stability and identified several risk factors associated with faster GFR decline: more hospitalization episodes and hospitalization days per year; higher BP, serum phosphorus, and urine protein-to-creatinine ratio; lower serum albumin and urine sodium-to-potassium ratio; slower rate of decline of serum urea nitrogen, serum creatinine, serum uric acid, and serum phosphorus; and faster rate of decline of serum hematocrit and serum bicarbonate. By allowing each patient to serve as his or her own control, this novel, within-patient analytic approach holds considerable promise as a means to identify time-varying risk factors associated with stabilization of GFR or acceleration of GFR decline.

SUBMITTER: Li L

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3935589 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A within-patient analysis for time-varying risk factors of CKD progression.

Li Liang L Chang Alexander A Rostand Stephen G SG Hebert Lee L Appel Lawrence J LJ Astor Brad C BC Lipkowitz Michael S MS Wright Jackson T JT Kendrick Cynthia C Wang Xuelei X Greene Tom H TH

Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN 20131114 3

Recent data suggest that nonlinear GFR trajectories are common among patients with CKD, but the modifiable risk factors underlying these changes in CKD progression rate are unknown. Analyses relating baseline risk factors to subsequent GFR decline are suboptimal because these relationships often attenuate as follow-up time increases and these analyses do not account for temporal changes in risk factors. We identified 74 participants in the African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertensio ...[more]

PMID: 24231660

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Project description:Background and objectivesThe association of individual BP components with changes in eGFR in patients with late-stage CKD is unknown. The objectives of our study were to examine the associations of systolic BP, diastolic BP, and pulse pressure with continuous temporal changes in eGFR and an eGFR decline ?30% in late-stage CKD.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsWe performed a retrospective cohort study (2010-2015) of patients with CKD in a multidisciplinary CKD clinic with an eGFR?30. The associations of repeat measures of BP (systolic BP, diastolic BP, and pulse pressure) with eGFR were examined using general linear mixed models. The associations of BP components and eGFR decline ?30% were examined with time-varying Cox models.ResultsIn total, 1203 patients were followed for a median of 548 days (interquartile range, 292-913), with an average of 6.7 visits and BP measures per patient. Mean baseline systolic BP, diastolic BP, pulse pressure, and eGFR were 139.2 mmHg, 73.2 mmHg, 64.9 mmHg, and 16.8 ml/min, respectively. Systolic BP and diastolic BP measures over time were statistically significantly associated with changes in eGFR (P<0.001), whereas pulse pressure was not. Patients with extremes of systolic BP (<105 or >170) and high diastolic BP (>90) measures were at a higher risk of GFR decline ?30% (systolic BP <105: hazard ratio, 1.51; 95% confidence interval, 0.98 to 2.34; systolic BP >170: hazard ratio, 1.62; 95% confidence interval, 1.05 to 2.49; referent systolic BP =121-130; diastolic BP =81-90: hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% confidence interval, 0.99 to 1.86; diastolic BP >90: hazard ratio, 1.83; 95% confidence interval, 1.21 to 2.77; referent diastolic BP =61-70). The findings were consistent after multiple sensitivity analyses. Pulse pressure was not significantly associated with risk of eGFR decline.ConclusionsIn patients referred to a multidisciplinary care clinic with late-stage CKD, only extremes of systolic BP and elevations of diastolic BP were associated with eGFR decline.

Project description:Introduction:Intensive longitudinal data (ILD) collected with ecological momentary assessments (EMAs) can provide a rich resource for understanding the relations between risk factors and smoking in the time surrounding a cessation attempt. Methods:Participants (N = 142) were smokers seeking treatment at a safety-net hospital smoking cessation clinic who were randomly assigned to receive standard clinic care (ie, counseling and cessation medications) or standard care plus small financial incentives for biochemically confirmed smoking abstinence. Participants completed EMAs via study provided smartphones several times per day for 14 days (1 week prequit through 1 week postquit). EMAs assessed current contextual factors including environmental (eg, easy access to cigarettes, being around others smoking), cognitive (eg, urge to smoke, stress, coping expectancies, cessation motivation, cessation self-efficacy, restlessness), behavioral (ie, recent smoking and alcohol consumption), and affective variables. Temporal relations between risk factors and smoking were assessed using a logistic time-varying effect model. Results:Participants were primarily female (57.8%) and Black (71.8%), with an annual household income of <$20000 per year (71.8%), who smoked 17.6 cigarettes per day (SD = 8.8). Individuals assigned to the financial incentives group had decreased odds of smoking compared with those assigned to usual care beginning 3 days before the quit attempt and continuing throughout the first week postquit. Environmental, cognitive, affective, and behavioral variables had complex time-varying impacts on smoking before and after the scheduled quit attempt. Conclusions:Knowledge of time-varying effects may facilitate the development of interventions that target specific psychosocial and behavioral variables at critical moments in the weeks surrounding a quit attempt. Implications:Previous research has examined time-varying relations between smoking and negative affect, urge to smoke, smoking dependence, and certain smoking cessation therapies. We extend this work using ILD of unexplored variables in a socioeconomically disadvantaged sample of smokers seeking cessation treatment. These findings could be used to inform ecological momentary interventions that deliver treatment resources (eg, video- or text-based content) to individuals based upon critical variables surrounding their attempt.

Dataset Information

A within-patient analysis for time-varying risk factors of CKD progression.

Publications

A within-patient analysis for time-varying risk factors of CKD progression.

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