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A histologic scoring system for prognosis of patients with alcoholic hepatitis.

ABSTRACT: There is no histologic classification system to determine prognoses of patients with alcoholic hepatitis (AH). We identified histologic features associated with disease severity and created a histologic scoring system to predict short-term (90-day) mortality.We analyzed data from 121 patients admitted to the Liver Unit (Hospital Clinic, Barcelona, Spain) from January 2000 to January 2008 with features of AH and developed a histologic scoring system to determine the risk of death using logistic regression. The system was tested and updated in a test set of 96 patients from 5 academic centers in the United States and Europe, and a semiquantitative scoring system called the Alcoholic Hepatitis Histologic Score (AHHS) was developed. The system was validated in an independent set of 109 patients. Interobserver agreement was evaluated by weighted ? statistical analysis.The degree of fibrosis, degree of neutrophil infiltration, type of bilirubinostasis, and presence of megamitochondria were independently associated with 90-day mortality. We used these 4 parameters to develop the AHHS to identify patients with a low (0-3 points), moderate (4-5 points), or high (6-9 points) risk of death within 90 days (3%, 19%, and 51%, respectively; P < .0001). The AHHS estimated 90-day mortality in the training and test sets with an area under the receiver operating characteristic value of 0.77 (95% confidence interval, 0.71-0.83). Interrater agreement values were 0.65 for fibrosis, 0.86 for bilirubinostasis, 0.60 for neutrophil infiltration, and 0.46 for megamitochondria. Interestingly, the type of bilirubinostasis predicted the development of bacterial infections.We identified histologic features associated with the severity of AH and developed a patient classification system that might be used in clinical decision making.

SUBMITTER: Altamirano J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3992184 | biostudies-literature | 2014 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A histologic scoring system for prognosis of patients with alcoholic hepatitis.

Altamirano José J Miquel Rosa R Katoonizadeh Aezam A Abraldes Juan G JG Duarte-Rojo Andrés A Louvet Alexandre A Augustin Salvador S Mookerjee Rajeshwar P RP Michelena Javier J Smyrk Thomas C TC Buob David D Leteurtre Emmanuelle E Rincón Diego D Ruiz Pablo P García-Pagán Juan Carlos JC Guerrero-Marquez Carmen C Jones Patricia D PD Barritt A Sidney AS Arroyo Vicente V Bruguera Miquel M Bañares Rafael R Ginès Pere P Caballería Juan J Roskams Tania T Nevens Frederik F Jalan Rajiv R Mathurin Philippe P Shah Vijay H VH Bataller Ramón R

Gastroenterology 20140115 5

<h4>Background & aims</h4>There is no histologic classification system to determine prognoses of patients with alcoholic hepatitis (AH). We identified histologic features associated with disease severity and created a histologic scoring system to predict short-term (90-day) mortality.<h4>Methods</h4>We analyzed data from 121 patients admitted to the Liver Unit (Hospital Clinic, Barcelona, Spain) from January 2000 to January 2008 with features of AH and developed a histologic scoring system to de ...[more]

PMID: 24440674

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Project description:BackgroundAlcoholic hepatitis (AH) is characterized by acute symptomatic hepatitis associated with heavy alcohol use. This study was designed to assess the impact of metabolic syndrome on high-risk patients with AH with discriminant function (DF) score ≥ 32 and its effect on mortality.MethodsWe searched the hospital database for ICD-9 diagnosis codes of acute AH, alcoholic liver cirrhosis, and alcoholic liver damage. The entire cohort was categorized into two groups: AH and AH with metabolic syndrome. The effect of metabolic syndrome on mortality was evaluated. Also, an exploratory analysis was used to create a novel risk measure score to assess mortality.ResultsA large proportion (75.5%) of the patients identified in the database who had been treated as AH had other etiologies and did not meet the American College of Gastroenterology (ACG)-defined diagnosis of acute AH, thus had been misdiagnosed as AH. Such patients were excluded from analysis. The mean body mass index (BMI), hemoglobin (Hb), hematocrit (HCT), and alcoholic liver disease/non-alcoholic fatty liver disease index (ANI) were significantly different between two groups (P < 0.05). The results of a univariate Cox regression model showed that age, BMI, white blood cells (WBCs), creatinine (Cr), international normalized ratio (INR), prothrombin time (PT), albumin levels, albumin < 3.5, total bilirubin, Na, Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD ≥ 21, MELD ≥ 18, DF score, and DF ≥ 32 had a significant effect on mortality. Patients with a MELD greater than 21 had a hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval (CI) of 5.81 (2.74 - 12.30) (P < 0.001). The adjusted Cox regression model results showed that age, Hb, Cr, INR, Na, MELD score, DF score, and metabolic syndrome were independently associated with high patient mortality. However, the increase in BMI and mean corpuscular volume (MCV) and sodium significantly reduced the risk of death. We found that a model including age, MELD ≥ 21, and albumin < 3.5 was the best model in identifying patient mortality. Our study showed that patients admitted with a diagnosis of alcoholic liver disease with metabolic syndrome had an increased mortality risk compared to patients without metabolic syndrome, in high-risk patients with DF ≥ 32 and MELD ≥ 21. A bivariate correlation analysis revealed that patients with AH with metabolic syndrome were more likely to have infection (43%) compared to AH (26%) with correlation coefficient of 0.176 (P = 0.03, CI: 0.018 - 1.0).ConclusionIn clinical practice, the diagnosis of AH is inaccurately applied. Metabolic syndrome significantly increases the mortality risk in high-risk AH. It signifies that the presence of features of metabolic syndrome modifies the behavior of AH in acute settings, warranting different therapeutic strategies. We propose that in defining AH, patients overlapping with metabolic syndrome may need to be excluded as their outcome is different with regard to risk of renal dysfunctions, infections and death.

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A histologic scoring system for prognosis of patients with alcoholic hepatitis.

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A histologic scoring system for prognosis of patients with alcoholic hepatitis.

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