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Systematic assessment of prognostic gene signatures for breast cancer shows distinct influence of time and ER status.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: The aim was to assess and compare prognostic power of nine breast cancer gene signatures (Intrinsic, PAM50, 70-gene, 76-gene, Genomic-Grade-Index, 21-gene-Recurrence-Score, EndoPredict, Wound-Response and Hypoxia) in relation to ER status and follow-up time. METHODS: A gene expression dataset from 947 breast tumors was used to evaluate the signatures for prediction of Distant Metastasis Free Survival (DMFS). A total of 912 patients had available DMFS status. The recently published METABRIC cohort was used as an additional validation set. RESULTS: Survival predictions were fairly concordant across most signatures. Prognostic power declined with follow-up time. During the first 5 years of followup, all signatures except for Hypoxia were predictive for DMFS in ER-positive disease, and 76-gene, Hypoxia and Wound-Response were prognostic in ER-negative disease. After 5 years, the signatures had little prognostic power. Gene signatures provide significant prognostic information beyond tumor size, node status and histological grade. CONCLUSIONS: Generally, these signatures performed better for ER-positive disease, indicating that risk within each ER stratum is driven by distinct underlying biology. Most of the signatures were strong risk predictors for DMFS during the first 5 years of follow-up. Combining gene signatures with histological grade or tumor size, could improve the prognostic power, perhaps also of long-term survival.

SUBMITTER: Zhao X

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4000128 | biostudies-literature | 2014

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Systematic assessment of prognostic gene signatures for breast cancer shows distinct influence of time and ER status.

Zhao Xi X Rødland Einar Andreas EA Sørlie Therese T Vollan Hans Kristian Moen HK Russnes Hege G HG Kristensen Vessela N VN Lingjærde Ole Christian OC Børresen-Dale Anne-Lise AL

BMC cancer 20140319

<h4>Background</h4>The aim was to assess and compare prognostic power of nine breast cancer gene signatures (Intrinsic, PAM50, 70-gene, 76-gene, Genomic-Grade-Index, 21-gene-Recurrence-Score, EndoPredict, Wound-Response and Hypoxia) in relation to ER status and follow-up time.<h4>Methods</h4>A gene expression dataset from 947 breast tumors was used to evaluate the signatures for prediction of Distant Metastasis Free Survival (DMFS). A total of 912 patients had available DMFS status. The recently ...[more]

PMID: 24645668

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Project description:BackgroundLymph node (LN) status is the most important prognostic variable used to guide ER positive (+) breast cancer treatment. While a positive nodal status is traditionally associated with a poor prognosis, a subset of these patients respond well to treatment and achieve long-term survival. Several gene signatures have been established as a means of predicting outcome of breast cancer patients, but the development and indication for use of these assays varies. Here we compare the capacity of two approved gene signatures and a third novel signature to predict outcome in distinct LN negative (-) and LN+ populations. We also examine biological differences between tumours associated with LN- and LN+ disease.MethodsGene expression data from publically available data sets was used to compare the ability of Oncotype DX and Prosigna to predict Distant Metastasis Free Survival (DMFS) using an in silico platform. A novel gene signature (Ellen) was developed by including patients with both LN- and LN+ disease and using Prediction Analysis of Microarrays (PAM) software. Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) was used to determine biological pathways associated with patient outcome in both LN- and LN+ tumors.ResultsThe Oncotype DX gene signature, which only used LN- patients during development, significantly predicted outcome in LN- patients, but not LN+ patients. The Prosigna gene signature, which included both LN- and LN+ patients during development, predicted outcome in both LN- and LN+ patient groups. Ellen was also able to predict outcome in both LN- and LN+ patient groups. GSEA suggested that epigenetic modification may be related to poor outcome in LN- disease, whereas immune response may be related to good outcome in LN+ disease.ConclusionsWe demonstrate the importance of incorporating lymph node status during the development of prognostic gene signatures. Ellen may be a useful tool to predict outcome of patients regardless of lymph node status, or for those with unknown lymph node status. Finally we present candidate biological processes, unique to LN- and LN+ disease, that may indicate risk of relapse.

Project description:Determining which patients with early-stage breast cancer should receive chemotherapy is an important clinical issue. Chemotherapy has several adverse side effects, impacting on quality of life, along with significant economic consequences. There are a number of multi-gene prognostic signatures for breast cancer recurrence but there is less evidence that these prognostic signatures are predictive of therapy benefit. Biomarkers that can predict patient response to chemotherapy can help avoid ineffective over-treatment. The aim of this work was to assess if the OncoMasTR prognostic signature can predict pathological complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and to compare its predictive value with other prognostic signatures: EndoPredict, Oncotype DX and Tumor Infiltrating Leukocytes. Gene expression datasets from ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer patients that had pre-treatment biopsies, received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and an assessment of pCR were obtained from the Gene Expression Omnibus repository. A total of 813 patients with 66 pCR events were included in the analysis. OncoMasTR, EndoPredict, Oncotype DX and Tumor Infiltrating Leukocytes numeric risk scores were approximated by applying the gene coefficients to the corresponding mean probe expression values. OncoMasTR, EndoPredict and Oncotype DX prognostic scores were moderately well correlated according to the Pearson's correlation coefficient. Association with pCR was estimated using logistic regression. The odds ratio for a 1 standard deviation increase in risk score, adjusted for cohort, were similar in magnitude for all four signatures. Additionally, the four signatures were significant predictors of pCR. OncoMasTR added significant predictive value to EndoPredict, Oncotype DX and Tumor Infiltrating Leukocytes signatures as determined by bivariable and trivariable analysis. In this in silico analysis, OncoMasTR, EndoPredict, Oncotype DX, and Tumor Infiltrating Leukocytes were significantly predictive of pCR to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in ER-positive and HER2-negative breast cancer patients.

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Systematic assessment of prognostic gene signatures for breast cancer shows distinct influence of time and ER status.

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Systematic assessment of prognostic gene signatures for breast cancer shows distinct influence of time and ER status.

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