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Metastatic melanoma: lactate dehydrogenase levels and CT imaging findings of tumor devascularization allow accurate prediction of survival in patients treated with bevacizumab.

ABSTRACT: PURPOSE:To predict survival in patients with metastatic melanoma by evaluating a combination of serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level and initial computed tomographic (CT) findings of tumor devascularization after antiangiogenic therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS:Consent was waived for this institutional review board-approved, retrospective, secondary analysis. Forty-four patients with metastatic melanoma received bevacizumab therapy in a randomized prospective phase II trial. Target lesions on the initial posttherapy CT images were evaluated by using Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, the Choi criteria, and Morphology, Attenuation, Size, and Structure (MASS) criteria. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association of baseline clinical variables including serum LDH and imaging findings with progression-free and overall survival. The receiver operating characteristic curve with area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate accuracy. RESULTS:In multivariate analysis, a high baseline serum LDH level was associated with decreased progression-free survival (hazard ratio = 1.29 for each increase of 100 IU/L; P = .002) and overall survival (hazard ratio = 1.44 for each increase of 100 IU/L; P = .001). Evaluation with MASS criteria of the first CT examination after therapy strongly predicted progression-free (P < .001) and overall (P < .001) survival. Baseline serum LDH level was moderately accurate for predicting progression-free survival at 9 months (AUC = 0.793) and overall survival at 18 months (AUC = 0.689). The combination of baseline serum LDH levels and evaluation with MASS criteria at the first CT examination after therapy had significantly higher accuracy for predicting progression-free survival at 9 months (AUC = 0.969) and overall survival at 18 months (AUC = 0.813) than did baseline serum LDH levels alone for prediction of progression-free survival (P = .020). CONCLUSION:A combination of baseline serum LDH levels and evaluation with MASS criteria at the first CT examination after bevacizumab therapy had the highest accuracy for predicting survival in patients with metastatic melanoma.

SUBMITTER: Gray MR

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3985552 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Metastatic melanoma: lactate dehydrogenase levels and CT imaging findings of tumor devascularization allow accurate prediction of survival in patients treated with bevacizumab.

Gray Mark R MR Martin del Campo Sara S Zhang Xu X Zhang Haowei H Souza Frederico F FF Carson William E WE Smith Andrew D AD

Radiology 20131028 2

<h4>Purpose</h4>To predict survival in patients with metastatic melanoma by evaluating a combination of serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level and initial computed tomographic (CT) findings of tumor devascularization after antiangiogenic therapy.<h4>Materials and methods</h4>Consent was waived for this institutional review board-approved, retrospective, secondary analysis. Forty-four patients with metastatic melanoma received bevacizumab therapy in a randomized prospective phase II trial. Targe ...[more]

PMID: 24072776

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Project description:PurposeThis study evaluated pretreatment 2[18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose (FDG)-PET/CT-based radiomic signatures for prediction of hyperprogression in metastatic melanoma patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibition (ICI).Material and methodFifty-six consecutive metastatic melanoma patients treated with ICI and available imaging were included in the study and 330 metastatic lesions were individually, fully segmented on pre-treatment CT and FDG-PET imaging. Lesion hyperprogression (HPL) was defined as lesion progression according to RECIST 1.1 and doubling of tumor growth rate. Patient hyperprogression (PD-HPD) was defined as progressive disease (PD) according to RECIST 1.1 and presence of at least one HPL. Patient survival was evaluated with Kaplan-Meier curves. Mortality risk of PD-HPD status was assessed by estimation of hazard ratio (HR). Furthermore, we assessed with Fisher test and Mann-Whitney U test if demographic or treatment parameters were different between PD-HPD and the remaining patients. Pre-treatment PET/CT-based radiomic signatures were used to build models predicting HPL at three months after start of treatment. The models were internally validated with nested cross-validation. The performance metric was the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).ResultsPD-HPD patients constituted 57.1% of all PD patients. PD-HPD was negatively related to patient overall survival with HR=8.52 (95%CI 3.47-20.94). Sixty-nine lesions (20.9%) were identified as progressing at 3 months. Twenty-nine of these lesions were classified as hyperprogressive, thereby showing a HPL rate of 8.8%. CT-based, PET-based, and PET/CT-based models predicting HPL at three months after the start of treatment achieved testing AUC of 0.703 +/- 0.054, 0.516 +/- 0.061, and 0.704 +/- 0.070, respectively. The best performing models relied mostly on CT-based histogram features.ConclusionsFDG-PET/CT-based radiomic signatures yield potential for pretreatment prediction of lesion hyperprogression, which may contribute to reducing the risk of delayed treatment adaptation in metastatic melanoma patients treated with ICI.

Dataset Information

Metastatic melanoma: lactate dehydrogenase levels and CT imaging findings of tumor devascularization allow accurate prediction of survival in patients treated with bevacizumab.

Publications

Metastatic melanoma: lactate dehydrogenase levels and CT imaging findings of tumor devascularization allow accurate prediction of survival in patients treated with bevacizumab.

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