Dataset Information

Built environment and Property Crime in Seattle, 1998-2000: A Bayesian Analysis.

ABSTRACT: The past decade has seen a rapid growth in the use of a spatial perspective in studies of crime. In part this growth has been driven by the availability of georeferenced data, and the tools to analyze and visualize them: geographic information systems (GIS), spatial analysis, and spatial statistics. In this paper we use exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) tools and Bayesian models to help better understand the spatial patterning and predictors of property crime in Seattle, Washington for 1998-2000, including a focus on built environment variables. We present results for aggregate property crime data as well as models for specific property crime types: residential burglary, nonresidential burglary, theft, auto theft, and arson. ESDA confirms the presence of spatial clustering of property crime and we seek to explain these patterns using spatial Poisson models implemented in WinBUGS. Our results indicate that built environment variables were significant predictors of property crime, especially the presence of a highway on auto theft and burglary.

SUBMITTER: Matthews SA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3984884 | biostudies-literature | 2010 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Built environment and Property Crime in Seattle, 1998-2000: A Bayesian Analysis.

Matthews Stephen A SA Yang Tse-Chuan TC Hayslett-McCall Karen L KL Ruback R Barry RB

Environment & planning A 20100601 6

The past decade has seen a rapid growth in the use of a spatial perspective in studies of crime. In part this growth has been driven by the availability of georeferenced data, and the tools to analyze and visualize them: geographic information systems (GIS), spatial analysis, and spatial statistics. In this paper we use exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) tools and Bayesian models to help better understand the spatial patterning and predictors of property crime in Seattle, Washington for 19 ...[more]

PMID: 24737924

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Project description:Objective To examine associations between neighborhood built environment (BE) variables, residential property values, and longitudinal 1- and 2-year changes in body mass index (BMI). Methods The Seattle Obesity Study III was a prospective cohort study of adults with geocoded residential addresses, conducted in King, Pierce, and Yakima Counties in Washington State. Measured heights and weights were obtained at baseline (n = 879), year 1 (n = 727), and year 2 (n = 679). Tax parcel residential property values served as proxies for individual socioeconomic status. Residential unit and road intersection density were captured using Euclidean-based SmartMaps at 800 m buffers. Counts of supermarket (0 versus. 1+) and fast-food restaurant availability (0, 1–3, 4+) were measured using network based SmartMaps at 1600 m buffers. Density measures and residential property values were categorized into tertiles. Linear mixed-effects models tested whether baseline BE variables and property values were associated with differential changes in BMI at year 1 or year 2, adjusting for age, gender, race/ethnicity, education, home ownership, and county of residence. These associations were then tested for potential disparities by age group, gender, race/ethnicity, and education. Results Road intersection density, access to food sources, and residential property values were inversely associated with BMI at baseline. At year 1, participants in the 3rd tertile of density metrics and with 4+ fast-food restaurants nearby showed less BMI gain compared to those in the 1st tertile or with 0 restaurants. At year 2, higher residential property values were predictive of lower BMI gain. There was evidence of differential associations by age group, gender, and education but not race/ethnicity. Conclusion Inverse associations between BE metrics and residential property values at baseline demonstrated mixed associations with 1- and 2-year BMI change. More work is needed to understand how individual-level sociodemographic factors moderate associations between the BE, property values, and BMI change. Highlights • Strong, inverse cross-sectional relationships between the built environment, residential property values (a proxy for individual socioeconomic status), and measured BMI were observed.• Measures of the built environment and residential property values showed modest and inconsistent associations with 1- and 2-year BMI change.• There was suggestive evidence that age may moderate the association between urban density and 1- and 2-year BMI change while education may moderate the association between residential property values and 2-year BMI change.

Dataset Information

Built environment and Property Crime in Seattle, 1998-2000: A Bayesian Analysis.

Publications

Built environment and Property Crime in Seattle, 1998-2000: A Bayesian Analysis.

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