Dataset Information

Association of electrocardiogram abnormalities and incident heart failure events.

ABSTRACT: UNLABELLED:Unless effective preventive strategies are implemented, aging of the population will result in a significant worsening of the heart failure (HF) epidemic. Few data exist on whether baseline electrocardiographic (ECG) abnormalities can refine risk prediction for HF. METHODS:We examined a prospective cohort of 2,915 participants aged 70 to 79 years without preexisting HF, enrolled between April 1997 and June 1998 in the Health, Aging, and Body Composition (Health ABC) study. Minnesota Code was used to define major and minor ECG abnormalities at baseline and at year 4 follow-up. Using Cox models, we assessed (1) the association between ECG abnormalities and incident HF and (2) the incremental value of adding ECG to the Health ABC HF Risk Score using the net reclassification index. RESULTS:At baseline, 380 participants (13.0%) had minor, and 620 (21.3%) had major ECG abnormalities. During a median follow-up of 11.4 years, 485 participants (16.6%) developed incident HF. After adjusting for the Health ABC HF Risk Score variables, the hazard ratio (HR) was 1.27 (95% CI 0.96-1.68) for minor and 1.99 (95% CI 1.61-2.44) for major ECG abnormalities. At year 4, 263 participants developed new and 549 had persistent abnormalities; both were associated with increased subsequent HF risk (HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.38-2.72 for new and HR 2.35, 95% CI 1.82-3.02 for persistent ECG abnormalities). Baseline ECG correctly reclassified 10.5% of patients with HF events, 0.8% of those without HF events, and 1.4% of the overall population. The net reclassification index across the Health ABC HF risk categories was 0.11 (95% CI 0.03-0.19). CONCLUSIONS:Among older adults, baseline and new ECG abnormalities are independently associated with increased risk of HF. The contribution of ECG screening for targeted prevention of HF should be evaluated in clinical trials.

SUBMITTER: Gencer B

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4081858 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Association of electrocardiogram abnormalities and incident heart failure events.

Gencer Baris B Butler Javed J Bauer Douglas C DC Auer Reto R Kalogeropoulos Andreas A Marques-Vidal Pedro P Applegate William B WB Satterfield Suzanne S Harris Tamara T Newman Anne A Vittinghoff Eric E Rodondi Nicolas N

American heart journal 20140405 6

<h4>Unlabelled</h4>Unless effective preventive strategies are implemented, aging of the population will result in a significant worsening of the heart failure (HF) epidemic. Few data exist on whether baseline electrocardiographic (ECG) abnormalities can refine risk prediction for HF.<h4>Methods</h4>We examined a prospective cohort of 2,915 participants aged 70 to 79 years without preexisting HF, enrolled between April 1997 and June 1998 in the Health, Aging, and Body Composition (Health ABC) stu ...[more]

PMID: 24890537

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Project description:ImportanceThe Pooled Cohort Equations to Prevent Heart Failure (PCP-HF) estimate the 10-year risk for symptomatic heart failure (HF) from routine clinical data. The PCP-HF score should detect asymptomatic individuals with cardiac maladaptation preceding HF symptoms for it to be a useful HF prediction tool in primary prevention.ObjectiveTo assess the concordance between PCP-HF risk scoring and the presence of subclinical cardiac maladaptation in the community.Design, setting, and participantsThis cross-sectional analysis included participants enrolled in the Flemish Study on Environment, Genes and Health Outcomes who underwent a clinical examination including echocardiography between May 2005 and January 2015. Participants younger than 30 years, older than 79 years, had prevalent cardiovascular disease, and/or had suboptimal echocardiographic imaging quality were excluded. Analysis began February 2020 and ended April 2020.ExposuresTen-year HF risk as calculated from routine clinical data using the PCP-HF. Based on tertile limits, participants were categorized as having low (≤0.4%), intermediate (0.4%-2.4%), and high (≥2.4%) 10-year HF risk score.Main outcomes and measuresEchocardiographic profiles of subclinical heart remodeling and dysfunction.ResultsA total of 1020 individuals were analyzed (mean [SD] age, 52.8 [11.4] years; 541 female [53.0%]). The prevalence of left ventricular (LV) remodeling and dysfunction was significantly higher from low to intermediate and high 10-year HF risk score. A doubling in 10-year HF risk score was associated with higher odds for LV concentric remodeling (odds ratio [OR], 1.48; 95% CI, 1.36-1.61; P < .001), LV hypertrophy (OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.51-1.83; P < .001), abnormal LV longitudinal strain (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.05-1.19; P < .001), and LV diastolic dysfunction (OR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.94-2.69; P < .001). Moreover, the PCP-HF score detected echocardiographic abnormalities with an accuracy of 74% (LV concentric remodeling), 78% (LV hypertrophy), 59% (abnormal LV longitudinal strain), and 87% (LV diastolic dysfunction). The likelihood of LV concentric remodeling, hypertrophy, and diastolic dysfunction were 3.1, 3.8, and 9.4 times higher in participants with high 10-year HF risk score than the average population risk, respectively (P < .001). Of all PCP-HF score components, age, body mass index, and systolic blood pressure were key correlates of echocardiographic abnormalities in multivariable-adjusted analysis.Conclusions and relevancePCP-HF risk scoring adequately detected individuals with subclinical heart maladaptation that precedes HF symptoms by years. Thus, it may be a valuable HF prediction tool in primary prevention.

