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Esophageal cancer recurrence patterns and implications for surveillance.

ABSTRACT: After definitive treatment of esophageal cancer, patients are at high risk for recurrence. Consistent follow-up is important for detection and treatment of recurrence. The optimal surveillance regimen remains undefined. We investigated posttreatment recurrence patterns and methods of detection in survivors of esophageal cancer.We retrospectively studied a cohort of patients who had undergone surgical resection for esophageal cancer at our institution between 1996 and 2010. Routine computed tomography scan and upper endoscopy were performed for surveillance.In total, 1147 patients with resected esophageal adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma were included (median follow-up, 46 months). Of these, 723 patients (63%) had received neoadjuvant therapy before surgery. During follow-up, there were 595 deaths (52%) and 435 recurrences (38%) (distant [55%], locoregional [28%], or both [17%]). Half of recurrences were detected as a result of symptoms (n = 217), 45% by routine chest and abdominal computed tomography scan (n = 194), and 1% by surveillance upper endoscopy (n = 6). The recurrence rate decreased from 27 per 100 person-years in posttreatment year 1 to 4 per 100 person-years in year 6. In the first 2 years, the rate of recurrence was higher among patients who had received neoadjuvant therapy (35 per 100 person-years) than among those who had not (14 per 100 person-years) (p < 0.001).The incidence of recurrence is high after esophagectomy for cancer. Surveillance endoscopy has limited value for detection of asymptomatic local recurrence. The yield from follow-up scans diminishes significantly after the sixth year; surveillance scans after that point are likely unnecessary.

SUBMITTER: Lou F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4066875 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Esophageal cancer recurrence patterns and implications for surveillance.

Lou Feiran F Sima Camelia S CS Adusumilli Prasad S PS Bains Manjit S MS Sarkaria Inderpal S IS Rusch Valerie W VW Rizk Nabil P NP

Journal of thoracic oncology : official publication of the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer 20131201 12

<h4>Introduction</h4>After definitive treatment of esophageal cancer, patients are at high risk for recurrence. Consistent follow-up is important for detection and treatment of recurrence. The optimal surveillance regimen remains undefined. We investigated posttreatment recurrence patterns and methods of detection in survivors of esophageal cancer.<h4>Methods</h4>We retrospectively studied a cohort of patients who had undergone surgical resection for esophageal cancer at our institution between ...[more]

PMID: 24389438

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Project description:BACKGROUND:High-quality randomized controlled trials have demonstrated the benefit of radiotherapy (RT) in patients with radical resected gastric cancer (GC), however, utilization rates of postoperative RT remain remarkably low. Patterns, incidences, and time of recurrence provide biological bases for clinical monitoring of GC patients and guiding potential complementary therapies. Thus, the aim of this study is to understand the location of locoregional recurrence which may allow individualized RT strategies and minimize radiation-related toxic effects. METHODS:A relatively large sample of GC patients in a single institution who had undergone curative D2 resection was retrospectively reviewed and the relevant recurrence patterns were illustrated. Independent recurrence-related risk factors were analyzed by logistic regression analysis. New logistic regression models were further developed to predict the probability of recurrence. RESULTS:Overall, among 776 GC patients who had continuous and complete follow-up data, 300 cases relapsed after curative resection. Lymphovascular invasion, lymph node metastases, and tumor stage were indicators for early recurrence. Peritoneal, regional, local, and distant recurrence initially occurred in 51 (6.6%), 151 (19.4%), 56 (7.2%), and 164 (21.1%) patients, respectively. Among patients with regional recurrence, the most common sites were lymph node stations 16a2, 8, 12, 16b1, and 9. Remnant stomach recurrence was not so prominent that it seemed reasonable to be excluded from an irradiation field for patients with negative surgical/pathologic margins. CONCLUSIONS:For GC patients who underwent radical D2 resection, distant and regional recurrences were still common. Besides, optimizing regional control of lymph nodes outside the D2 dissected area was crucial for rational design of the RT field. Furthermore, the new logistic regression models might act as useful tools to evaluate recurrence risk and determine which patients should receive postoperative chemoradiotherapy.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Approximately one-third of those treated curatively for colorectal cancer (CRC) will experience recurrence. No evidence-based consensus exists on how best to follow patients after initial treatment to detect asymptomatic recurrence. Here, a new approach for simulating surveillance and recurrence among CRC survivors is outlined, and development and calibration of a simple model applying this approach is described. The model's ability to predict outcomes for a group of patients under a specified surveillance strategy is validated. METHODS:We developed an individual-based simulation model consisting of two interacting submodels: a continuous-time disease-progression submodel overlain by a discrete-time Markov submodel of surveillance and re-treatment. In the former, some patients develops recurrent disease which probabilistically progresses from detectability to unresectability, and which may produce early symptoms leading to detection independent of surveillance testing. In the latter submodel, patients undergo user-specified surveillance testing regimens. Parameters describing disease progression were preliminarily estimated through calibration to match five-year disease-free survival, overall survival at years 1-5, and proportion of recurring patients undergoing curative salvage surgery from one arm of a published randomized trial. The calibrated model was validated by examining its ability to predict these same outcomes for patients in a different arm of the same trial undergoing less aggressive surveillance. RESULTS:Calibrated parameter values were consistent with generally observed recurrence patterns. Sensitivity analysis suggested probability of curative salvage surgery was most influenced by sensitivity of carcinoembryonic antigen assay and of clinical interview/examination (i.e. scheduled provider visits). In validation, the model accurately predicted overall survival (59% predicted, 58% observed) and five-year disease-free survival (55% predicted, 53% observed), but was less accurate in predicting curative salvage surgery (10% predicted; 6% observed). CONCLUSIONS:Initial validation suggests the feasibility of this approach to modeling alternative surveillance regimens among CRC survivors. Further calibration to individual-level patient data could yield a model useful for predicting outcomes of specific surveillance strategies for risk-based subgroups or for individuals. This approach could be applied toward developing novel, tailored strategies for further clinical study. It has the potential to produce insights which will promote more effective surveillance-leading to higher cure rates for recurrent CRC.