Project description:ImportanceA genetic variant in the TTR gene (rs76992529; Val122Ile), present more commonly in individuals with African ancestry (population frequency: 3%-4%), causes misfolding of the tetrameric transthyretin protein complex that accumulates as extracellular amyloid fibrils and results in hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis.ObjectiveTo estimate the association of the amyloidogenic Val122Ile TTR variant with the risk of heart failure and mortality in a large, geographically diverse cohort of Black individuals.Design, setting, and participantsRetrospective population-based cohort study of 7514 self-identified Black individuals living in the US participating in the REGARDS (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke) study with genetic data available and without heart failure at baseline. The participants were enrolled at the baseline visit (2003-2007). The end of follow-up for the majority of outcomes was on December 31, 2018. All-cause mortality data were available through December 31, 2020.ExposuresTTR Val122Ile (rs76992529) genotype.Main outcome and measuresThe primary outcome was incident heart failure (first hospitalization for heart failure or death due to heart failure). The secondary outcomes were heart failure mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were adjusted for genetic ancestry and demographic, clinical, and social factors.ResultsAmong 7514 Black participants (median age, 64 years [IQR, 57-70 years]; 61% women), the population frequency of the TTR Val122Ile variant was 3.1% (232 variant carriers and 7282 noncarriers). During a median follow-up of 11.1 years (IQR, 5.9-13.5 years), incident heart failure occurred in 535 individuals (34 variant carriers and 501 noncarriers) and the incidence of heart failure was 15.64 per 1000 person-years among variant carriers vs 7.16 per 1000 person-years among noncarriers (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 2.43 [95% CI, 1.71-3.46]; P < .001). Deaths due to heart failure occurred in 141 individuals (13 variant carriers and 128 noncarriers) and the incidence of heart failure mortality was 6.11 per 1000 person-years among variant carriers vs 1.85 per 1000 person-years among noncarriers (adjusted HR, 4.19 [95% CI, 2.33-7.54]; P < .001). Deaths due to cardiovascular causes occurred in 793 individuals (34 variant carriers and 759 noncarriers) and the incidence of cardiovascular death was 15.18 per 1000 person-years among variant carriers vs 10.61 per 1000 person-years among noncarriers (adjusted HR, 1.69 [95% CI, 1.19-2.39]; P = .003). Deaths due to any cause occurred in 2715 individuals (100 variant carriers and 2615 noncarriers) and the incidence of all-cause mortality was 41.46 per 1000 person-years among variant carriers vs 33.94 per 1000 person-years among noncarriers (adjusted HR, 1.46 [95% CI, 1.19-1.78]; P < .001). There was no significant interaction between TTR variant carrier status and sex on incident heart failure and the secondary outcomes.Conclusions and relevanceAmong a cohort of Black individuals living in the US, being a carrier of the TTR Val122Ile variant was significantly associated with an increased risk of heart failure.

Project description:ObjectivesThis study sought to assess the relationship between central pressure profiles and cardiovascular events (CVEs) in a large community-based sample.BackgroundExperimental and physiologic data mechanistically implicate wave reflections in the pathogenesis of left ventricular failure and cardiovascular disease, but their association with these outcomes in the general population is unclear.MethodsAortic pressure waveforms were derived from a generalized transfer function applied to the radial pressure waveform recorded noninvasively from 5,960 participants in the Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. The central pressure waveform was separated into forward and reflected waves using a physiologic flow waveform. Reflection magnitude (RM = [Reflected/Forward wave amplitude] × 100), augmentation index ([Second/First systolic peak] × 100) and pulse pressure amplification ([Radial/aortic pulse pressure] × 100) were assessed as predictors of CVEs and congestive heart failure (CHF) during a median follow-up of 7.61 years.ResultsAfter adjustment for established risk factors, aortic AIx independently predicted hard CVEs (hazard ratio [HR] per 10% increase: 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01 to 1.14; p = 0.016), whereas PPA independently predicted all CVEs (HR per 10% increase: 0.82; 95% CI: 0.70 to 0.96; p = 0.012). RM was independently predictive of all CVEs (HR per 10% increase: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.08 to 1.67; p = 0.009) and hard CVEs (HR per 10% increase: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.12 to 1.90; p = 0.006) and was strongly predictive of new-onset CHF (HR per 10% increase: 2.69; 95% CI: 1.79 to 4.04; p < 0.0001), comparing favorably to other risk factors for CHF as per various measures of model performance, reclassification, and discrimination. In a fully adjusted model, compared to nonhypertensive subjects with low RM, the HRs (95% CI) for hypertensive subjects with low RM, nonhypertensive subjects with high RM, and hypertensive subjects with high RM were 1.81 (0.85 to 3.86), 2.16 (1.07 to 5.01), and 3.98 (1.96 to 8.05), respectively.ConclusionsArterial wave reflections represent a novel strong risk factor for CHF in the general population.

Dataset Information

Association of electrocardiogram abnormalities and incident heart failure events.

Publications

Association of electrocardiogram abnormalities and incident heart failure events.

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