Project description:OBJECTIVES:A pathologic complete response in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer after chemoradiotherapy and surgery is associated with improved overall and disease-free survival. Nevertheless, approximately one third of patients with a pathologic complete response still have a recurrence. The aim of this study was to evaluate risk factors and patterns of recurrence in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer who achieved a pathologic complete response after chemoradiotherapy and surgery. METHODS:We performed a retrospective review of a single-institution database of 233 patients with stage II and III esophageal cancer with a pathologic complete response after chemoradiotherapy and surgery between 1997 and 2017. A multivariable competing risk-regression model was used to identify predictors of recurrence. RESULTS:A total of 61 patients exhibited recurrence in this cohort, 43 with adenocarcinoma and 18 with squamous cell carcinoma. Five-year cumulative incidence of recurrence did not vary by histology. Univariable analysis revealed that poor tumor differentiation (hazard ratio, 2.28; P = .022) and advanced clinical stage (hazard ratio, 1.89; P = .042) are predictors of recurrence in the esophageal adenocarcinoma subgroup, whereas poor tumor differentiation remained the only independent predictor on multivariable analysis in the entire cohort (hazard ratio, 2.28; P = .009). Patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma had a higher incidence of distant recurrences, and patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma demonstrated a higher incidence of loco-regional recurrence (P = .039). CONCLUSIONS:Poor tumor differentiation is an independent risk factor for recurrence in patients with esophageal cancer with a pathologic complete response. Although there is no difference in the cumulative incidence of recurrence between esophageal adenocarcinoma and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, patterns of recurrence appear to differ. Thus, treatment and surveillance strategies may be tailored appropriately.

Project description:Background:Esophageal cancer is the sixth leading cause of cancer-related deaths and the eighth most common cancer worldwide with a 5-year survival rate of less than 25%. Here we report the incidence, risk factors and treatment options that are available currently, and moving into the future. Methods:We retrospectively analyzed the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database made available by the National Cancer Institute in the USA. Specifically we extracted data from the years 2004 - 2015. Results:In total we identified 23,804 patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma and 13,919 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Males were at an increased risk of developing both types of esophageal cancer when compared to females. Most cases of adenocarcinoma were diagnosed as poorly differentiated grade III (42%), and most cases of squamous cell carcinoma were diagnosed as moderately differentiated grade II (39.5%). The most common stage of presentation for both adenocarcinoma (36.9%) and squamous cell (26.8%) carcinoma was stage IV. The worst outcomes for adenocarcinoma were noted with grade III tumors (hazard ratio (HR): 1.56, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.44 - 1.68, P value: < 0.01), stage IV tumors (HR: 3.58, 95% CI: 3.33 - 3.85, P value: < 0.01) and those not treated with surgery (HR: 2.54, 95% CI: 2.44 - 2.65, P value: < 0.01). For squamous cell carcinoma, the worst outcomes were noted with grade III tumors (HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.23 - 1.49, P value: < 0.01), stage IV tumors (HR: 2.12, 95% CI: 1.94 - 2.32, P value: <0.01). Conclusions:The incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma in the USA is steadily on the rise. Conversely, the incidence of squamous cell carcinoma has been continually declining. While white males had an increased incidence of both types of esophageal cancer, a higher proportion of African Americans suffered from squamous cell carcinoma. Despite the wide spread use of proton pump inhibitors, adenocarcinoma continues to be a major public health concern.

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Esophageal cancer recurrence patterns and implications for surveillance.

Publications

Esophageal cancer recurrence patterns and implications for surveillance.

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